International News

In the third five-day strike of cabin crew of Air France, the company hopes to provide 85% of the flights scheduled that day, she warned this morning, while a strike notice was filed until Wednesday, November 2 included. Sunday night, Air France said it had secured 88% of its flights of the day, and sent 120,000 passengers.

Remember, the movement is to protest against the proposed reduction in the number of cabin crew in some aircraft, as well as against a reform of the evaluation of these same individuals. The conflict has generated over the weekend a battle of numbers between unions and management. According to the latter, there would be 30% of strikers. The UNSA has instead assessed the proportion of strikers to 65% Sunday, after 50% Saturday payday loan.

"Management is currently parades, but it can not hold the road in five days," said Gaëlle Sibril, steward of Southern Air. "That's why we filed a notice of strike for five days because we know they can be organized over two days but no more," she added. Didier Foussat union FO-SNPNC, "the strike will ramp up because all the volunteers PNC reserves are currently using." For him, "we arrive at a peak" from Monday. "From experience, the third day, ie Monday, which will be very complicated," Judge Philippe Sports Meanwhile, the UNSA.

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Almost non-existent on the high end, Renault plans to return in the race with his partner allemandMercedes, one of the kings of that class. So far, we knew that French was working with his ally on a Nissan platform technique to manufacture both its future high-end, but the Megane compact, and vehicles of similar size in Japanese. But this platform – which targeted 1.5 million cars a year, will be extended to Daimler, the maker of Mercedes. "There will be a common platform between the three: Renault-Nissan and Daimler," said Thursday Carlos Ghosn, the CEO of Renault-Nissan, during a dinner with journalists.

Result, "you move from one platform from 100,000 to 200,000 cars a year" for the high-end Renault, "a platform of 2 million cars.It is no longer the same challenges: cost, quality and performance are not the same, "says the owner of the manufacturer. On this platform, Renault will build the replacement of Space and the Koleos 4 × 4, but also a "range" is replacing both the Laguna and Vel Satis. Laguna does not know the fourth generation: the new vehicle still under wraps, will be greater. These cars are mainly produced in the factory in Douai, France, but also outside Europe, possibly in Korea. They emerge from late 2014 and 2016.

Meanwhile, Renault plans to launch "a vehicle developed with Daimler," on a platform of German, said Carlos Ghosn."I do not think it would be very realistic to say that Renault, which has the ambition to develop a more expanded upper range, will not consider one way or another with some potential collaborations Mercedes for at least one model so ", he had already slipped to Frankfurt Motor Show in September savings account payday advance. Renault-Nissan and Daimler already designing future joint small Twingo and Smart (set in 2014) and a commercial vehicle for Mercedes. The construction of a compact Infiniti, Nissan's premium brand, based on an architecture provided by the group to the star, is also seriously considered.

Amortization of costs

With Mercedes, Renault hopes to succeed where he failed himself. The launch of a vehicle requires high-end development costs very high, particularly disappointing that the volume of Renault failed to dampen.After stopping production in 2009 of the Vel Satis, the diamond was sold last year that 53,000 Laguna, Koleos 39,000 and 17,000 area.

While the three champions of the category-BMW, ​​Audi and Mercedes-emit spectacular margins, the high-end Renault "is the weakest part of our operation, which is not normal," says Carlos Ghosn, who believes that in this area, the French "can hardly do less."

Carlos Ghosn, the partnership between Renault-Nissan and Daimler-each holds 3.1% of the other-is an "opportunity" not to let go upmarket. Daimler, "very smart", is contributing "to the maximum" French in the development of Smart, as the engineers' know we will do better than them. " Conversely, "do not say is that we can do it all on the high end. You must use the skills of Mercedes, "he says.

Wall Street has been won by the pessimism Monday. The Dow Jones ended down sharply from 2.13% to 11.397 points, after rising 4.9% last week. Nasdaq in turn yields 1.98% to 2614.92 points and the S & P 500, wider, lost 1.94% to 1200.86 points.

