International News

Oil plays yoyo

Sitting comfortably above the $ 76 barrel of oil has had a week to rebound. Monday on the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), the light sweet crude for August delivery ended at 76.54 dollars (75.60 dollars in London). "Things have been pretty quiet on the front of the oil market. After all the volatility of last week, investors taking a breather, "and watching Adam Sieminski of Deutsche Bank.

On Tuesday, investors had boosted the morale and the prospects for a decline in crude reserves in the U.S. and the possible formation of a tropical low off the island of Hispaniola (Haiti and the Dominican Republic) . In New York, a barrel to 77.44 dollars has completed while in London he displayed up to 76.44 dollars.Then suddenly bamboo Wednesday: the U.S. Department of Energy announced that gasoline stocks, closely watched during the summer due to extensive travel by car increased by 1.1 million barrels over a week. These distillates (including diesel and heating oil) rose by 3.9 million, twice as anticipated by analysts. The turnaround is not expected on the markets: the barrel of light sweet crude dropped to 76.56 dollars while London Brent clings to 75 dollars.

On Thursday, another change of mood: the price of oil surged by 3.5% in New York while a tropical depression threatens to disrupt the operation of oil facilities in the Gulf of Mexico. The U.S. National Hurricane Center emits a tropical storm warning for the Bahamas and parts of Florida that concentrates approximately 30% of crude production in the United States.The barrel ends at 79.30 dollars in New York and Brent 77.25 dollars in London. Friday, investors marked a pause, which fall to 78.98 dollars a barrel in New York and 77.60 in London.

Chaotic week ended with a gain of 2.98% for WTI and Brent to 1.44%.

The weak dollar boosts gold

The precious metals have been worn all week by a weak dollar. The dollar fell Tuesday to 1.3029 dollars per euro, its lowest level since May 10 In terms of gold, the psychological threshold of $ 1,200 an ounce is not yet valid. While the stock market regains its vigor, the yellow metal lost some its appeal as a safe haven.On the London Bullion Market, an ounce of gold finished at 1190.50 dollars at auction Friday evening.

The money has followed suit, finishing at 18.17 dollars Friday, against 18.25 dollars the previous week.

Platinum and palladium have been a positive week. The platinum price rose Friday to 1,548.75 dollars per ounce, its highest since late June The reason: pressure on supply, particularly in South Africa, the main producer. The country should not review its production is rising while demand continues unabated. In London, an ounce of platinum finish to 1541 dollars on Friday. The deck had also received reassuring news on the state of the automotive sector. The manufacturer Audi announced in particular that, like its competitors, it would be difficult to meet demand from China.

Following the ounce of palladium finished $ 460 dollars against 456 the week before pay day loan no fax.

Renewed confidence for base metals

Fears about the economic recovery would they be erased? This suggests that the evolution of metal prices based on last week. The good response of equity markets in the wake of U.S. companies has cheered the markets. Just as the announcement of a reduction in stocks of copper on the London Metal Exchange. A key barometer of the market, the red metal posted Thursday its highest level for over two months in 7050 dollars per ton.The U.S. Freeport McMoRan, the second largest copper producer in the world, has also contributed to the general euphoria, thinking "optimistic" about prospects for demand with order books "more solidly filled some time ago" .

A voltage supply would also increase beyond the original copper. BHP Billiton recorded in the second quarter, a drop of 5% a year from its copper production, and announced an expected decline of 5 to 10% over the next 12 months of mine production of copper from Escondida (Chile), the largest in the world. However, according to the monthly report of the International Study of copper (ICSG), the demand keeps augmnter. Global consumption of refined copper jumped 5.8% year on year in April.

In the wake of copper, aluminum has increased, supported by fears of a shrinking market.World production fell in June to 3.423 million tonnes against 3.476 in May. Friday, was worth 2038 dollars per ton. Lead, tin, nickel and zinc respectively won 10%, 6.7%, 7.5% and 7.5%.

The weather pushed wheat

Like last week, the weather boosted wheat prices in Chicago. Wheat prices reached their highest level in 13 months Thursday at $ 6.10 a bushel. The sources of concern are found on the side of excessive rainfall in Canada or the ten million hectares of crops destroyed by drought in Russia (20% crop of the country).

