International News

The damage is limited. After the first weekend after the degradation of the sovereign rating of the United States by Standard's and Poor's, the world was afraid to wake up on Monday on a stock market crash. Certainly, Asian stock markets, first to start the week and give the trend, showing all this morning a marked decline of more than 2%. But the risk of a crash seems for the moment excluded.

More than 48 hours after the announcement that shook the world's largest economy, Asian investors have been partially sensitive to the political mobilization of the weekend, both of European leaders, who called for the adoption by the end of September pland the rescue of Greece on 21 July. But also that of the ECB, on Sunday night discussed a possible acquisition of Italian and Spanish debt, and the White House, which yesterday called for unity among Democrats and Republicans.

The yen is rebounding

Still, if the announcement of the degradation of the United States was somewhat expected in Asia, the timing chosen by Standard & Poor's has caught the markets, even after a weekend of reflection, continuing their descent into hell. In this context of concern about the state of European and American finance, the yen has tended to take some strength vis-à-vis the dollar and euro. Around 4 o'clock, Paris time, the dollar was worth around 78.05 yen and the euro hovered on the other hand around 111.90 yen, the two displayed small decline vis-à-vis the Japanese currency. A phenomenon still unfavorable export values.

In Tokyo, after opening down 1.40%, the Nikkei 225 blue chips of its losses widened in mid-session.The index fell by 2.17% to 9097.90 points, although the statement last night the Japanese Minister of Finance Yoshihiko Noda, who has maintained his confidence in the U.S. Treasury, and emphasized the mobilization of the European central bankers sign of awareness on the efforts to be undertaken.

Same phenomenon in other major Asian markets, but more amplified. China, which was very critical this weekend against the failure of U.S. lawmakers to find a long-term solution to their debt problems, the tooth was also harder on the markets: the Hang Seng Hong Kong picks up 4.12% on Monday morning at 20,082.80 points while the Chinese CSI 300 lost 3.51% to 2795.64 points. Beijing is by far the largest holder of U.S. debt in the world with 1.16 trillion dollars of U.S. Treasury bills in the drawers.

Elsewhere in Asia, all places show a sharp decline. The KRX South Korean loose 3.45% to 7581.86 points, while the S & P / ASX 200 Australian loses 2.14% to 4017.60 points. A Bonbay, the BSE Sensex was down 2.60% to 16,855.60 points. Finally in Singapore, the FTSE Straits shows the largest decline (-4.14%) to 2870.92 points.

Oil continues to tumble

Moreover, in this context very uncertain about the strength of economic recovery, oil prices continued their steep decline on Monday morning in electronic trading in Asia. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery lost 2.59 dollars to 84.29 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery fell by 2.48 dollars to 106.89 dollars.

At the same time, gold has gone through the roof of 1700 dollars to 1704 dollars an ounce on the market in Hong Kong.

Republicans and Democrats tear each other apart in Washington for several weeks to avoid economic and financial catastrophe. The draft plan expected Sunday night was supposed to at least prevent markets open Monday morning in Asia, the dollar collapses. Since mid-May, when the debt ceiling up to 14,300 Treasury billion was reached, investors have been remarkably patient. But tired of political impasse, however, they could start selling U.S. Treasury securities and cause a sudden rise in bond yields.

Beyond the immediate threat looming two major systemic risks. Chronologically, the first is that of a selective defect of the Treasury. The latter says that beyond the August 2, it will no longer have sufficient liquidity to pay all its bills.The only way to continue to pay both current expenses such as salaries of civil servants, pensions of the elderly, as well as interest and principal on its debt, is to issue new bonds. $ 87 billion of federal government bonds maturing on August 4. It can only do that by issuing new shares. For this, it must have the authority of Congress as the upper limit of 14,300 billion debt would be exceeded.

Risk of asphyxiation

Without authority to do so, the treasure is August 3 in a position to "selective default" is to say, forced to choose which to honor its debts. Even putting hundreds of thousands of civil servants laid off to focus on pensioners and holders of government bonds, the Treasury can hardly make time.Uncle Sam is, in fact, take roughly 42% of what it spends. If he can not borrow, it quickly asphyxiated. This asphyxiation born a global crisis of confidence, the stock market crashes and bond, a collapse in domestic demand in the U.S. and global recession. The enormity of the threat calls for a last-minute compromise, reducing public spending, paving the way for a poll under the ceiling of the debt.