The New York indexes, which were due up, opened in the red, sealed by the doubts that have entered the European markets at mid-session. The German Minister of Economics Wolfgang Schäuble has indeed warned that the EU summit to be held in Brussels Sunday will not lead to a definitive solution to the debt crisis.

This weekend, the European central bankers have expressed their determination to end the debt crisis at the G20 Finance in Paris. The Europeans have promised to respond "comprehensive and lasting peace" to the debt crisis."Advanced countries will adopt, taking into account their respective national circumstances, policies to strengthen the confidence and support growth and implement measures clear, credible and targeted to rebalance public finances" stressed the finance ministers in their statement. Specifically, they promise to make a decision at the European Summit of October 23, described as "decisive" on Saturday by Minister of Economy Baroin. Attempted to reassure the ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said the euro was "not threatened", but called on all Europeans to be "extra vigilant" with regard to public finances.

In the same tone, Christine Lagarde, has also shown confidence in the capabilities International Monetary Fund (IMF) to come and play firefighters, as appropriate, to countries in difficulty.In Europe a microphone, the director of the institution determined that its resources were "appropriate" and "in line", sweeping the wish of several European countries to strengthen its capacity in anticipation of a bankruptcy of Athens.

Barack Obama and his savings plan

Across the Atlantic, investors also await details of the savings plan of Barack Obama. Last Friday, the country's budget deficit reached 8.7% of GDP in 2010-2011, 0.3 points less than in the previous year, according to the Treasury. Knowing that in absolute terms, the fiscal gap widened slightly to 0.4% from fiscal 2010 to rise above 1.299 trillion dollars, making it the second largest deficit the country's history.

In terms of indicators, the United States, industrial activity in the region of New York came out down $ 8 no fax pay day loan.48 in October.A contraction is stronger than expected. Industrial production has in turn increased by 0.2%, as expected.

On the currency side, the euro lost ground against the dollar on Monday after briefly climbed above $ 1.39 for the first time in a month. To 22 hours (French time), the European currency is worth 1.3744 dollars against 1.3881 dollars on Friday night.

For their part, oil prices are down. In New York, a barrel of light crude lost 42 cents to 86.38 dollars.

Values ​​of the day

A salvo of results announcements in the banking and technology is expected this week.

On Monday, banking stocks are tested: JPMorgan Chase 2.67% to 31.04 loose dollars, Bank of America 2.42% to 6.04 dollars. Wells Fargo fall of 8.44% to 24.42 dollars after reporting a decrease of 4% of its turnover. Morgan Stanley 0.26% to nibble 15.26 dollars.

Citigroup lost 1.65% to 27.93 dollars despite the publication of a net profit up 74% in the third quarter, above expectations.

As for technology stocks, Apple lost 0.48% to 419.99 dollars. The company announced the Apple selling 4 million copies of its iPhone 4S. The Canadian Research in Motion, maker of the Blackberry, falling 6.55% to 22.40 dollars.

Kinder Morgan (4.83% to 28.19 dollars): The U.S. company to transport energy products announced Sunday it would buy its rival El Paso (24.81 to 24.45 dollars) to $ 21 billion , about 38 billion with debt, and thus form the largest pipeline network in the United States.Based in Houston, Texas (south), the new company will have an enterprise value of $ 94 billion, Kinder Morgan said in a statement.

Statoil (1.73% to 24.64 dollars): The Norwegian oil company announced Monday the acquisition of the American Brigham Exploration Company (21.05% to 36.75 dollars) to $ 4.7 billion ( 3.4 billion euros), which will allow it to grow stronger in non-conventional hydrocarbons in the United States. This acquisition gives Statoil access to deposits of oil shale Bakken and Three Forks in the Williston Basin in the states of North Dakota and Montana.

British Petroleum (0.73% to 40.17 dollars) Columbiaa The oil company said Monday that he would receive a payment of $ 4 billion in cash from the U.S. Anadarko as co-payments related to the disaster of the Gulf of Mexico.

The CGT said it was "scandalous" the vote Wednesday night in committee in the Assembly, a provision to relax the modulation of working in a company … following an agreement with the unions. "An employer may require the employee to work 48 hours one week and 10 hours the following week without it being able to challenge" the critical and central Montreuil.