The wheat contract expired in September stood at 5.9625 dollars against 5.8725 dollars a bushel a week earlier, an increase of 1.53%.In contrast, the corn contract for December delivery finished at 3.8450 dollars per bushel (-5.59%) while the contract of soybeans mature in November closed at 9.8150 dollars per bushel (- 0.36%).

Note that during the brown bean were down significantly from last week have reached their highest level in 33 years due to suspected distortion of courses by the British fund Armajaro. On Liffe in London, the price of cocoa for September delivery was trading at 2,302 pounds on Friday against 2452 vune week earlier.

Coffee prices have also shown a decrease to 1724 dollars per ton. Sugar prices have instead reached their highest level since March 1, to 18.66 cents a pound in New York.With the approach of Ramadan, August 10, a time when global consumption is increasing significantly, the announcement of monsoon rains 17% lower than normal in India were fears of a drop in supply. On the LIFFE, a tonne of white sugar for October delivery was worth 555 pounds 527 pounds on Friday against the previous week.

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The rating agencies do not trust Japan. "Without a strong fiscal consolidation plan and credible by the Government of Japan notes will be threatened with demotion to the long term," he said Monday in Tokyo Andrew Colquhoun, director of public debt ratings for Asia-Pacific .

The warning is not innocent. It was made just hours before Prime Minister of Japan, Naoto Kan, announces an increase in the consumption tax, now one of the world's lowest, 5%, designed to rebalance country's finances, would not the day "before two or three years" paydayloans.

In the eyes of Fitch, Tokyo is obviously not fast enough, while the country's debt reaches 201% of its gross domestic product (GDP).

The world leader in chemistry, German BASF, is expected to sign Tuesday the acquisition of fellow Cognis according to the Financial Times Deutschland. Owned by Permira and Goldman Sachs, Cognis manufactures additives for cosmetics and detergents.

According to sources close to the case interviewed by the newspaper, the transaction amounted to 3.2 billion euros. In 2009, sales of Cognis representing 2.6 billion euros and EBITDA was $ 364 million. On its website, the company states employ approximately 5,600 people and be present in thirty countries.

Originally, Cognis was a subsidiary of Henkel, resold in 2004 to 2.5 billion euros. In 2006, the efforts of its new owners to sell it failed. In recent years, the company split from two of its five subsidiaries.BASF has already bought in 2009 the Swiss Ciba for 3.8 billion euros to strengthen in the mill.

This Monday has been the day of surprises. A few hours after completing the rescue funds to the euro, the European Union president Herman Van Rompuy announced Monday night that the EU finance ministers agreed that the Commission consider their national budgets. An agreement all the more unexpected given that some hours before the meeting between Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel to be held on Monday evening was canceled at the last moment. Every indication that this was yet another sign of the tension between France and Germany. And even if both sides because they advanced the calendar.Markets do not make mistakes: Shortly after the cancellation, the CAC 40 lost more than 1%, while it had managed to return to balance in mid-session.

Budgetary discipline

Anyway, this agreement will enable Europe to invent a new fiscal discipline. This is especially good news that Germany and France had openly opposed on this issue. We remember especially about the government spokesman, Luc Chatel, who said "this is not the European Commission to approve the budget of the French nation."

The EU finance ministers have also agreed Monday night to create new sanctions against countries too indebted to strengthen the Stability Pact.The agreement envisages the possibility of sanctions even when the current limit of 3% of GDP by the Covenant for public deficits has not yet expired, said President of the European Union, Herman Van Rompuy, at a press conference. The idea would be to trigger the excessive deficit procedures earlier for countries whose debt is not declining fast enough payday loans. It also put more emphasis on the future monitoring of the overall debt deemed not exceed 60% of GDP, and not just the annual deficits.

