International News

Oil flirts with $ 100 a barrel. But it could climb higher, it is in any case the feeling of the experts of Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management which assumes about $ 120 a barrel next year.

The return of the production of Libya on the market faster than expected: it reached about 700,000 barrels per day (against 1.6 million before the crisis in the country), "a figure that was thought best to reach the end of years, "said Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management. The country should, in this study, return to its previous capacity until mid-2012. Meanwhile, production of mature countries such as Norway, Mexico and the United Kingdom declined. And falling stocks including the United States.

"Countries like Saudi Arabia require that the price of oil is at a relatively high (above 90 dollars per barrel) in order to balance their budgets," said the study payday loans.OPEC therefore intervene in the case of lower prices. A scenario that does not, however, resist a global recession.

A further increase of gold expected

Among commodities, gold has also been rising by several asset managers. Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management believes that in a context of very low interest rates, the market should remain strong.

The Swiss Bank Wegelin, too, advises his clients to hold physical gold, not least because it considers the euro, the yen and the dollar overvalued. "When all the current problems are resolved, then it will be time to get out of gold" summarizes Magne Y. Orglandes, managing partner of the Swiss bank.

In the third quarter, gold demand has also increased by 6% according to statistics from World Gold Council, reaching a record $ 57.7 billion (42.7 billion euros).

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In the third five-day strike of cabin crew of Air France, the company hopes to provide 85% of the flights scheduled that day, she warned this morning, while a strike notice was filed until Wednesday, November 2 included. Sunday night, Air France said it had secured 88% of its flights of the day, and sent 120,000 passengers.

Remember, the movement is to protest against the proposed reduction in the number of cabin crew in some aircraft, as well as against a reform of the evaluation of these same individuals. The conflict has generated over the weekend a battle of numbers between unions and management. According to the latter, there would be 30% of strikers. The UNSA has instead assessed the proportion of strikers to 65% Sunday, after 50% Saturday payday loan.

"Management is currently parades, but it can not hold the road in five days," said Gaëlle Sibril, steward of Southern Air. "That's why we filed a notice of strike for five days because we know they can be organized over two days but no more," she added. Didier Foussat union FO-SNPNC, "the strike will ramp up because all the volunteers PNC reserves are currently using." For him, "we arrive at a peak" from Monday. "From experience, the third day, ie Monday, which will be very complicated," Judge Philippe Sports Meanwhile, the UNSA.

Player Figaro BFM

Liquidation or recovery? The future of the ferry company SeaFrance, SNCF and property loss for over ten years, is played in two stages this week. The European Commission must give its opinion on Monday the recovery plan presented by the company management.

It is financed recapitalization to the tune of 160 million euros provided by the station, its parent company, and a loan of 99.9 million euros was also granted by the SNCF "market conditions" as Ministry of Transport, at the forefront of negotiations with the Commission.

Three candidates for the recovery

On 19 October, Brussels decided to give a stay of several days the French government for an independent investor that is able to replace the station to inject 100 million euros.This loan is indeed the point of blocking the bailout.

Allocated by the SNCF, it is similar to State aid. But the Ministry of Transport, we do not believe in miracles. "In the current situation, no bank is willing to release 100 million euros to support SeaFrance," says a close case.

Tuesday, it was the turn of the Commercial Court of Paris to decide: the liquidation or takeover by one of three candidates. In addition to a mystery buyer, called "Being Bang," Louis Dreyfus Armateurs is associated with the Danish DFDS in a consortium. Another offers more unusual is in the running. This is a cooperative production (Scop) carried by the CFDT.

512 employees have already raised a finger to enter the capital of the SCOP which will take back almost all of the employees but is seeking another 20 to 25 million euros.SeaFrance has 880 employees.

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The concern continues to dominate in Asia, where major stock markets were down on Tuesday. Shortly before 7 am (Paris time), the Nikkei yield 1.31% to 8433.27 points, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong 1.59% to 16,554 points and the Shanghai Composite Index 0.26% to 2359, 22 points. The South Korean Kospi falling 4.97% to 1681.82 points while the S & P200 was down 0.64 Australian% to 3872.10 points. The MSCI Asia Pacific for its yield 2.1%, the lowest since July 2009.

The day before, Asian stock markets had already declined, lead-talk statements of Greece announced that it would lack its fiscal targets.In the process, Europe had closed down, followed by Wall Street where the Dow Jones dropped 2.37% to 10.655 points and the Nasdaq 3.29% to 2336 points.

Monday evening, the finance ministers of the Eurogroup have pushed the "the month of October," a decision on a new tranche of EUR 8 billion, needed to Greece.Despite the announcement of new measures by Athens deficit, the markets fear more than ever a default of Greece.

Oil down and the yen at the highest for ten years

"In addition to the growing European concerns, there are also fears about the level of the yen and its impact on the results of Japanese companies," said Hiroichi Nishi, a broker at Nikko Securities SMBC fast payday loans.

