International News

Like the Asian stock market, expected to open the Cac 40 up 1.5% above 3100 points, according to the indices "future" and on Monday in the wake of U.S. indexes rebound on Friday. The main European indices, with the exception of the London Stock Exchange will remain closed on Monday and is expected up 1.1% and 2% on opening. Bank stocks, however, should react to the statements of the owner of the International Monetary Fund.

Friday, after a negative early trading, Wall Street has ended the session on gains of 1.2% for the Dow and the Nasdaq 2.5%, investors focusing on positive ads during the next meeting of the Federal Reserve in September suggested Ben Bernanke at a conference of Jackson Hole.The anticipation of a further intervention by the Fed puts the dollar under pressure against a basket of currencies: the dollar is trading at 1.4537 dollar per euro.

And always in the context of the general economic meeting in Jackson Hole Christine Lagarde urged this weekend to recapitalize banks. She said that the European institutions "need of urgent recapitalization." Former Minister of Finance believes that these measures are the "key to cut the chain of contagion," New blow to the banking sector, weakened already widely during the summer.

Irene reduced cost

Other news of the weekend: the passage of Hurricane Irene passed through New York without drama. He also was demoted to a tropical depression. U.S. markets should open smoothly and Monday.Hurricane Irene would have between 500 million and one billion dollars in damage in the Caribbean and the United States, according to catastrophe modeling firm EQECAT. A figure below the most pessimistic forecasts considered before the hurricane.

Referring to the financial crisis, Laurence Parisot said that "if Europe were attacked, not because it is weak but because it is strong, and if it is envy, because it is enviable, "In an interview with Le Figaro, the boss of bosses denounced a U.S. plot against the euro area.

The price of Brent was down, refineries and oil terminals on the East Coast of the United States seem not to have suffered major damage, easing fears of a supply disruption.In addition, Libya resumes oil exports within a month, according to the spokesman of the Arabian Gulf Oil Company (Agoco), controlled by the rebels. Crude oil production will resume in mid-September on two deposits in the country.

Still on macroeconomic markets will learn on Monday of income and household consumption in the United States in July and promises of home sales.

Banking supervision

As for values, the eyes of investors should focus on bank stocks.

In addition, Ingenico said it had repurchased TNET, an Italian company specializing in payment terminals, for an amount that was not disclosed. According to Ingenico, TNET manages an installed base of 45,000 terminals in Italy.

APRR observe the re-opening until September 9 of the OPR launched by Eiffage and Macquarie.The toll road was also noted Friday that the evolution of traffic early in the second half was mixed for light vehicles, but remained well oriented for heavy vehicles.

In addition, ING has lowered its board to maintain, against buy Arkema on the title and reduced its price target on the value to 55 euros (as against 85 euros).

Canal + could push his plans for the IPO. While the ACC has lost nearly 20% of its value during the summer, analysts are skeptical of an imminent public offerings of media group, reports Les Echos. The listing of the 20% held by Lagardère has already been de-programmed, it could eventually sell its stake in Vivendi, the majority shareholder.

For its part Orange would be in conflict with the American Cogent.The U.S. operator has, according to La Tribune, filed a complaint against his French counterpart to the competition authority for "abuse of dominant position." Orange is accused of preventing users from accessing the site MegaUpload. the conflict began in January when Orange had decided to grant the account drop traffic from Cogent.

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An uncompromising report. For over a year, dozens of officials, led by the Audit Office, analyzed the tax and social niches, as a result of a mission request François Fillon. "The total amount of tax expenditures and social niches weighs heavily on public finances. Their development can also affect the readability of the tax and benefit system, and the fair distribution of public office, "wrote the Prime Minister.

The CAC 40, which gained nearly 4% over the last three sessions, was down 0.65% at 3119 points on Thursday on the eve of the intervention (16 hours on Friday, Paris time) of President of the U.S. central bank, Ben Bernanke. He could announce new measures of monetary easing to support the U.S. economy. Or, failing that, to maintain low rates. Meanwhile, despite cost-cutting measures announced yesterday in France, and which could have an impact on some companies, the stock index, which opened up this morning, was up until about 1530, slowly approaching the 3200 points mark. Before turning down, weighed down by various rumors, immediately denied, one on the degradation of the AAA rating in Germany, the other on a total ban on short selling in the country.These rumors have pushed the Dax in Frankfurt ended sharply lower after losing 1.71% to 4%.