The Ministry of Labour – that supports this section of the bill of UMP Jean-Luc Warsmann on the simplification of the law – has meanwhile another interpretation. "A decision of the Supreme Court provided that a modulation of working time resulting from an agreement with the unions needed to be implemented, the authorization of each employee, reported a near Xavier Bertrand.With this arrangement, such a collective agreement shall not affect the employment contract and may be applied without risk of blocking. "

At the CFDT, the bell sound is different. If the union does not have a problem on the philosophy of the article, it criticizes the wording and lack of precision. "The fact that a collective agreement on the organization of work does not change the contract of employment is rather in the right direction because it legitimizes the agreements with the unions, says Marcel Grignard, the Secretary-General fast payday loan no faxing. Would have had the law specifies the amplitude modulation acceptable.Acter even by collective agreement, a passage of 35 hours to 38 hours a week on the other has a different impact on the lives of employees that decide to make them work at night or the weekend. "

Night work is not affected

Argument dismissed out of hand by the government for that night work or Sunday is the subject of specific provisions in the Labour Code and is therefore outside the scope of the law Warsmann.

For the CFDT, the problem of this law to be voted on first reading Tuesday by deputies, is elsewhere. "It's a catch-all text contains hundreds of articles, and unions have been consulted on those relating to labor law, while many others have an impact on the lives of the employees' discontent Marcel Grignard.The parliamentarians have in fact since 2009 the requirement to seek their views on unions before any bill affecting only the Labour Code. But not on other areas of law.

After still closed higher Thursday evening, the U.S. stock markets remain on their momentum on Friday. In early trade, the Dow gained 0.44% to 11.484 points, the Nasdaq is 0.37% to 2617 points and the S & P 500 climbed 0.53% to 1216 points.

Investors are focused on reassuring news from Europe, as the announcement of a new agreement between central banks to provide dollar liquidity to European banks and Japanese. "This program already exists, say the analysts at Aurel BGC. The ECB offered this week, two European banks to dollar liquidity in 7 days "

Suddenly, the "four witches" today is to say the expiration of four types of futures contracts on indices and stocks, "will be addressed, according to Aurel BGC in a more serene.Recent events have reassured investors and market expectations about European officials said after the meeting of the Ecofin support actions ".

U.S. consumer debt and European

At the macroeconomic agenda of the day, the index of consumer sentiment for the month of September is expected this afternoon, 12:00 to 3:55 p.m.. But such macroeconomic indicators may well be once again overshadowed by political events related to the debt crisis and European banks.

Indeed, this Friday as European finance ministers and the U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, this exceptional, try to resolve their differences at a meeting of high voltage in Poland payday loan. This is to complete a second plan of aid to Greece, imperative to save the country and the euro area, whose failing health is in turmoil the entire planet.Timothy Geithner has already openly believed that Europeans should inject more funds to avoid a major crisis.

RIM collapses

On the corporate side, Research in Motion (-21.77% to 23.11 dollars), the maker of BlackBerry smartphones, collapsed after publishing quarterly results fell sharply, well below analysts' forecasts.

The rating agency Moody's said Thursday it placed under surveillance notes of the bank UBS (3.42% to 11.80 dollars) with for a potential degradation due to "weaknesses in risk management the group. "

At the heart of the news, Google (0.24% to 543.59 dollars) has purchased additional patents in 1023 the computer company IBM (0.68% to 171.38 dollars) to strengthen its portfolio and to attempt trial to deter intellectual property infringement.Google expects the other hand that the number of Internet users in India to be tripled in three years through improved access to wireless internet and at prices more affordable smartphone, reported on Friday Wall Street Journal.

Boeing (1.59% to 65.34 dollars) could finally respond to the order by Air France-KLM of 110 long-haul aircraft, including 50 firm orders, builders Boeing and European Airbus to ensure the renewal of its fleet.

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Is credible but not to frighten. It was a difficult equation that would solve the government well aware that he must adapt its economic forecasts for 2011 and 2012, now too optimistic. The air hole world of activity in the spring, the debt crisis of July Greek and diving markets in August have persuaded it would be impossible to achieve 2% growth this years and 2.25% next year born, as previously envisaged.