The second danger is less serious, but the probability is much higher: it is the degradation of the AAA rating given to the debt of the United States. American paper would no longer be the instrument chosen by the risk-free banks and investors around the world to park their cash. The returns required by investors to hold bonds tarnished increase.An increase of one percent of these returns would result in $ 150 billion more than annual burden of debt for the Treasury.

The three major agencies have warned the White House and Congress: America does not deserve to keep the rating the best expense only if it engages in a credible plan to reduce the medium to long term its debt. It is therefore possible that next month, noting that the compromise that made it possible to raise the debt ceiling is accompanied only by inadequate measures of savings, one or more agencies degrade America.

The 2012 presidential election will be decided in part on the field of taxation. In an interview in Le Monde, the Paris mayor proposes, as an individual and "beyond tax reform" in the program of the Socialist Party, to do more to contribute to debt reduction the richest of France. Bertrand Delanoe, who also claims to support the candidacy of Martine Aubry, decides to create a tax "exceptional and limited in time" on high incomes.

"The truth is that we need new resources to reduce debt of France and restore the public, he says in the daily newspaper. [...] So yes, I support what you ask most favored an effort "extra.In a context where the countries situated on the outskirts of the euro area are struggling to convince markets of the sustainability of their debt, the mayor of Paris has combined the fight against the deficit to a real "war": "And when you are war, they say the truth, "he said.

Fusion of the income tax and the CSG

Asked about the unpopularity of this measure, the elected official responded that "citizens may be more courageous leaders" and recalled that in 2008, when he announced to the Parisian tax increases before the election, "They put their trust in me well quick pay day loan." The government in turn made a recent tax reform, repealing the tax shield and at the same time reducing the wealth tax.

If the program of the Socialist Party is not considering special tax aimed at the richest, yet it provides to increase the progressivity of the income tax, now he considers unfair. His plan for 2012 provides for merging the income tax and the CSG, with the aim to simplify taxes and make it more redistributive. An idea which is also his way to the right, particularly in Jean-Francois Cope and Henry Gaino. The pen of the Elysée found Saturday morning in Libération that the proposal "is worth pondering. A condition to be very attentive to the issue of escalation, "he said.

"The project of the PS does not the road." The essayist Alain Minc does not beat around the bush to try the program of the Socialist Party should he win the presidential election in 2012.

In addition to his friendship with Martine Aubry, Alain Minc believes that this project is "totally unsuited to the economic situation." "This is a project that was modern in 1981!, Says in an interview with the daily Le Parisien / Today in France. Youth employment is the world of yesterday. We can not, with the blade of the debt so close to our neck, having a Keynesian program. " The essayist and remember that "debt represents 80% of our gross domestic product. 20% is what he had to do to end the crisis. The remaining 60% are the result of thirty years of accumulated cowardice, left and right wing. "

Alain Minc goes even further in his indictment.He said a victory for the Socialist Party in 2012 would be penalized by financial markets. "The application of the socialist project would lose to France's 'AAA'," says Alain Minc. If for now the rating agencies have confirmed the rating of the country, it could be questioned if France did not take more drastic measures to reduce its deficit.

Lagarde IMF: "A decisive push Sarkozy"

Among the various proposals of the PS, Alain Minc attacks the merger of the income tax and social contribution. It considers the measure "extremely devastating for the middle class. I have long been convinced that all European countries should increase VAT by 2%. It will not escape, "said he.

Another topic discussed: compensation of top managers.While Nicolas Sarkozy and François Fillon supported the measure to overtax Xavier Bertrand and Jean-Francois Cope was cautious, Alain Minc "tearing his hair" when he sees the boss of Renault, Carlos Ghosn, will reach 10 million euros for fiscal 2010. "The selfishness of the ruling classes should encourage them to be more moderate in terms of pay. I persist and sign: we must know to practice self-regulation, "says he.

On the euro, Alain Minc said the German attitude to save Greece "intelligently selfish." "If Germany was up to the Deutschmark, it would be in recession," said he.

Finally, he welcomed the appointment of Christine Lagarde to head the International Monetary Fund."It's miraculous! Obviously there was a decisive push to Sarkozy, "he enthuses.