On the macroeconomic front, two indicators were expected at the meeting. The morale of German consumers, hit by the debt crisis in the eurozone and the agony of a recession has reached its lowest level since late 2010, announced Thursday the specialized institute GfK. The GfK said its consumer confidence index, which provides for their behavior in September according to data compiled in August stood at 5.2 points and finds its level in November 2010. This is his sixth consecutive decline.

Above all, the weekly jobless claims in the U.S. rose unexpectedly during the week of Aug. 20, at 417,000 against 412,000 the previous week, according to data from U.S. Department of Labor unveiled at 14:30.What foster uncertainty and investor concerns about the health of the world's largest economy, while analysts had forecast 405,000 registrations.

In France, unemployment figures and job seekers for the month of July will be released after market close at 6:00 p.m..Labour Minister, Xavier Bertrand, warns that unemployment figures "are wrong as were those of the previous two months."

Side raw materials, oil prices rose Thursday to open in New York a barrel of "light sweet crude" for October delivery was trading at 85.99 dollars, up 83 cents from the previous day.

Sharp decline in quarterly profit of Crédit Agricole

On the corporate side, the ball of the results continues.

Crédit Agricole: + 4.81% to 6.511 euros – largest increase in the CAC 40 to BNP Paribas (2.74% to 34.36 euros) and Societe Generale (3.44% to 22.13 euros).

Crédit Agricole has published a net profit down 10.6% to 339 million euros in the second quarter 2011, due to a charge of 640 million related to Greece.In addition, the group could spend 1.5 billion euros to recapitalize its subsidiaries in Southern Europe including the Greek bank Emporiki, according to the Letter of expansion without citing sources.half-year results of companies, including Credit Agricole and Edenred, the branch of Accor Services.

Edenred: + 1.58% to 17.70 euros

Edenred announced interim results and annual targets in line with analysts' expectations, the strong activity in Latin America continue to boost the profits of the group.

Alstom: – 0.91% to 30.485 euros

Alstom has signed two contracts for more than 100 million euros to supply equipment for controlling the air quality in the Middle East.

Cellectis: 12% to 6.72 euros

Cellectis has entered a development agreement and license with the American Recombinetics on "the creation of transgenic large animals" such as pigs, sheep or cattle.

Schneider Electric – 0.18% to 89.14 euros

Schneider Electric announced that its takeover bid for Telvent Git SA expire 30 August instead of September 12.

Gemalto: + 6.33% to 31.41 euros

Gemalto has reported a strong growth in its half-yearly sales, thanks to the strong growth of its secure transactions that are now the most profitable activity of the group.

Bureau Veritas: + 1.14% to 53.89 euros

Bureau Veritas announced adjusted net income up 10% to 164.2 million euros in the first half, operating margin declined 70 basis points to 16.0%, and confirmed predict a sharp increase in the number and business results in 2011.

The White House on Saturday called for the unity of the Democratic and Republican parties to restore the economic and budgetary situation of the United States, after the degradation for the first time in their history of "AAA" rating. "We must do better to show our willingness, our ability and commitment to work together to address the economic and budgetary challenges," said the spokesman for the White House, Jay Carney, in a statement.

Shortly before, the only official reaction came from the Treasury and was terse: "an appreciation vitiated by an error of 2000 billion dollars speaks for itself." This release has illustrated the high tensions between the administration occurred Friday Obama and the rating agency Standard and Poor's, crystallized around a miscalculation of 2000 billion.

As tradition dictates, S & P has informed earlier this afternoon the Treasury's decision before making it public. This is usually an opportunity for the government to point out any factual errors. At this meeting, U.S. officials soon discover that the projections of S & P over ten years the budget deficit and public debt do not coincide with the figures of the executive, from the work of the Office of Congressional Budget (CBO).The U.S. public debt stood at 93% of GDP in 2021 instead of the expected 85%, a difference of two trillion dollars.