A modification of treaties is not excluded

The ministers have asked the European Commission to make proposals to define new sanctions.Brussels thinking, for example the suspension of payment of certain subsidies from the European Union for uncooperative countries. Germany also advocates for the suspension of voting rights at European ministerial meetings in Brussels. "We talked about but everyone is aware that financial sanctions not require a treaty amendment," said Herman Van Rompuy.He added: "We have not ruled out a treaty amendment, but has concentrated on what can be done at short notice and under the current treaty that does not have to go to the ahead and impose sanctions, non-financial, "he added, however, ensuring that there was" no taboos "for the future.

These sanctions, which remain to be defined, could be decided whether a country has ignored warnings from its partners on the drift of public accounts, or if the overall level of debt swells too fast.

In an environment where markets are concerned about the financial situation now in Hungary – which is not part of the Euro-zone, this agreement, which follows the completion of the rescue funds of the euro, should enable bring some stability to financial markets that really need it.

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AIG will not access the request of Prudential. While the British insurer claimed a decrease of 10% of the purchase price under pressure from its shareholders, AIG said Tuesday in a statement it will not alter the terms of the proposed sale of its Asian subsidiary AIA UK Prudential, whose price is set at 35.5 billion dollars (nearly 29 billion euros).

Prudential acknowledges and will respond "in due course"

In another statement, Prudential said take note of the decision of AIG and said he will make a statement in "due course". He confirmed that he proposed a reduction in price and said that his new proposal is 30.38 billion dollars (24.7 billion euros).This represents a decrease of 14.4% of the purchase price, not 10% as first announced by the prospective acquirer.

To partially finance this acquisition, Prudential would need a capital increase of 21 billion dollars (about 17 billion dollars). What worried shareholders, who must decide on the draft on June 7

Prudential and AIG have resumed negotiations last week to save this agreement, several shareholders of the British insurer has estimated that the price offered to become the dominant player in Asia's life insurance was too high.

After this new twist, we expect that the shareholders of Prudential eagerly await the response that Prudential will this announcement.Prudential Will he finally pay $ 35.5 billion and will reach there to give AIG? Unless the proposed acquisition would not be abandoned.

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The Chinese central bank announced this weekend a further increase in reserve requirements of major banks by 0.5%. This level will be 14% for small financial institutions and 17% for large banks. This is the third time that the People's Bank of China raised the reserve this year. The move is seen as a prelude to higher interest rates, much anticipated in 2010, but it is also a way to delay interest rate hikes this by tightening the screws on the credits via the proportion of reserves. This measure will be effective on May 10

Beijing seeks to put a brake, while concerns about overheating and bubbles in real estate including resurfacing.

Most analysts remain confident about the ability of the Chinese government to curb the overheating, but some are sounding the alarm.In an interview with Bloomberg, economist Marc Faber announcement and a possible implosion of the Chinese economy by a year.

While the Tokyo Stock Exchange is closed until Wednesday included due to public holidays in Japan, the Asian markets all move in the red on Monday.

Hong Kong drops 1.36% to 20,821.20 points, 0.91% cedes Taiwan to 7391.74 points, Seoul lost 1.22%, 0.58% in Sydney coward 4779.50 points, fell by Bombay 0 53% to 17,464.90 points and Singapore shows a decrease of 0.98% to 2945.34 points.

Despite the activation of a massive bailout of Greece announced on Sunday by finance ministers of the euro area, markets do not regain confidence. They are worried about further increases in reserve requirements of banks in China, 50 basis points. Banks will therefore retain 14-17% of their loans in chests. This measure, which takes effect next May 10, is supposed to limit loans to individuals and businesses to avoid the overheating of the Chinese economy.This is the third increase since the beginning of the year.

The banking and real estate values at half

Consequently, the evolving Chinese banking stocks down sharply, on Monday, including Bank of China, which fell by 1.72%. Regarding property values, China Resources fell 4.97%, Shimao Property Holdings sells 2.47% Agile Property Holdings or drops 2.17%.

A barrel of oil above $ 86

Crude prices were up Monday in Asia after the announcement of the plan of aid to Greece and because of a probable decline in U.S. production in the wake of the oil spill in the United States.

In morning trading, a barrel of light sweet crude for June delivery took 16 cents to 86.31 dollars, while Brent North Sea with identical maturity, gained 13 cents to 87.57 dollars.