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The race started Wednesday in the Greek Parliament for the adoption of the new austerity plan was completed Thursday. After an initial victory yesterday leading to the adoption of the text by 155 votes against 138, the Socialist government of George Papandreou has successfully overcome the last step: the passage of the legislation implementing the new master plan. The bill received 155 votes against 136, or an absolute majority in parliament, which comprises 300 members.

On Thursday, all the Socialist deputies, more Conservative MP Elsa Papadimitriou, who had made the day before his voice to the government to adopt the master plan of austerity, approved the text "on principle".The 136 deputies present to the opposition of left and right voted against, while five dissidents centrist conservative opposition voted white.

The second text, submitted to MPs, concerned the procedure for implementing conservation measures for 28 billion euros over five years free credit score online. Its adoption was imposed by the eurozone in return for the payment of a new tranche of aid to 110 billion euros developed with the EU and the IMF. A meeting of finance ministers from the euro area, scheduled July 3, will be devoted to the continuation of aid to Greece.

The Greek Parliament has fulfilled the necessary conditions for release of money to Athens to avoid bankruptcy, estimated Thursday the permanent EU president, Herman Van Rompuy, and the European Commission, José Manuel Barroso."The conditions are now in place for a decision on the payment of the next tranche of financial assistance for Greece and for rapid progress on the second bailout", they tried in a joint statement.

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Tenders for the smart grid and waste recovery, today announced the first six institutes of technology and equipment of the first wave of excellence, creation of national fund boot which will have 400 million to invest in young innovative companies … Just in recent days, the operations related to the investment program for the future have not failed! And it lasts for eighteen months …

The program, which must prepare "the France of tomorrow" will be the subject of the press conference of head of state this morning. "Nicolas Sarkozy is that this topic is important and can not talk enough about this initiative should restore the competitiveness of France," said his entourage. Yet René Ricol leads to the rod.Appointed commissioner-general for investment to drive the program, the former ombudsman of credit has one goal in mind: to create wealth and employment in France over time.

In December 2009, Nicolas Sarkozy set the priorities for the future supported by the large loan. Following the recommendations of the report Rocard-Juppe, he announced 35 billion euros of investment and ultimately rejected the idea of ​​a popular loan – a form of financing too costly at a time when the debt of France is under the eye markets. Five priorities were identified: higher education and training, research, industry and SME development and finally digital. Today, all 35 billion euros is in the hands of the public operators (ADEME, OSEO, the CDC …) that are responsible for distributing the money.

The response of government was quick. Thursday afternoon, members of the IEA (International Energy Agency), which includes industrialized countries, have decided to use their strategic oil stocks. One way to compensate for the lack of production Jamahiriya, the latter being blocked since February. A few hours later, the Energy Minister, Eric Besson said in a statement he wanted to Total "that any drop in oil prices is reflected at the pump." A wish welcomed by the CEO of Total, says Besson, who will make the same request to other fuel dispensers.

The decision of the IEA is not surprising. The agency warned in May that it was ready to use "all means" in case of persistent lack of production paydayloans.Specifically, it will bring to market 2 million barrels per day for a month, compared to 1.6 million barrels of Libyan production. PAGE The United States will provide half of Europe about 30%. France will contribute in proportion to its consumption, or 3.2 million barrels, equivalent to about 2% of French strategic stocks.

To some analysts, this is a "rifle-shot." Coupled with the renewed concerns about global growth, the announcement Thursday caused a decline in oil prices – about $ 8 a barrel in London and $ 6 in New York.

Executives more optimistic about the market environment of the job, but more demanding in their career development and wages. These are the two main lessons of the seventh wave of the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi on the frames and the labor market, to be published tomorrow. For the first time since June 2008, executives are optimistic about the economic developments in employment (56% against 49% last December). Nearly three-quarters also have a positive opinion about their own jobs (72%).

This generally favorable decision must be relativized by two elements identified by the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi: a sense of degradation of working conditions and wage increases perceived as inadequate.And 54% of executives believe the work environment deteriorated and are as likely to be called "strained" relations with their superiors (43% against 29% who disagree). More importantly, 72% of executives still observe an increase in their workload and 69% said the emphasis on productivity increases.

