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"It will take place, and this is probably a matter of months, the issue of financing of our welfare. It will probably include the participation of imports. "In two sentences, the head of state made it clear that social VAT probably figure prominently in its program during the next presidential campaign. The mechanism is to fund Social Security by a consumption tax, so among other products imported from countries practicing "social dumping". In exchange, the contributions that affect the cost of labor is lightened, in order to gain competitiveness – a leitmotif of the presidential intervention on Thursday night. Social VAT is not exactly a topic that shares the political class on the line right to left as usual low fee payday loans.Manuel Valls, only the PS, is favorable, as the centrist Jean Arthuis or UMP Jean-Francois Cope and Valérie Pécresse, Xavier Bertrand and others in the majority are reluctant, fearing an inflationary effect, so a loss of purchasing power of households.

The president has however ruled out any attempt at protectionism to fight against offshoring. Establish tariffs would "make sense", he decided, in a clear allusion to the "de-globalization" praised by Arnaud Montebourg.

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"Increase of corporation tax in sight, VAT debate

The Board of Directors of Dexia again go on Wednesday night to approve the one hand, the nationalization of its Belgian subsidiary, and secondly, to approve the terms of the transfer to France of its business loans to local authorities . Other operations will follow shortly, including the sale of Turkish subsidiary Denizbank that interested, too, Qatar, already the official buyer of private banking BIL.

Regarding the French part, the financial terms of the transaction is blocked. The company refinancing of loans to local authorities, Dexia Municipal Agency (Dexma), 65% will be taken by the CDC, 30% by Dexia and 5% by La Banque Postale (LBP).

Six weeks after the start of negotiations, all is not settled. It remains to define a framework for partnership in the business side.Now, the production of loans to communities will take place through a new bank, majority owned by LBP associated with the CDC. At the request of Philippe Wahl, chief executive of the subsidiary of La Poste, Dexia is not associated to thoroughly immunize the future against the troubles of the past. A real humiliation for the group and a cause for concern. "Uncertainties remain about the new role of Dexia Credit Local and a possible transfer of activities from DCL (the new location)," the CFDT warned Tuesday, recalling that the former Crédit local de France employs 1340 employees.The unions have asked to meet Dexia Baroin, the Minister of Finance.

Risk of breakdown of funding

Several hundred people being responsible for monitoring the loans and Dexma residual portfolio management, the debate is about the teams likely to be transferred to the new bank. "La Banque Postale does ensure that some of the activities undertaken by DCL, eg excluding short-term funding, social housing or health," warns one close to Dexia. Already some experts warn against the fact that local authorities will find themselves running out of funds. While production of Dexia – 3 billion euros this year – was already insufficient, the new bank plans to ramp up gradually. "It's open. If it is possible to produce more profitable loans, we will do, "cautions one close to the negotiations.

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"Belgium and Dexia France share

"The government releases three billion for communities

The contours of the nationalization of Dexia emerge. When Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel discussed the rescue of banks in the euro area in Berlin, Prime Minister François Fillon, his counterpart Yves Leterme and representatives of Luxembourg have them addressed this issue in a summit to looks like a marathon. And this morning, after a council of ministers, Belgium has decided to take control of 100% of Dexia Bank Belgium, the Belgian entity of the institution present in retail banking, with an investment of 4 billion euros. A price at the bottom of the valuation range expected by shareholders, who were betting on an amount of between 3 and 7.5 billion euros. The Belgian Finance Minister Didier Reynders believes that this amount is "reasonable."Belgium intends to remain for several years proprietor of the bank in order to "continuity" before the network to lean a private actor.

The board of directors supports the offer of Dexia in Brussels, saying it is part of the "social interest" group. It also ensures that the 600 employees of the Dexia holding will be reclassified to the various subsidiaries promised a recovery.

Meanwhile, states have agreed on the allocation of guarantees to make to the future "bad bank" that remain after the dismantling or the defeasance structure to isolate the assets at risk. "States have agreed to divide this guarantee in proportions similar to those of 2008 (during the rescue of Dexia), 60.5% for Belgium, 36.5% for France and 3% for Luxembourg," said the Belgian government.