Standard and Poor's emphasizes the "political risks"

Faced with protests from the government, the rating agency starts with defense. She claims to be part of the work of the CBO, a retaining projection "alternative" of government spending, considered more realistic. After discussions, however, she agrees to return to the initial forecasts. The Treasury advised her to give himself time to review the numbers cold.

Far from judging, Standard and Poor's does not reverse its decision to lower the rating of the United States to "AA +" with 'Negative' outlook. The agency submits a new version of its release to focus on "political risks" to see the country taking insufficient measures against its budget deficit payday loan lenders.In another statement released at night, she explained that the correction of the error has changed only marginally forecasts of debt in 3 to 5 years to come, "decisive" for its decision. "This is a technical error, no serious consequences," says one within the agency.

According to S & P, the political debate on these issues in the United States is indeed not up to the problems caused by a debt of more than 14,500 billion.According to a U.S. government source quoted by CNBC, this episode proves that the decision by Standard and Poor's was taken regardless of the numbers, while revised data showed that the deficit would be sustainable over the next ten years.

"Latest victim of the failure of Obama's economic"

The rating agency had in fact warned in mid-July the Obama administration she wanted a deficit reduction of 4 trillion dollars over ten years to maintain the triple-A, instead of hard-won 2.1 trillion. John Chambers, President of the Evaluation Committee of S & P, also found on CNN that Washington could have prevented the lowering of the notes within the ceiling as soon as the statutory debt.He said the responsibilities were shared by the Administration and Obama, but also "the previous administration."

The political reaction in Washington have shown just block pointed to by S & P. Mitt Romney, candidate for the Republican primary for the 2012 presidential election, has described the downgrade of American "latest victim of the failure of Obama's economic" and the Republican president the House of Representatives "consequence of uncontrolled spending in Washington in recent decades."The Senate Democratic leader, Harry Reid, has instead called for "a balanced approach to deficit reduction," with lower costs but also increases targeted taxes, it rejected the Republicans, under pressure ultra-conservative "tea parties" in the recent discussions on the debt.

(With branches)

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Red Cedar rising from the ashes. The brand furniture and decorating high-end look forward to sign this year a profitable year, after reaching the balance last year. "Our sales have increased sixfold, from 1 to 6 million euros in 2010. We expect a turnover of 8-9000000 euros this year, "said CEO Henry the Minstrel. A great success because, in its heyday in the early 2000s, Red Cedar posted sales barely higher (12 million euros in 2001). And by exploiting ten stores, not two, like today.

The company suffered a severe weight loss, following its failed merger with Le Prince Jardinier in 2006.When Henri Le Menestrel, accompanied by the fund Nextstage already present in the capital (20% today), took over the business in late 2008, the group "was making a million sales and a million casualties," recalls it. He who had just sell its media agency online Lagardère decided to open a shop for a new genre, while preserving the historical site at Châtelet and the brand, much appreciated. "We have broken the codes of high-end furniture, installing Red Cedar Feucherolles end of 2009, twenty minutes drive from the Porte d'Auteuil, in the fields," says its CEO. Having seen that "unlike the fashion industry, the decoration brands have never built their own store and are difficult," he wants a "multi-specialist" and exposes the Fermob chairs, sofas and Marie's Corner sunshades in the "dedicated showrooms."

The project won: true destination of family visits on weekends, the store was expanded this summer, for the fourth time, from 700 square meters two years ago in late September 4200. Besides the fifty brands presented, the brands of Red Cedar – tables and mailboxes with Christmas decorations – there are still very place. "With little marks in furniture and decorating high-end customers need to compare really to understand the quality factors and to choose the range that suits them," said Henri Le Menestrel.

Seize opportunities

Same strategy to the shop on the Internet, including a new version has just been put online: the user can learn and even to shop, but it is especially encouraged to move Feucherolles.For if the sign already generates 10% of its sales on the Internet, she wants to see progress especially the number of visitors.