Nippose currency, considered a "safe haven", is indeed at record levels: about 7 o'clock this morning, the euro bought 101.21 yen against 102.6 yen on Monday morning. During the day Monday, he even reached 100.96, yen, lowest in a decade. The dollar also declined against the Japanese currency to 76.59 yen against 77 yen on Monday morning. The rise of the yen penalizes income from Europe of Japanese exporting companies.

Oil markets, concerns about the global economy weigh on prices: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November lost $ 1.11, to 76.50 dollars in early electronic trading. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gave up 92 cents to 100.79 dollars.

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Football, video games, magazines, sofas on which to lie down to watch football matches, all swallowing hot dogs and chips at will. The best place of all men … at least according to Ikea. It was at Sydney in the local store's Swedish distributor, that this "Mansland" was born. The logic is the same as for "Smaland" space for day care children present in all the Ikea stores around the world.

Already cleared of toddlers, women will finally be totally alone to shop. Only problem: after half an hour of bliss, a buzzer reminds the ladies half their existence, if they would have already forgotten. Mr. Mrs. So join to challenge his choice of linens, glass and lighting … and why not to pay at checkout.

No planned deployment in France

This solution to rally the spouses who shun Ikea citing another "Stockholm Syndrome" (birthplace of the group) is currently an isolated initiative. The operation took place over four days on the occasion of Father's Day in Australia. "A deployment of this kind of space for men is not in French stores," says Are there Ikea France. The French will have to still support their husbands and vice versa!

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After still closed higher Thursday evening, the U.S. stock markets remain on their momentum on Friday. In early trade, the Dow gained 0.44% to 11.484 points, the Nasdaq is 0.37% to 2617 points and the S & P 500 climbed 0.53% to 1216 points.

Investors are focused on reassuring news from Europe, as the announcement of a new agreement between central banks to provide dollar liquidity to European banks and Japanese. "This program already exists, say the analysts at Aurel BGC. The ECB offered this week, two European banks to dollar liquidity in 7 days "

Suddenly, the "four witches" today is to say the expiration of four types of futures contracts on indices and stocks, "will be addressed, according to Aurel BGC in a more serene.Recent events have reassured investors and market expectations about European officials said after the meeting of the Ecofin support actions ".

U.S. consumer debt and European

At the macroeconomic agenda of the day, the index of consumer sentiment for the month of September is expected this afternoon, 12:00 to 3:55 p.m.. But such macroeconomic indicators may well be once again overshadowed by political events related to the debt crisis and European banks.

Indeed, this Friday as European finance ministers and the U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, this exceptional, try to resolve their differences at a meeting of high voltage in Poland payday loan. This is to complete a second plan of aid to Greece, imperative to save the country and the euro area, whose failing health is in turmoil the entire planet.Timothy Geithner has already openly believed that Europeans should inject more funds to avoid a major crisis.

RIM collapses

On the corporate side, Research in Motion (-21.77% to 23.11 dollars), the maker of BlackBerry smartphones, collapsed after publishing quarterly results fell sharply, well below analysts' forecasts.

The rating agency Moody's said Thursday it placed under surveillance notes of the bank UBS (3.42% to 11.80 dollars) with for a potential degradation due to "weaknesses in risk management the group. "

At the heart of the news, Google (0.24% to 543.59 dollars) has purchased additional patents in 1023 the computer company IBM (0.68% to 171.38 dollars) to strengthen its portfolio and to attempt trial to deter intellectual property infringement.Google expects the other hand that the number of Internet users in India to be tripled in three years through improved access to wireless internet and at prices more affordable smartphone, reported on Friday Wall Street Journal.

Boeing (1.59% to 65.34 dollars) could finally respond to the order by Air France-KLM of 110 long-haul aircraft, including 50 firm orders, builders Boeing and European Airbus to ensure the renewal of its fleet.

Remain in control at home. Such is the concern of Mark Pincus, founder of Zynga, the leading provider of video games for social networks, such as Farmville, with 232 million active players per month. To retain full authority in his business, despite its forthcoming IPO, Mark Pincus holds a special law, approved by its board of directors. This decision is consistent with her wishes because administrators have been selected by Mark Pincus himself, as his deputy director general John Shappert.

The founder of the start-up in 2007 in San Francisco, won each of its actions has 70 voting rights, according to a company document obtained by Bloomberg.It's better than what was originally planned or what has been practiced for IPO social network LinkedIn for business: 10 votes per share for the co-founders.

Thus, Mark Pincus, holder of 16% stake in his company, he will maintain his authority over every decision. This must still be approved by two-thirds of the shareholders, before September 2.

Then Zynga will take his first steps on the stock market and rising, as envisaged from the beginning of the summer, about one billion dollars. If all goes as planned, its market capitalization should be between 15 and 20 billion. The group would become the company most expensive in the world in video games at Electronic Arts (7 cash advance america.3 billion) and Activision Blizzard (13200000000), controlled by Vivendi.Earlier this year, the company was "valued at $ 5 billion," says an expert from PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Reversal of value

It is a real reversal of the hierarchy: the publisher of games for social networks could surpass traditional publishers of games for consoles and PC. Zynga is very profitable with its free games, such as Farmville, CityVille or MafiaWars, which cost little money to design and generate significant revenue. Proceeds from the start-up, with over 2000 employees, results mainly from the sale of real shadow, like a farm, factory or virtual fruit trees, which help the player to progress in his adventure. This model is thriving, thanks to Facebook as "friends" involved of challenges through simple little game.Therefore, Zynga should display in 2011 a turnover of around $ 1.5 billion, with, the key to a net income close to $ 500 million. In 2010, after three years of existence, the company became profitable, with $ 90.6 million in net profits for a turnover of 597.5 million and cash of close to one billion.