For its part, the French state must create a new bank dedicated to communities, both owned by the Postal Bank and the Deposit CDC. The Board of Directors has appointed Dexia director Pierre Mariani to conduct these negotiations. His copy to a detailed plan of recovery of the industry is expected "in the coming weeks."

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"Belgium and Dexia France share

"The Belgian branch of Dexia could be nationalized

The Paris Bourse continued its technical rebound, after a session that saw the CAC 40 jumped more than 3.5% beyond 3000 points. The benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange began the day on a stable note, down from 0.08% to 3070.58 points. But at mid-session, the CAC in advance of 1% which allows the index in Paris to spend the 3100 points. On other European exchanges, the movement is the same. London lost 0.08% at the opening before turning positive again (0.90%), while Frankfurt climbed 1.22%. As in Asia this morning, traders expect the set of indicators of days before taking a position. Unlike previous days, the agenda will be very busy in the U.S. and Europe.

In the euro area, the eyes will be on the ECB. Earlier this afternoon, President Jean-Claude Trichet, will make an announcement on rates. Unsurprisingly, they should remain at current levels, at 1.5%.But markets are waiting above him to book his views on the problems of sovereign debt. For now, it's time for calm on that front. Yesterday, the German Constitutional Court was reassurance by confirming plans for aid in the euro area. In France, the deputies approved the second bailout of Greece arrested on July 21. They are the first to start this procedure. The Italian Senate last night gave a green light to the first austerity plan of over 52 billion euros from the Berlusconi government, while Spain adopted its fiscal rule of thumb, as desired by Paris and Berlin.

The U.S. employment under the microscope

United States, several indicators of the health of the economy will fall during the session. Among them, the trade balance, weekly jobless claims and oil stocks.The consumer credit will be available after market in Europe.

Two discourses are also highly expected on Thursday, those of Ben Bernanke and Barack Obama. The Fed chief will speak at around 19 am, French time, the Economic Club of Minnesota. Investors await details about how the Fed intends to support the economy. This intervention will follow the publication yesterday of its Beige Book, which again reported a moderate growth. For his part, Bush will speak on Congress to 1 am, French time, on employment and growth. It should detail a plan for employment that would reach $ 300 billion, raised yesterday by the U.S. media.

In France, growth in employment has slowed

In France, INSEE announced that the dealer paid employment decelerated in the second quarter.Principally market sectors have created a total of 33,300 jobs over the period April to June, from 78,300 in the first three months of the year, an increase of 0.2% against 0.5% the previous quarter.

The trade deficit widened further in July, reaching 6.46 billion euros in seasonally adjusted data, weighed down by a rebound in imports, Customs officials said Thursday.

Moreover, according to the OECD, economic growth in developed countries could slow sharply, see stalling in the second half and central banks must be prepared to ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or intervening on markets.The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that growth in the G7 should not exceed 1.6% annualized in the third quarter and is expected to fall to 0.2% over the last three months of year. In France, activity is expected to increase only 0.9% and 0.4% annualized, against 1.8% and 1.9% previously expected.

On the currency side, the euro fell again in the late morning at 1.4079 dollar.Oil, he, rising as a result of the prolonged interruption of production in the Gulf of Mexico due to tropical storm: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 41 cents to 89 online payday loan lenders.75 dollars a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery takes 18 cents to 115.98 dollars in morning trading.

Values ​​to follow on Thursday

• Banking

Stress tests imposed on European banks have made "transparency and clarity" on the strength of their balance sheets, said Wednesday night a Treasury official in the United States.

Banks react well. Among the largest increases are CAC, Societe Generale (2.01% to 19.77 euros), BNP Paribas (1.94% to 32.25 euros), Credit Agricole (0.97 to 5%, 80 euros), Axa (0.80% to 10.10 euros) and Natixis (0.55% to 2.55 euros).

• Areva (-0.20% to 20.74 euros)

French nuclear group Areva said Thursday was ready to process the spent fuel still present on the site of Fukushima and propose to the Japanese government and the company Tepco lasting solutions to manage the post accident.