"We feared that the store does Châtelet suffers from the rise of that of Feucherolles, but the opposite is true!", Says the CEO. These good results may prompt Red Cedar to relocate in town to present, for example, one or more product categories in smaller areas. It is precisely to capture "many and varied opportunities" of this type, but also small acquisitions like that of a small specialist light in early 2009, as Nextstage invest in the fall about 2.5 million. A larger amount than in 2008 (1.5 million), a sign of his confidence and that will advance the participation of the fund to 30%.

Insensitive to the new this morning reported last night, after-hours trading, the rating agency Moody's downgraded four notches of the long-term rating of Portugal, the Cac 40 back into the red. By mid afternoon, the stock index was down 0.59% to 3955.48 points. Moody's does not trust the program "ambitious" in the words of the new government which includes to reduce the country's deficit from 9.1% to 5.9% this year, and 3% by 2013, and believes it is likely that Portugal needs a new aid in addition to 78 billion decided last May.

In addition, major banks and international insurers have go to Paris again today to discuss how they are expected to attend the next Plan aid to Greece. Chaired by the Institute of International Finance in the presence of several countries, this meeting should not be decisive.According to one familiar with the matter, the Minister of Economy Baroin believes that the negotiations will not end until "several weeks beyond the summer."

Finally, China has raised interest rates Wednesday for the third consecutive time this year by 25 basis points from February to April. The rates of the Chinese central bank now stands at 6.56%.

Yesterday, the Cac 40 ended on a decline of 0.61% and dropped below the 4,000 points, while this morning in Asia, stock markets are mixed – only the Nikkei stands out with a strong increase of 1.1 % – after a session on Wall Street in a disorganized manner.

The euro widens its losses against the dollar

On the currency side, the euro fell sharply against the dollar on Wednesday, weighed down by renewed worries about the economic health of the most fragile countries in the euro area.Mid-afternoon in Paris, the single European currency was worth 1.4325 dollars against 1.4418 dollars late Tuesday.

On the macroeconomic front, the German industrial orders rose 1.8% in May after rising 2.9% in April according to a slightly revised upwards, said Thursday the Ministry of Economy . It now expects the annual Arcep to 15 hours and the economic outlook for the euro area in 16 hours.Overseas, we will monitor the ISM index of activity in the service in June in 16 hours and the weekly inventory of crude oil after half an hour.

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Sodexo (-0.07% to 53.91 euros) on Wednesday confirmed its targets from 2010 to 2011, announcing an increase of 7.7% of sales in the first 9 months of the year in which emerging markets achieved growth rates in double digits.

The manufacturer Gemalto smart card (0.32% to 33.33 euros), the world, announced Tuesday it has been selected by Qatar to secure its online public services, after developing a national identity card e for Qatari nationals.

Bank stocks remain under pressure, affected by concerns surrounding the euro area after the rating is downgraded by Moody's from Portugal and the slow pace of discussions on Greece unsecured personal loans.Mid-session, BNP Paribas was down 1.70% to 51.41 euros, Societe Generale of 2.17% to 40.25 euros and Natixis 2.32% to 3.45 euros. Credit Agricole SA (-3.53% to 9.98 euros, the largest decline CAC) announced the day before the departure of its chief financial Badré Bertrand, completing an overhaul of the General Staff of the French bank since the arrival of the new management team in early 2010.

Dia hard discount to the company being divided of Carrefour (-2.38% to 23.58 euros), fell on his first day of trading Tuesday in Madrid Stock Exchange. In addition, the band recorded new setbacks Tuesday in his attempt to form the leading Brazilian distribution.

EADS (+0.38% at 23.64 euros).AirAsia will buy 100 Airbus 320neo more, bringing its total order to 300 aircraft, said a source with knowledge of the agreement.

Air France-KLM (-1.10% to 10.80 euros) anticipates an annual growth in turnover of at least 20% in China.

Renault searched, unscrews Scor

The IPO of Mauna Kea (15.03% to 15.03 euros) on Thursday will take place over 13 euros per share, the top of the range that had set the French manufacturer of equipment 'endomicroscopy for placement on NYSE Euronext.