Traditional competitors, Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts, respectively realized 4.44 billion in revenue and $ 3.58 billion.

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Red Cedar rising from the ashes. The brand furniture and decorating high-end look forward to sign this year a profitable year, after reaching the balance last year. "Our sales have increased sixfold, from 1 to 6 million euros in 2010. We expect a turnover of 8-9000000 euros this year, "said CEO Henry the Minstrel. A great success because, in its heyday in the early 2000s, Red Cedar posted sales barely higher (12 million euros in 2001). And by exploiting ten stores, not two, like today.

The company suffered a severe weight loss, following its failed merger with Le Prince Jardinier in 2006.When Henri Le Menestrel, accompanied by the fund Nextstage already present in the capital (20% today), took over the business in late 2008, the group "was making a million sales and a million casualties," recalls it. He who had just sell its media agency online Lagardère decided to open a shop for a new genre, while preserving the historical site at Châtelet and the brand, much appreciated. "We have broken the codes of high-end furniture, installing Red Cedar Feucherolles end of 2009, twenty minutes drive from the Porte d'Auteuil, in the fields," says its CEO. Having seen that "unlike the fashion industry, the decoration brands have never built their own store and are difficult," he wants a "multi-specialist" and exposes the Fermob chairs, sofas and Marie's Corner sunshades in the "dedicated showrooms."

The project won: true destination of family visits on weekends, the store was expanded this summer, for the fourth time, from 700 square meters two years ago in late September 4200. Besides the fifty brands presented, the brands of Red Cedar – tables and mailboxes with Christmas decorations – there are still very place. "With little marks in furniture and decorating high-end customers need to compare really to understand the quality factors and to choose the range that suits them," said Henri Le Menestrel.

Seize opportunities

Same strategy to the shop on the Internet, including a new version has just been put online: the user can learn and even to shop, but it is especially encouraged to move Feucherolles.For if the sign already generates 10% of its sales on the Internet, she wants to see progress especially the number of visitors.

"We feared that the store does Châtelet suffers from the rise of that of Feucherolles, but the opposite is true!", Says the CEO. These good results may prompt Red Cedar to relocate in town to present, for example, one or more product categories in smaller areas. It is precisely to capture "many and varied opportunities" of this type, but also small acquisitions like that of a small specialist light in early 2009, as Nextstage invest in the fall about 2.5 million. A larger amount than in 2008 (1.5 million), a sign of his confidence and that will advance the participation of the fund to 30%.

How to make the Greek economy to become as competitive as the German? Nothing simpler. "I guess the teachers of vocational schools and skilled craftsmen to retire would be willing to be sent (in Greece) fixed-term" is to suggest the European Commissioner for Energy, German Günther Oettinger in an interview with the Hamburger Abendblatt. "We hope that the German economic culture will allow transfer to Greece," said simultaneously the Minister of Economy, Philipp Rösler, also Vice Chancellor Merkel's government as head of the Liberal party.

The Minister of barely 38 years of Vietnamese origin, embodies the virtues of miscegenation and he is proud payday loans for bad credit. Philipp Rösler considers that there is no reason why the methods used to shore up the former communist East Germany do not work in favor of Greece.His words, the hints of cultural imperialism, appear a bit naive. But they clearly reflect a large part of public opinion in Germany. And after all not ready do we not have to Jean Monnet, one of the founding fathers of Europe, this formula, "If it again, I would start with culture"? It's now or never to try.

European banks may need to raise 80 billion euros, to reassure the markets. A report by JPMorgan Cazenove, led by analyst Kian Abouhossein, estimates that if the level of reserve requirements is strictly adhered to 7%, nearly two banks will raise new money. French banks Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole would need twenty billion euros, against 25 billion for UK institutions and 14 billion euros for German lenders, including Deutsche Bank. The Italian UniCredit, Credit Suisse and Santander are also cited in the report by JPMorgan Cazenove.

This study revealed the results of stress tests published last Friday by the EBA.These tests, built on capital requirements as 5%, entered into a need to refinance 2.5 billion euros for eight of the 90 banks assessed, including any French. But investors believe these tests inadequate, particularly criticizing for not sufficiently taken into account the default risk in Greece. JPMorgan Cazenove said the criticism in his study, indicating that these stress tests have "limited value".

The evolution of banking stocks on European stock markets will be very observed on Monday morning to find Investors Arbitration between the reassuring results of stress tests and numerical study of JPMorgan. In March, ratings agency Standard & Poor's had conducted its own tests of resistance.His conclusion: European banks would need 250 billion euros of additional capital.

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