• EADS (-0.85% to 21.69 euros)

The group is ready to dip deep into a war chest of $ 16 billion (11.3 billion euros) to finance its expansion in the U.S. and is in preliminary discussions with several potential targets, said Wednesday its chief executive for North America.In addition, the European missile manufacturer MBDA, in part by EADS, would be forced to reduce its workforce by 400 jobs by 2015, according to La Tribune.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, is also considering a third increase its production capacity in one of its scenarios for 2018 to meet demand, the success of the A320 Neo scarce slots delivery before 2020, The Tribune reported Thursday.

• TF1 (0.87% to 10.43 euros) and EuropaCorp (stable at 3.29 euros)

The two groups announced Wednesday the signing of a Framework Agreement for development to produce the series in English for television.

• Ipsos: -1.36% to 27.13 euros

The group has launched a capital increase in cash of approximately 200 million euros to finance the purchase of Synovate.

• GDF Suez: -0.22% to 20.44 euros

The group will transfer to the Italian ENI participation of 10.4% in gas fields in the North Sea to pay off debt, reported Thursday Les Echos.

• Technip: 2.06% to 67.25 euros

In consortium with National Petroleum Construction Company (NPCC), the group won a contract worth about $ 500 million for engineering, procurement and construction of the project Satah Full Field Development, a field located 200 km northwest of Abu Dhabi (UAE).

• Sanofi: 0.54% to 50.19 euros

Genzyme, the biotechnology laboratory of the U.S. bought by the French group, was unable to deliver its drug Fabrazyme in August, although it promised to doctors and patients to meet this deadline. U.S. regulators have made public Wednesday letters from Genzyme dated August 26 and 25 where the laboratory apologizes to its customers and for people with Fabry disease, a rare genetic disease, for "any confusion and disturbance "caused by the delay.

• France Telecom: 0.37% to 12.19 euros, Vivendi: -1.06% to 15.89 euros

The new tax passed by the government as part of the new austerity plan should give priority, penalize these two groups, according to Les Echos. France Telecom should be paid to these measures between 300 and 500 million.Vivendi would see him, his taxes increased from 250 to 400 million.

Next recommendation goes to Credit Suisse under-performance against neutral Ipsen (-0.41% to 22.85 euros). Societe Generale goes with the purchase of Biomerieux (2.09% to 71.40 euros).

After the increase in VAT on the inputs of the theme parks last week, the elimination of rebates on real estate gains promises to be the main divisive issue of the week opens. This provision, very criticized, only affects second homes and rental investment (principal residence remains, as before, exempt from taxes). But it is radical: since August 25, the capital gain on resale is taxed at 32.5%, regardless of the length of detention of the property. Previously, the taxable gain was undergoing a reduction of 10% per year from five years in prison, which made totally exempt from taxes in fifteen years.Delete this reduction is therefore a true revolution that will represent, in 2012, over 2 billion euros in additional revenue for the state budget!

For many members of the Finance Committee, the government was wrong to brutally suppress the abatement system. "This chopper's austerity plan is absurd, asserts the centrist MP Charles de Courson. It will freeze sales. Transfer taxes, which are sitting on real estate transactions and represent a significant tax revenue departments and municipalities, will collapse. "The deputy also fears an increase in under-the-table, in order to limit the most capital gain to report.Many also fear a destabilization of the market for rental investment.

Members of the Finance Committee, under the aegis of their rapporteur UMP Gilles Carrez, have decided to table an amendment that will restore an allowance of 5% per year after five years free online credit report. What can a total exemption from capital gains tax at the end of twenty-five years. They also want to refer to 1 December 2011 or January 1, 2012 implementation of this measure.

But there's a catch: Bercy awaiting the removal of allowances 200 million savings in 2011 and 2.2 billion in 2012. The restoration of a 5% reduction would cost 900 million full year. Aware of the need to preserve public finances, Gilles Carrez proposes to increase the tax on patents."This is a measure anticompétitivité," retorted Bercy where people still say "open to discussion as long as the deficit does not widen."