Groups rated television (TF1, Metropole TV, Bolloré, NextRadioTV) will be in Paris to follow.The gross advertising revenue duty of television amounted to 4.29 billion euros in the first half, up more than 12% over the same period a year earlier, said Tuesday firm specializing Yacast.

Scor (-2.84% to 18.99 euros) announced that the exceptionally high cost of natural disasters in the first quarter led him to issue up to 75 million shares to strengthen its equity as part of an automatic protection.

The examining magistrate Herve Robert, in charge of the investigation into the case of pseudo-intelligence within Renault (-0.52% to 40.92 euros), visited Tuesday the premises of the manufacturer at Plessis -Robinson (Hauts-de-Seine) to view documents, said the lawyer for Renault.In addition, the group expects its second half sales results are better than the first half of the year, said deputy director general of the group, Carlos Tavares.

The businessman Bernard Arnault, CEO of luxury group LVMH (+0.16% to 127.25 euros), retains the top spot of the professional fortunes of France, with 21.24 billion euros, before Gerard Mulliez and Liliane Bettencourt, according to a ranking published yesterday Challenges.

L'Oreal (0.55% to 90.02 euros). Françoise Bettencourt Meyers Thursday filed a motion requesting the revocation of the mandate to protect his mother, while urging the judge of guardianships in Courbevoie (Hauts-de-Seine) to take legal action, said Tuesday in an AFP judicial source.

"The project of the PS does not the road." The essayist Alain Minc does not beat around the bush to try the program of the Socialist Party should he win the presidential election in 2012.

In addition to his friendship with Martine Aubry, Alain Minc believes that this project is "totally unsuited to the economic situation." "This is a project that was modern in 1981!, Says in an interview with the daily Le Parisien / Today in France. Youth employment is the world of yesterday. We can not, with the blade of the debt so close to our neck, having a Keynesian program. " The essayist and remember that "debt represents 80% of our gross domestic product. 20% is what he had to do to end the crisis. The remaining 60% are the result of thirty years of accumulated cowardice, left and right wing. "

Alain Minc goes even further in his indictment.He said a victory for the Socialist Party in 2012 would be penalized by financial markets. "The application of the socialist project would lose to France's 'AAA'," says Alain Minc. If for now the rating agencies have confirmed the rating of the country, it could be questioned if France did not take more drastic measures to reduce its deficit.

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Among the various proposals of the PS, Alain Minc attacks the merger of the income tax and social contribution. It considers the measure "extremely devastating for the middle class. I have long been convinced that all European countries should increase VAT by 2%. It will not escape, "said he.

Another topic discussed: compensation of top managers.While Nicolas Sarkozy and François Fillon supported the measure to overtax Xavier Bertrand and Jean-Francois Cope was cautious, Alain Minc "tearing his hair" when he sees the boss of Renault, Carlos Ghosn, will reach 10 million euros for fiscal 2010. "The selfishness of the ruling classes should encourage them to be more moderate in terms of pay. I persist and sign: we must know to practice self-regulation, "says he.

On the euro, Alain Minc said the German attitude to save Greece "intelligently selfish." "If Germany was up to the Deutschmark, it would be in recession," said he.

Finally, he welcomed the appointment of Christine Lagarde to head the International Monetary Fund."It's miraculous! Obviously there was a decisive push to Sarkozy, "he enthuses.

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The emerging markets are facing a "problem-rich" fight against the overheating of their economies – from 6 to 7% last year – when developed countries are seeking to boost their low growth. "Their macroeconomic management faces a dilemma: keep inflation that accompanies this growth through restrictive monetary and fiscal policies, knowing that increases in interest rates contribute to the massive influx of capital," says chief economist of Coface, Yves Zlotowski. Some countries are better equipped, such as Brazil, the driving force of the South American continent and one of the first to respond, noting early on interest rates and imposing taxes on capital inflows.

Dilma Rousseff, Lula's successor as president, also began to impose fiscal restraint.If the funds continue to flow, growth has slowed down somewhat in the first quarter to 4.2% against 7.5% previously. "Brazil is a highly diversified economy in its exports, with an internal market dynamics. Above all, the country has lead the last ten years important structural reforms, "adds the analyst.