On only two months of the year, the Greeks withdrew from their bank accounts around 4.5% of the total money in the country's banking system, according to the Central Bank of Greece.

The four largest Greek banks – National Bank of Greece, EFG Eurobank, Alpha Bank and Piraeus Bank – bemoan the evaporation of about 10 billion euros of bank deposits, and implore the government to help, the Financial Times in its Thursday edition.

George Papaconstantinou, the finance minister said Wednesday that all banks had asked for the remaining 28 billion euros of financial support plan provided by the state banks at the height of the crisis in 2008.

Yields never achieved

These calls for help comes as Greek interest rates hitting record highs this week.Wednesday afternoon, the yield (rate) of the Greek requirement to 10 years reached 7.176%. Greek and yields move away from the benchmark, the German Bund, the gap between the two are digging more than 400 basis points (4 points).

Markets reacted to the ruling of Athens, that the measures proposed by the IMF are too severe. "This is one reason, but there are others, as investors are forced to sell because interest rates are now too high," said Jean-Francois Robin, an analyst at Natixis bad credit payday loans .

Some are forced to unwind their positions in part because of the Basel II regulations."The number of potential investors has reduced and the purchase is," said Ciaran O'Hagan, of Societe Generale.

The National Bank of Greece will be "heavily impacted"

As a market leader in deposits, the National Bank of Greece "could be greatly impacted by the movement of outflows affecting Greece since the early beginning of the year," noted analysts at Natixis in a note published Thursday morning, which degrades the value to "ease" cons "before buying" and lowers its price target from 19 to 15 euros.

According to the broker, bank, however, is "the best equipped to deal with the crisis with a Greek core tier 1 ratio (reserve ratio) by 9.4%, and high exposure to Turkey, whose performance in 2010 should offset the slowdown in Greece.

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Finishing the week? Difficult even within an hour of the closing address. The CAC 40 was indeed well embedded in the green, but 16 hours, the morale of Americans showed degraded. The investors in the United States and Europe reacted immediately.

Around 16.45, the flagship index of Paris evolves close to equilibrium after being tipped into the red. The CAC 40 is around 3930 points. The index of consumer sentiment fell to 72.5 in March against 73.6 in February. Americans are less optimistic about employment prospects.

Earlier on Friday, retail sales in the United States have however withstood the bad weather in February.Against all odds, they rose by 0.3% compared to January (in data seasonally adjusted) while analysts felt they had declined by 0.2%.

This supports other new ad, released Thursday, which was rather reassuring, even if they still underscore the difficulties overseas cheapest one. Like the U.S. trade deficit fell to 37.29 billion dollars from 39.9 billion in January. Other good news side of the labor market "listings weekly unemployment fell to 462,000 from 469,000 the previous week. Perhaps, then, that the ACC will manage to close the week at the Green …

Mixed signals

But some lingering doubts in the markets due to the mixed signals sent to the assumption by the United States, Japan and China.The latter confirmed his great form with a rise in industrial production by 20.7% yoy in January and February, coupled with increased investment in fixed assets of 26.6%. But the United States, the government announced a record budget deficit of 220.909 billion dollars in February, while the decrease in the number of newly unemployed was less than expected, with 462,000 new registrations against 460,000 estimated.

In Japan, meanwhile, lowered its estimates of GDP for the fourth quarter 2009, up 0.9% from the previous quarter, instead of +1.1%. This is in addition a possible credit crunch in China because of rising inflation (2.7% in February).

Firstly, the current account deficit remained virtually stable in France in January over December, to 3.4 billion euros, against 3.3 billion euros in December, by BdF cashadvance .

The automotive sector in the form

The CAC 40 is pulled up by the automotive sector. Renault (+1.85% to 33.885 euros) is the fourth largest increase in the index. It is preceded by Peugeot (+1.90% to 21.990 euros). Far behind Michelin earns 0.46% to 57.19 euros. Valeo lost 0.22% to 24.91 euros.Faurecia is gaining 0.53% to 14.33 euros.

The bank also support document: Credit Agricole (+1.20% to 12.2 euros), BNP Paribas (0.67% to 57.28 euros) and Societe Generale (+1.66% to 44.730 euros) seem announcements have given the Chinese tighten credit.