A gesture is expected

Reportedly, the Budget Ministry is prepared to make a move on entry into force of the measure on second homes (which could be a little delayed) and would eventually restore a favorable tax abatement in the time, based on a total exemption from taxation of capital gains after thirty years rather than twenty-five as proposed by Gilles Carrez. Between last-minute negotiations and uncertainties on the position of Members who are not part of the Finance Committee, voting in the National Assembly is uncertain. Not to mention that it could be unraveled in the Senate."No decision of economics can not be accepted in the general joy," says Philippe Marini, the UMP rapporteur of the Committee on Finance of the High Assembly, which considers the extent of the government "justified".

After rebounding to 1.66% at the beginning and spent all morning in the green, the Cac 40 was pressed into the red in mid-session, before sinking further into negative territory at the opening of Wall Street. Shortly after the speech by Jean-Claude Trichet, as markets accentuated their losses, the distribution of all European indices, including the benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange, operated by NYSE Euronext, has been unavailable for almost a hours on Thursday due to a technical problem. The CAC 40 was finally ended on a plummeting 3.90% to 3320.35 points, its lowest level since July 28, 2009. After losing 134.59 points on the session, he signed the ninth session of consecutive decline, a new series in September 2002 and the end of the internet bubble burst. Since July 1, the benchmark index in Paris dropped nearly 17%.

The panic was the same on all stock exchanges in Europe: the FTSE-100 from the London Stock Exchange closed on a fall of 3.43% to 5393.14 points, its worst since the two September. The Dax in Frankfurt Stock Exchange ended down 3.40% to 6414.76 points. The Madrid Stock Exchange drops 3.89%, below 9000 points.

The diffusion index star of the Milan Stock Exchange, the FTSE Eb, it is suspended since 3:05 p.m. GMT when he fell more than 3%, announced the financial manager without explanation.

In the process, the Dow Jones on Wall Street was down 2.96% at 11,545 points.

Lower cost of debt Italian and Spanish

Financial markets were not convinced by the meeting of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank. This has not surprisingly left its rate unchanged at 1.50%.Above all, the ECB president, Jean-Claude Trichet said the share repurchase program of continued monetary institution, but would concern "that the Irish and Portuguese bonds" and not "those of other nationalities" .

After the award in Madrid some 3.3 billion of bonds with three and four years, the yield of the loan in ten years Spanish retreated 6.09% to around 11 hours (Paris time) against 6.35 % late Wednesday. The Spanish Treasury also announced it was canceling its bond issue, scheduled for Aug. 18. The rate of return of Italian ten-year paper fell, meanwhile, up 5.97% before stabilizing at around 6% against 6.10% the previous day.

On the currency markets, the euro falling 1.26% against the dollar at 1.4167 dollar. Oil is also displayed down 1.47% in New York at 90.58 dollars.For its part, the ounce of gold hit a new addition Thursday historical 1677.90 dollars on fears the global economy and becoming bogged down again in the wake of the conference of ECB President Jean -Claude Trichet.

On the corporate side, both companies have published this morning, Veolia Environnement and Axa.

Veolia Environnement: -9.44% to 12.95 euros – the largest drop Cac

Veolia Environnement, which warned last Friday that it would not achieve its goals for this year, released on Thursday a net loss of 67.2 million euros in the first half, weighed down by exceptional asset write-downs 800 million euros.The world leader in environmental services will focus its activities "in less than 40 countries in 2013 against 77 today."

Axa: + 3.08% to 12.40 euros – the largest increase Cac 40

However, Axa reported first half net profit more than quadrupled to 3.99 billion euros (324%), driven by gains on sale and very little affected by provisions related to the support plan to Greece.

Bonduelle: -2.06% to 64.15 euros

Bonduelle has increased from 10.7% in sales from 2010 to 2011. Sales of specialist canned vegetables and frozen emerge to 1726 million.The group confirmed its annual targets.

Vinci: -1.60% to 36.92 euros

Vinci said Wednesday QDVC, its joint venture with Qatari fund, won a contract for 374 million euros for a metro project for a new town being built in Qatar.