"It would be irresponsible to ignore the current situation," hammered François Fillon. The government wanted to be as realistic as possible. He expects GDP growth of 1.75% in 2011, "because it takes even more cautious for next year," 1.75% also in 2012.

The deficit to 4.5% in 2012

These new figures are in line with what experts expect. Few saw growth reach the 2% this year. Even fewer were those who planned the event feasible for 2012. For next year, the forecasts of economists from banks for the time range from 1% to 2%. The Consensus Forecasts, which synthesizes a fortnight believes, anticipates 1.7%.

That market pressure, which monitor the slightest faux pas of public finances, and this downward revision of growth that led the government to provide additional savings efforts, without waiting for the presentation of the bill Finance for 2012 in late September.

The austerity measures – the government refuses to call "rigor" – will lead an effort to one billion euros this year and above 11 billion euros in 2012.This amount will break down next year, 10 billion in additional revenue and $ 1 billion of savings on expenditure. Not to mention spending another billion set aside to "deal with any contingency."

All this should enable France to reduce its public deficit of 5.7% of GDP in 2011 to 4.5% in 2012 – a final goal "a little more ambitious" than was expected previously. Enough to hold the European commitments and keep the famous "AAA" rating that allows the country to finance its debt with low interest rates.

"We are taking steps that do not break the growth (…) and strengthen the tax and social justice," said the Prime Minister.One of the most emblematic devices decided Wednesday by François Fillon and Nicolas Sarkozy is to tax the very high incomes so "exceptional" – to return to 3% deficit, is in principle in 2013.

But it will also count with a new movement of the plane 10% tax loopholes, increasing tobacco prices, higher taxes on savings and real estate gains, lower exemptions from employer contributions on overtime or a plan amendment to postpone the income tax (see below). The French now know what to expect …

After rebounding to 1.66% at the beginning and spent all morning in the green, the Cac 40 was pressed into the red in mid-session, before sinking further into negative territory at the opening of Wall Street. Shortly after the speech by Jean-Claude Trichet, as markets accentuated their losses, the distribution of all European indices, including the benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange, operated by NYSE Euronext, has been unavailable for almost a hours on Thursday due to a technical problem. The CAC 40 was finally ended on a plummeting 3.90% to 3320.35 points, its lowest level since July 28, 2009. After losing 134.59 points on the session, he signed the ninth session of consecutive decline, a new series in September 2002 and the end of the internet bubble burst. Since July 1, the benchmark index in Paris dropped nearly 17%.

The panic was the same on all stock exchanges in Europe: the FTSE-100 from the London Stock Exchange closed on a fall of 3.43% to 5393.14 points, its worst since the two September. The Dax in Frankfurt Stock Exchange ended down 3.40% to 6414.76 points. The Madrid Stock Exchange drops 3.89%, below 9000 points.

The diffusion index star of the Milan Stock Exchange, the FTSE Eb, it is suspended since 3:05 p.m. GMT when he fell more than 3%, announced the financial manager without explanation.

In the process, the Dow Jones on Wall Street was down 2.96% at 11,545 points.

Lower cost of debt Italian and Spanish

Financial markets were not convinced by the meeting of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank. This has not surprisingly left its rate unchanged at 1.50%.Above all, the ECB president, Jean-Claude Trichet said the share repurchase program of continued monetary institution, but would concern "that the Irish and Portuguese bonds" and not "those of other nationalities" .

After the award in Madrid some 3.3 billion of bonds with three and four years, the yield of the loan in ten years Spanish retreated 6.09% to around 11 hours (Paris time) against 6.35 % late Wednesday. The Spanish Treasury also announced it was canceling its bond issue, scheduled for Aug. 18. The rate of return of Italian ten-year paper fell, meanwhile, up 5.97% before stabilizing at around 6% against 6.10% the previous day.

On the currency markets, the euro falling 1.26% against the dollar at 1.4167 dollar. Oil is also displayed down 1.47% in New York at 90.58 dollars.For its part, the ounce of gold hit a new addition Thursday historical 1677.90 dollars on fears the global economy and becoming bogged down again in the wake of the conference of ECB President Jean -Claude Trichet.

