Finance ministers of the euro area hoping to keep their meeting Friday night at the Chateau de Senningen, Luxembourg, secret. Not a chance. It was stale, in real time by the website of the magazine Der Spiegel, the most famous of Germany, who found a little faster, there was talk of an "exit" of Greece to the euro area. A new contradicted on all sides, which was enough to plunge the euro of 1.30%, to $ 1.43 on Friday night.
If the output of the euro was a rumor "completely fanciful" in the words of Bercy, the financial position of Greece was indeed part of the discussions in the Grand Duchy.A situation so explosive, with a debt of 350 billion euros in early 2011 (150% of GDP), that this appointment did not appear on any official agenda …
Were present in Luxembourg: Jean-Claude Juncker, head of the Eurogroup, which took the initiative of the meeting, Christine Lagarde, Wolfgang Schäuble, Julio Tremonti of Italy, the Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou; Minister Spanish Solgado Elena, the ECB president, Jean-Claude Trichet and European Commissioner for Economic Affairs, Olli Rehn.
"We did not discuss output Greece to the euro! It's a stupid idea! We do not want the euro area explodes! "Insisted Jean-Claude Juncker after the meeting, visibly annoyed. "We also exclude the option of restructuring the heavily cited by the markets," he added."Greece needs a further adjustment program," he insists.
Rejected by France, the ECB, the European Commission and the boss of the Eurogroup, who fear the contagion effect in the euro area (see below), the assumption of a debt restructuring Greek has nevertheless been mentioned, as "mild" a debt rescheduling. But it was not accepted as a reasonable assumption, including the Germans. "This is not the agenda," says Will we in Berlin, even though the Liberals in the coalition are pushing for banks to charge, and, failing to leave Greece in the euro area …
A hole estimated at 30 billion
Leaving aside these two extreme options, there is only one solution: a new financial extension beyond the 110 billion euros of loans already granted by the EU and the IMF to Greece.This amount is insufficient today to cover the financing needs of Greece to June 2013, when the rescue plan will expire today.
To fill a hole estimated at 30 billion euros, before the coming into force the European mechanism of stabilization (TSS), a new form of rescue was considered, in Luxembourg.
According to the Greek finance minister, he would "use the recent European Council decision authorizing the Fund to redeem the debt Greek." This is not Greece which would directly lesmarchés in 2012, as agreed at the first save, but the Fiscal Stabilization Fund (EFSF), which would acquire the newly issued debt by Athens at the height of 25-30000000000 euros. The EFSF, sovereign rated 'AAA' markets, has 440 billion euros of lending capacity.
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