Vilmorin: + 5.11% to 76.99 euros

Vilmorin has confirmed its margin target of 2010-2011 by announcing an increase of 12.1% of its turnover for the year, thanks to the vegetable business, along with the acquisition of assets and maize seed and sorghum Brasmilho of Brazilian society.

Hermes: -0.57% to 234 euros

Hermès responded Wednesday to the Association of Defence of Minority Shareholders (Adam), who asked why the luxury group spent so much money to buy back its own shares."Share repurchases are intended to cover the programs free shares to employees," said a spokeswoman for Hermes.

Cegedim: -2.59% to 32 euros

Cegedim dropped its goal of increasing revenue for 2011 but remains confident in its ability to generate an EBIT close in absolute value, that of 2010. The group also announced Wednesday for the second quarter of 2011, a consolidated turnover of 247.1 million euros (+1.6% as reported and 0.1% organic).

Natixis (-0.10% to 2.923 euros) and Dexia will publish its second quarter results after market close.

How to make the Greek economy to become as competitive as the German? Nothing simpler. "I guess the teachers of vocational schools and skilled craftsmen to retire would be willing to be sent (in Greece) fixed-term" is to suggest the European Commissioner for Energy, German Günther Oettinger in an interview with the Hamburger Abendblatt. "We hope that the German economic culture will allow transfer to Greece," said simultaneously the Minister of Economy, Philipp Rösler, also Vice Chancellor Merkel's government as head of the Liberal party.

The Minister of barely 38 years of Vietnamese origin, embodies the virtues of miscegenation and he is proud payday loans for bad credit. Philipp Rösler considers that there is no reason why the methods used to shore up the former communist East Germany do not work in favor of Greece.His words, the hints of cultural imperialism, appear a bit naive. But they clearly reflect a large part of public opinion in Germany. And after all not ready do we not have to Jean Monnet, one of the founding fathers of Europe, this formula, "If it again, I would start with culture"? It's now or never to try.

European banks may need to raise 80 billion euros, to reassure the markets. A report by JPMorgan Cazenove, led by analyst Kian Abouhossein, estimates that if the level of reserve requirements is strictly adhered to 7%, nearly two banks will raise new money. French banks Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole would need twenty billion euros, against 25 billion for UK institutions and 14 billion euros for German lenders, including Deutsche Bank. The Italian UniCredit, Credit Suisse and Santander are also cited in the report by JPMorgan Cazenove.

This study revealed the results of stress tests published last Friday by the EBA.These tests, built on capital requirements as 5%, entered into a need to refinance 2.5 billion euros for eight of the 90 banks assessed, including any French. But investors believe these tests inadequate, particularly criticizing for not sufficiently taken into account the default risk in Greece. JPMorgan Cazenove said the criticism in his study, indicating that these stress tests have "limited value".

The evolution of banking stocks on European stock markets will be very observed on Monday morning to find Investors Arbitration between the reassuring results of stress tests and numerical study of JPMorgan. In March, ratings agency Standard & Poor's had conducted its own tests of resistance.His conclusion: European banks would need 250 billion euros of additional capital.

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Tenders for the smart grid and waste recovery, today announced the first six institutes of technology and equipment of the first wave of excellence, creation of national fund boot which will have 400 million to invest in young innovative companies … Just in recent days, the operations related to the investment program for the future have not failed! And it lasts for eighteen months …

The program, which must prepare "the France of tomorrow" will be the subject of the press conference of head of state this morning. "Nicolas Sarkozy is that this topic is important and can not talk enough about this initiative should restore the competitiveness of France," said his entourage. Yet René Ricol leads to the rod.Appointed commissioner-general for investment to drive the program, the former ombudsman of credit has one goal in mind: to create wealth and employment in France over time.

In December 2009, Nicolas Sarkozy set the priorities for the future supported by the large loan. Following the recommendations of the report Rocard-Juppe, he announced 35 billion euros of investment and ultimately rejected the idea of ​​a popular loan – a form of financing too costly at a time when the debt of France is under the eye markets. Five priorities were identified: higher education and training, research, industry and SME development and finally digital. Today, all 35 billion euros is in the hands of the public operators (ADEME, OSEO, the CDC …) that are responsible for distributing the money.