Salaries disappointing

Hand wages, although the proportion of executives who received an increase earlier this year was up 5 points from December 2010 (39% against 34%), they are well below what they expected. 69% of managers have been increased, have been less than 4%. "There is a correlation between the increase seen in 2011 and the level of executive compensation," said the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi. Executives receiving more than 50 000 euros have seen their exceed 4% increase quick guaranteed personal loans.Moreover, nearly one in five executives saw their work is valued through missions or additional responsibilities or most interesting (17%) or by the granting of benefits in kind (16%) or by further consideration (15%) to compensate for the absence or the low pay increase.

Not surprising in these conditions that improved wages still awaiting the first frames: they are now 62% want to earn more, or three points since December 2010. This is the highest level since the first wave of the barometer in June 2008.

Cap on executive pay

To win better wages the French no longer hesitate to look elsewhere and to change employers. "Almost four in ten business (39%) are willing to change companies, an increase of 7 points in one year," said Cadremploi.Also 31% of respondents said "consider a change of occupation and / or business." What do they expect wage increases of mobility? "18% on average" …

Executives, who feel that their leaders do not quickly enough to loosen the purse strings, will also show severe levels of remuneration of top managers. They are in favor of a limitation of the latter, "more than one part in two (52%) say that leaders should receive an amount less than 250,000 euros" is the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi. Compensation deemed "acceptable" is averaging 386,641 euros.

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Gloomy atmosphere at the Paris Bourse. On Wednesday, the benchmark index in Paris ended sharply down 0.88% to 3837.98 points. Either in the 3850 points, a significant technical threshold, which has not happened since March 18 last. Even bad mood: the London Stock Exchange was down 0.95% at 5808.89 points while in Frankfurt the Dax loose 0.61% to 7060.23 points.

On Tuesday, the benchmark index beyond the Paris Bourse had managed to achieve a small rebound. But since the Fed has made comments that disturb operators, already worried by the weak U.S. economy. In a televised speech in Atlanta, its chairman Ben Bernanke said that economic growth across the Atlantic remained "desperately slow" and that it required the maintenance of a "monetary policy complacency."He said that "growth should recover somewhat in the second half, but remain generally moderate. Delivered just before the close of U.S. markets, the speech was the turning Wall Street into the red. And this morning, Asian stock markets also reacted negatively.

Furthermore, growth of the emerging world should rise from 7.3% in 2010 "to about 6.3% annually from 2011-2013," considers the Bank's global economic forecast published in Washington.

French record trade deficit

In this gloomy atmosphere, the markets will monitor several indicators, mainly European.

– In France, the trade deficit set a record high in April to 7.14 billion euros, against 5.91 billion in March, seasonally adjusted data, the Customs said Wednesday.Moreover, the deficit of state budget stood at 61.4 billion euros in late April against 56.2 billion a year earlier, according to data released Wednesday by the Budget Ministry.

– In Germany, exports fell 5.5% in April on a month and imports by 2.5% over the same period, according to preliminary data adjusted for seasonal and calendar published Wednesday by the Federal Statistics Office . Other bad news, industrial production in Germany fell 0.6% in April on a month, its first decline since December, after rising 1.2% in March, said Wednesday the Department of Economics.

– Economic growth of countries in the euro area was well brought up to 0.8% in the first quarter from the previous quarter, Eurostat said.In one year, growth was also confirmed at 2.5%.

– U.S. stocks of crude oil dropped ten times more than expected last week in the U.S., but gasoline inventories rose sharply, according to figures released Wednesday by the U.S. Department of Energy. Then 20 hours, the Fed will deliver the findings of its Beige Book.

Side currency, the euro lost ground against the dollar Wednesday after being around $ 1.47 the day before. To 17 hours in Paris, the single European currency traded at 1.4575 dollars against 1.4688 dollars late Tuesday. Oil prices were, themselves, without direction in electronic trading in Asia in anticipation of an OPEC meeting in Vienna in the day that might decide to increase production.A barrel of light sweet crude for July delivery took 7 cents 99.16 dollars while that of Brent North Sea crude for delivery same retreated 48 cents to 116.30 dollars.

Banks still abused

No value of the CAC 40 is in the green at closing. On the SBF 120, Groupe Eurotunnel rises of 0.88%. The operator of the Channel Tunnel has won the tender launched by the great seaport of Bordeaux to determine the particular conditions of access to the network of railways, said on Tuesday a statement from the group.Saft rises of 0.80%, HSBC rose to overweight on the title.