On the corporate side, both companies have published this morning, Veolia Environnement and Axa.

Veolia Environnement: -9.44% to 12.95 euros – the largest drop Cac

Veolia Environnement, which warned last Friday that it would not achieve its goals for this year, released on Thursday a net loss of 67.2 million euros in the first half, weighed down by exceptional asset write-downs 800 million euros.The world leader in environmental services will focus its activities "in less than 40 countries in 2013 against 77 today."

Axa: + 3.08% to 12.40 euros – the largest increase Cac 40

However, Axa reported first half net profit more than quadrupled to 3.99 billion euros (324%), driven by gains on sale and very little affected by provisions related to the support plan to Greece.

Bonduelle: -2.06% to 64.15 euros

Bonduelle has increased from 10.7% in sales from 2010 to 2011. Sales of specialist canned vegetables and frozen emerge to 1726 million.The group confirmed its annual targets.

Vinci: -1.60% to 36.92 euros

Vinci said Wednesday QDVC, its joint venture with Qatari fund, won a contract for 374 million euros for a metro project for a new town being built in Qatar.

Vilmorin: + 5.11% to 76.99 euros

Vilmorin has confirmed its margin target of 2010-2011 by announcing an increase of 12.1% of its turnover for the year, thanks to the vegetable business, along with the acquisition of assets and maize seed and sorghum Brasmilho of Brazilian society.

Hermes: -0.57% to 234 euros

Hermès responded Wednesday to the Association of Defence of Minority Shareholders (Adam), who asked why the luxury group spent so much money to buy back its own shares."Share repurchases are intended to cover the programs free shares to employees," said a spokeswoman for Hermes.

Cegedim: -2.59% to 32 euros

Cegedim dropped its goal of increasing revenue for 2011 but remains confident in its ability to generate an EBIT close in absolute value, that of 2010. The group also announced Wednesday for the second quarter of 2011, a consolidated turnover of 247.1 million euros (+1.6% as reported and 0.1% organic).

Natixis (-0.10% to 2.923 euros) and Dexia will publish its second quarter results after market close.

The emerging markets are facing a "problem-rich" fight against the overheating of their economies – from 6 to 7% last year – when developed countries are seeking to boost their low growth. "Their macroeconomic management faces a dilemma: keep inflation that accompanies this growth through restrictive monetary and fiscal policies, knowing that increases in interest rates contribute to the massive influx of capital," says chief economist of Coface, Yves Zlotowski. Some countries are better equipped, such as Brazil, the driving force of the South American continent and one of the first to respond, noting early on interest rates and imposing taxes on capital inflows.

Dilma Rousseff, Lula's successor as president, also began to impose fiscal restraint.If the funds continue to flow, growth has slowed down somewhat in the first quarter to 4.2% against 7.5% previously. "Brazil is a highly diversified economy in its exports, with an internal market dynamics. Above all, the country has lead the last ten years important structural reforms, "adds the analyst.

"Institutional delay"

Conversely, the credit insurer is more concerned about the neighbor Argentina, faced with high inflation of 23%, where the industry is operating at full capacity, supported by consumption and fiscal and monetary policy very accommodative. Overheating is very important in part masked by a current account surplus driven by exports of soybeans in China. But the landing is likely to be brutal crash.

In Asia, the weakest link is located in Vietnam, with a very open economy model of development with Chinese characteristics, based on the investment, mainly Asian. Iran is benefiting from rising costs in China, resulting in even relocation. This generated a huge credit bubble, whose share in GDP increased in ten years from 30 to 120%. The difference is that it does not have the same cash reserves that China and he is obliged to regularly devalue its currency, the dong. "There is a real institutional delay, the risk is, in a skid, discourage investment, which finance the huge current account deficit," Yves Zlotowski analysis.

However, the restrictions put in place gradually in the large emerging economies – China, India, Turkey, Brazil – should provide a soft landing.The challenge is to develop real consumer markets that go through a reduction in inequalities and a growing middle class and to provide for future growth in developed countries.