EADS (-0.07 to 14.840 euros): the controversy swells around the financing of the A400M. Matignon is mulling an appeal to the general loan or option focusing on the state budget.

Pernod Ricard (+0.10% at 60.30 euros) which has launched a bond issue of 1.2 billion euros on Thursday, brought together an order book exceeding 5.5 billion euros. The proceeds from the offering will be used to repay the installments shorter credit union to extend the maturity of the debt.

Total (stable at 39.10 euros) is always under pressure.The CGT oil group called for a resumption of the strike in the refinery when the Justice will rule on his request for interim measures for the crime of interference with employee representative bodies. The CEC will file early next week a motion to that effect.

Mich?le Bellon, Assistant General Manager of Dalkia, will succeed Michael Francony at the head of the ERDF, the distribution subsidiary of EDF (-0.42% to 38.125 euros).

EDF Energies Nouvelles has announced Friday that U.S. power company Indiana Power and Light (IPL) had canceled the contract of sale of electricity on wind project Lakefield, in south-west of the State of Minnesota. The Exchange sanctions: -2.80% to 36.160 euros.

Cellectis (-0.69% to 10.02 euros) on Friday announced a turnover in 2009 rose 14% to 12.1 million.The group also announced a strengthening of its cash to 45.6 million euros against 28.7 million a year earlier.

As for publications, Rally (-1.18% to 25.9 euros), which controls Casino (-0.25% to 60.86 euros) will announce its annual results.

Investors began to doubt when the morale of U.S. households showed slightly degraded. Americans are less optimistic about employment prospects. The index of consumer sentiment fell to 72.5 in March against 73.6 in February.

The effect on U.S. markets was immediate. While in the early exchanges, they open up, already after three consecutive sessions in green, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S & P 500 are passed into the red.

Around 16:30, they retreat respectively of 0.06%, 0.34% and 0.19%.

This Friday at 14:30, retail sales in the United States have resisted to the bad weather in February.Against all odds, they rose by 0.3% compared to January (in data seasonally adjusted) while analysts felt they had declined by 0.2%.

This supports other new ad, released Thursday, which was rather reassuring, even if they still underscore the difficulties overseas cheapest one. Like the U.S. trade deficit fell to 37.29 billion dollars from 39.9 billion in January. For specialists Barclays Exchange, "it is a pleasant surprise to the extent that economists were expecting a deficit of 41 billion dollars."Other good news side of the labor market "listings weekly unemployment fell to 462,000 from 469,000 the previous week.

Oil prices rose Friday in the opening exchanges in New York on a more optimistic market demand after the new forecast of the International Atomic Energy. The barrel of light sweet crude for April delivery was trading at the opening at 82.97 dollars, up 86 cents from the previous day.

On Wall Street will be sitting under the sign consumer with the publication of sales information for the month of February and the preliminary estimate of consumer confidence.Business inventories for the month of January will be published in late afternoon.

Citigroup rose 20% in 4 sessions

On the side of values, the CEO of Citigroup has pledged a return to profitability of the bank. The state could get rid of all of its shares within twelve months. The title of Citigroup rose 30% since the beginning of the month and by 20% since the stock market Monday. Friday, the shares resumed their breath, down from 0.7% to $ 4.15.

For several sessions throughout the banking sector enjoys a renewed interest from investors. On Thursday, he was also concerned by the failure of talks in the U.S. Senate to reform the financial system.After several months of effort, Senator Dodd, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, failed to reach an agreement between Republicans and Democrats on this bill to reform the banking system.

In the energy sector, Devon Energy (0.51%, to 72.41 dollars), the specialist production of oil will sell at BP Plc for seven billion dollars of assets located in Brazil, Azerbaijan and Gulf of Mexico.

Note also the manufacturer of semiconductor National Semiconductor announced after the close of the NYSE, a profit of 53.2 million, or 22 cents a share against 18 cents expected by analysts' consensus. Turnover was 361.9 million against 348.6 million expected by analysts. Titles rise of 0.63%, to 14.44 dollars.