Back on the Cac 40, Alcatel-Lucent shows the largest decrease: -3.26% to 3.65 euros.

Sanofi Aventis, valued for his defensive forward timidly from 0.17% to 52.33 euros.

Banks are generally downward: Natixis (-2.07% to 3.50 euros), Societe Generale (-1.39% to 39.79 euros) and BNP Paribas (-0.82% to 52.21 euros ) undergo further profit taking.

PPR: -1.67% to 115.15 euros

The group announced it is extending its takeover offer for the American Volcom until June 16

Hermes: +0.08% to 187.80 euros, LVMH: -1.11% to 116.30 euros

The group returns to its highest in October 2010 and outperformed the other lasting values ​​of luxury in favor of speculation about a takeover at the end of the saddle by LVMH, which already owns more than 20% of a group supported by sustained growth .

Schneider Electric: -1.34% to 110.70 euros

The authority of U.S. markets, the SEC filed a complaint for insider trading around the offer of French Schneider Electric on the Spanish Telvent. According to a warning issued Tuesday on the website of the SEC, this crime would have allowed the authors to make a profit of about $ 475,000 in total through the sale of option contracts Telvent acquired before the announcement of massive Schneider's offer.

Renault: -2.20% to 36.72 euros

The decision of the Court of Appeal of Versailles on the possible recognition as an occupational accident suicide in February 2007, Raymond D, employee Technocentre Renault in Guyancourt (Yvelines), is expected Thursday.The suicide of Raymond D was the third employee of the Technocentre in the space of four months between late 2006 and early 2007.

Belvedere: stable at 61.48 euros

After the decision of the Court of Appeal of Dijon, on Tuesday to confirm the cancellation of the safeguard procedure, the band announced that it "remains open to an agreement with its main creditors in the run to finish with a conflict that has lasted too long. "

BioAlliance: + 1.78% to 6.30 euros

The group wants to create a commercial structure for selling online in Europe's orphan drugs in oncology while pursuing its strategy of licensing agreements for its specialty products.

NYSE Euronext: -0.54% to 24.06 euros

NYSE and Deutsche Börse have announced a special dividend of 2 euros per share for shareholders of the combined group

GDF Suez: -0.49% to 24.43 euros

Group CEO, Gerard Mestrallet, warned Tuesday against Montreal seduction exerted excessive public opinion renewables, noting in particular the high cost of wind power."These are intermittent energy sources that will require large reserve capacity, which will be based on natural gas because of the ease of use of gas turbines," he told the International Economic Forum of the Americas.

Total: -0.20% to 38.21 euros

The U.S. manufacturer SunPower solar panels, partial target of a takeover of French Total, raised its forecast Tuesday quarterly revenue but warned that its margins could suffer from falling prices.

Next recommendation, after Exane BNP Paris yesterday, Credit Suisse rose to "outperform" on the title Michelin (-0.14% to 63.70 euros).

Please note that Air France-KLM will unveil its traffic in May after-hours trading. Valeo and Sopra hold their general meetings and Gifi publish the results of its second quarter after market close.

Memory market on Friday, 13 has little impact on markets, even if Friday, October 13, 1989 took place a minikrach. In real estate, however some have difficulty leaving their superstition on the shelf.

The "Paraskevidékatriaphobia (phobia 13) deprives many American buildings 13th floor, and many palaces room or table 13. In the UK, according to a British website, Zoopla, an apartment of less than 300,000 euros, at number 13 of a street, would sell for an average of 4000 pounds (4593 euros) less than 12 or 14 .

The 13 does not however run the streets: 28% of UK streets do not payday loan no faxing. It has often been cleared between 11 and 15, or disguised in 11a. In Paris, there are not 13, rue du Faubourg Saint-Honore, since the Empress Eugenie decided. But when they exist, the numbers 13 are not cheaper than 15 or 11.

In Orpi or Féau is remembered buyers have waived a house not quite "feng shui", but not because of 13. Citing statistics, the Notaries of Paris confirms: "For the No. 13 tracks, there is no special discount. Parisians do not seem superstitious! "Neither the address nor the floor … in the Montparnasse tower does have a 13th.