"Institutional delay"

Conversely, the credit insurer is more concerned about the neighbor Argentina, faced with high inflation of 23%, where the industry is operating at full capacity, supported by consumption and fiscal and monetary policy very accommodative. Overheating is very important in part masked by a current account surplus driven by exports of soybeans in China. But the landing is likely to be brutal crash.

In Asia, the weakest link is located in Vietnam, with a very open economy model of development with Chinese characteristics, based on the investment, mainly Asian. Iran is benefiting from rising costs in China, resulting in even relocation. This generated a huge credit bubble, whose share in GDP increased in ten years from 30 to 120%. The difference is that it does not have the same cash reserves that China and he is obliged to regularly devalue its currency, the dong. "There is a real institutional delay, the risk is, in a skid, discourage investment, which finance the huge current account deficit," Yves Zlotowski analysis.

However, the restrictions put in place gradually in the large emerging economies – China, India, Turkey, Brazil – should provide a soft landing.The challenge is to develop real consumer markets that go through a reduction in inequalities and a growing middle class and to provide for future growth in developed countries.

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In one week the G20 Agriculture, Paris hosts this Thursday and Friday the summit of 120 farmers and agricultural organizations from five continents. A "G120" will bring together 250 delegates at the OECD headquarters to discuss major issues of global agriculture, as the volatility of agricultural commodities and world hunger. "We want to give a voice to farmers around the world before the meeting of Ministers of Agriculture, said Xavier Beulin, first president of the French farmers' union, FNSEA. We have things to say in the fight against price fluctuations, the arrival of hedge funds, or the establishment of intervention stocks … "Specific themes of the G20 member states which represent 85% of world agricultural production . The conference will also open by Nicolas Sarkozy, President of the club of the twenty richest countries in the world.

Several working meetings were held in advance with the French Minister of Agriculture, Bruno Le Maire, and its teams. "The way the Mayor is to meet with as many partners involved in the problems of the G20 in order to reach an agreement," said his entourage. Thus, for the first time NGOs were consulted, as farmers in poorer countries are not part of the G20. A point emphasized by Jean-Cyril Dagorn, head of Oxfam in France. He hailed "the courage of France, who placed at the top of the G20 agenda the issue of agricultural price volatility no fax payday loan."

However, there are mixed on three points. "The preliminary report of the G20 pushed attached the issue of biofuels.However, they help maintain the volatility of agricultural commodities, particularly in the case of ethanol, where 40% of U.S. corn, 15% of world production, are intended for that purpose, "he insists.

Emergency

Another disappointment: the use of stocks only in an emergency to supply the less developed countries, "while they should be viewed as regulatory tools in the markets." Finally Oxfam regret the timidity of the final text on supporting agriculture in developing countries, which is limited to an international research program on the wheat genome. The NGO advocates using small-scale food production, including access to water, land or inputs. After the forum, the G120 looks forward in a joint statement reaffirming the need to strengthen public policies in favor of agriculture."Agriculture is not a production like any other, it must have rules, that is why we do not want to leave the market alone the task of guiding our practices," insists Christiane Lambert, vice President of the FNSEA. On this point, the consensus should be in order.

William Multrier, the CEO of Aegis Media France, leaves office. Present since 2005 in the first group of consulting and media buying in France, he was appointed head of the French subsidiary of British group Aegis in 2009. However, the leader, now forty years old, opted to develop its own projects. Indeed, it is the majority shareholder of Webedia group he founded in 2007 and home to sites like Purepeople.com, Puretrend.com, Purefans.com, but Puremedias formerly Ozap.com bought a few months ago M6. This group should post a turnover of nearly 15 million euros in 2011 and "several million" statement business cards design.Guillaume Multrier, "it became indeed difficult to be both at the head of a media agency and several activities in the media."

However, William Multrier should remain in the group until the end of the year. "I want to help customers but also help the group Aegis to organize my estate and to find my successor," he told Le Figaro.

Aegis Media France is the first French media agency, shoulder to shoulder with Havas (Havas Media). It is also one of Aegis Group's main subsidiaries, which totaled in 2010 a total turnover of 1.68 billion euros.