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"It is expected that several clubs are among those most indebted, go bankrupt and disappear from the elite of professional football." The diagnosis of Bastien Drut, an economist and author of the book entitled "Economics of Professional Football" (Editions la Découverte) is final.

Boosted by inflation of television rights, the "football business" has squandered the wages of players who are sometimes more than 100% revenue clubs. "The crisis will deepen the focus on players' salaries," says Vincent Chaudel, communications director Europe, Africa and Middle East at Kurt Salmon, a consulting firm.The talented players should always receive high salaries and certainly on the rise, but the clubs whose financial situation is delicate, will probably choose between lowering the average wage standard of the players, and reduce the number of players on their team " .

Reduce payroll and income diversification

The presidents of the OL, Jean-Michel Aulas, and Om, Jean-Claude Dassier, ensured that a decline in TV rights would force them to reduce their wage bill even to sell some players. "I doubt that we are seeing a real reduction in payroll in the major French clubs, says Vincent Chaudel. As the French and European teams can not do without talent, they never cease to raise wages. "

The other challenge for football clubs will be to diversify their resources.Ligue 1 clubs are too dependent on television rights which average 57% of their income. In addition, Canal + has always said he would not raise its offer. French clubs and fear for their recipes. Vincent Chaudel advance a solution. "The choice of the French model where the clubs pay part of L1 (20%) of revenue from the sale of television rights to the clubs of L2, mechanical weakening their financial competitiveness with countries that have opposed sporting and financial models . Depending on the outcome of the next tender, the French football may be forced to revise its economic model based on solidarity. "

Other contracts naming to wait

Ligue 1 clubs are catching up especially in ticketing or sponsorship deals.While Germany has an average attendance this season every weekend more than 40,000 spectators, France does not even crossed the threshold of 20,000. Hence the importance of building new stadiums or renovate the current.

Following the partnership between the club Le Mans moving to the second division and the mutual insurance company, Mutual du Mans Assurances, naming other contracts (a contract between a sports club and a society that gives its name to the stadium) are also wait. The AXA Group is well positioned to give its name to the future Grand Stadium Lille for an annual amount of 3.3 million. And in an interview figaro.fr, president of Olympique Lyonnais, Jean-Michel Aulas had stated in talks with Qatari and Russian companies for naming the next speaker of Lyon.He also suggested the names of Danone and Coca-Cola.

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In Greece, the good news is rare lately. The most indebted country in Europe would be out of recession in the first quarter of 2011, thanks to a rebound in activity of 0.8%, according to Eurostat and the Greek Authority statistics. A surprise, after a dip of 2.8% over the last three months of 2010, a figure significantly revised downward from earlier estimates of -1.6%.

"The resumption of growth in Greece is surprising: we expected the continuation of the recession," says Thibault Mercier, economist at BNP Paribas. "But that blip, probably driven by external trade, does not fundamentally change the situation: the austerity program has a strong impact on household consumption.Businesses can not borrow at very high rates and banks, whose health depends on the state of public finances, have limited access to liquidity. "Clearly, they can very easily give credit to their customers.

"The recession is it defeated?" Asks BNP Paribas. "Not really: the figures published so far do not provide details on the components of growth and numbers are often revised significantly after the first publication." These factors explain the downward revision by the European Commission's forecast Greek economy to the same Friday. It now expects a fall of 3.5% of the activity, against a fall of 3% previously envisaged. Accordingly, the government deficit is forecast at 9.5% of GDP, against 7.4% previously estimated.

The recovery is strengthening in the euro zone

Moreover, growth in the euro zone has more than doubled in the first quarter at +0.8% against +0.3% end of 2010, according to a first figure published by Eurostat.

It is true that several countries are still experiencing difficulties. Portugal has thus fallen into recession, with a contraction of 0.7% of GDP and the Italian economy has stagnated (+0.1%). Spain has recorded its share to a timid growth of 0.3%.

The average growth in the euro area was driven by the dynamism of its largest economies: France reported a surprise increase of its activity by 1%. Growth of 1.5% was even made by Germany!