International News

Oil flirts with $ 100 a barrel. But it could climb higher, it is in any case the feeling of the experts of Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management which assumes about $ 120 a barrel next year.

The return of the production of Libya on the market faster than expected: it reached about 700,000 barrels per day (against 1.6 million before the crisis in the country), "a figure that was thought best to reach the end of years, "said Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management. The country should, in this study, return to its previous capacity until mid-2012. Meanwhile, production of mature countries such as Norway, Mexico and the United Kingdom declined. And falling stocks including the United States.

"Countries like Saudi Arabia require that the price of oil is at a relatively high (above 90 dollars per barrel) in order to balance their budgets," said the study payday loans.OPEC therefore intervene in the case of lower prices. A scenario that does not, however, resist a global recession.

A further increase of gold expected

Among commodities, gold has also been rising by several asset managers. Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management believes that in a context of very low interest rates, the market should remain strong.

The Swiss Bank Wegelin, too, advises his clients to hold physical gold, not least because it considers the euro, the yen and the dollar overvalued. "When all the current problems are resolved, then it will be time to get out of gold" summarizes Magne Y. Orglandes, managing partner of the Swiss bank.

In the third quarter, gold demand has also increased by 6% according to statistics from World Gold Council, reaching a record $ 57.7 billion (42.7 billion euros).

The CGT said it was "scandalous" the vote Wednesday night in committee in the Assembly, a provision to relax the modulation of working in a company … following an agreement with the unions. "An employer may require the employee to work 48 hours one week and 10 hours the following week without it being able to challenge" the critical and central Montreuil.

The Ministry of Labour – that supports this section of the bill of UMP Jean-Luc Warsmann on the simplification of the law – has meanwhile another interpretation. "A decision of the Supreme Court provided that a modulation of working time resulting from an agreement with the unions needed to be implemented, the authorization of each employee, reported a near Xavier Bertrand.With this arrangement, such a collective agreement shall not affect the employment contract and may be applied without risk of blocking. "

At the CFDT, the bell sound is different. If the union does not have a problem on the philosophy of the article, it criticizes the wording and lack of precision. "The fact that a collective agreement on the organization of work does not change the contract of employment is rather in the right direction because it legitimizes the agreements with the unions, says Marcel Grignard, the Secretary-General fast payday loan no faxing. Would have had the law specifies the amplitude modulation acceptable.Acter even by collective agreement, a passage of 35 hours to 38 hours a week on the other has a different impact on the lives of employees that decide to make them work at night or the weekend. "

Night work is not affected

Argument dismissed out of hand by the government for that night work or Sunday is the subject of specific provisions in the Labour Code and is therefore outside the scope of the law Warsmann.

For the CFDT, the problem of this law to be voted on first reading Tuesday by deputies, is elsewhere. "It's a catch-all text contains hundreds of articles, and unions have been consulted on those relating to labor law, while many others have an impact on the lives of the employees' discontent Marcel Grignard.The parliamentarians have in fact since 2009 the requirement to seek their views on unions before any bill affecting only the Labour Code. But not on other areas of law.

Long relegated to playing second fiddle, women are playing an increasingly active in economic life. They upend the established positions and make their voices heard, as evidenced by the seventh edition of the Women's Forum which runs through Saturday in Deauville. Notably, they enter the highest levels, for example by investing the boards of large listed companies with the Zimmermann-Cope Law, which requires 20% of administrators by January 2014 in the groups listed on Paris and unlisted companies employing over 500 people. Anticipating that date, the giants of the CAC 40 they received from this year 20.99% of their directorships, according to Ethics & Boards, the first international observatory board and monitoring of listed companies, chaired by Alexandra La Martiniere.But women are only 15.21% to hold this type of responsibility in smaller listed companies belonging to the SBF 80.

Even the state is beginning to apply the principles it imposes on the private sector. Saffron, which is a shareholder, allowed him finally to have the first three women's representative in a large group when he joined the CAC 40 index in September.

Support networks

The verb "undertake" is combined also becoming more feminine. Women represent an entrepreneur in three. Some embark necessity. "After working twenty years as product manager and then as marketing director, I was forced to give up my profession for family reasons. When my husband died, I had 50 or more years of employment.The idea to set up my own business has become a highlight and a necessity, "said Agnes Terrillon who created Voskel, an art gallery for young talents. Others launched by personal desire. "I always knew that I would one day own guaranteed fast personal loans. The trigger came from a personal need for which I could not find a solution. I could not rent equipment for childcare for the birth of my children. Separated with two children, I also wanted to take a new turn in career almost 50 years, "says Florence Pouzergue, who created Louli & Go Kids, a site that offers baby equipment. Younger do not hesitate to give up the comfort of well-known companies.

"I created the Factory Design to 24 years at HEC," explains Emily Gobin.Women can especially make the attempt and assert their professional ambitions that support networks are increasing. InterElles, Women's Network, O'Pluriel, Action'elles help them win in businesses. Force Femmes, EPWN, the first European network of women executives and entrepreneurs, and encourage others to take responsibility and develop their society. Martine Liautaud, founder CEO of investment banking Liautaud & Co., launched in September 2010 a mentoring program called Free WBMI, including BNP Paribas is a partner. "I met by chance WBMI at a time when I was at a standstill. With my mentor, I found the keys to move, "said Martine de Richeville, head Svelt'Coaching, now in Paris, Brussels and Milan. The financiers also are mobilizing.Women Equity, founded by Dunya Bouhacene, loop a fund raising 100 million euros for investment in growth SMEs run by women and made his first investment. With an aim to discover the female champions of tomorrow.

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The Paris Bourse continued its technical rebound, after a session that saw the CAC 40 jumped more than 3.5% beyond 3000 points. The benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange began the day on a stable note, down from 0.08% to 3070.58 points. But at mid-session, the CAC in advance of 1% which allows the index in Paris to spend the 3100 points. On other European exchanges, the movement is the same. London lost 0.08% at the opening before turning positive again (0.90%), while Frankfurt climbed 1.22%. As in Asia this morning, traders expect the set of indicators of days before taking a position. Unlike previous days, the agenda will be very busy in the U.S. and Europe.

In the euro area, the eyes will be on the ECB. Earlier this afternoon, President Jean-Claude Trichet, will make an announcement on rates. Unsurprisingly, they should remain at current levels, at 1.5%.But markets are waiting above him to book his views on the problems of sovereign debt. For now, it's time for calm on that front. Yesterday, the German Constitutional Court was reassurance by confirming plans for aid in the euro area. In France, the deputies approved the second bailout of Greece arrested on July 21. They are the first to start this procedure. The Italian Senate last night gave a green light to the first austerity plan of over 52 billion euros from the Berlusconi government, while Spain adopted its fiscal rule of thumb, as desired by Paris and Berlin.

The U.S. employment under the microscope

United States, several indicators of the health of the economy will fall during the session. Among them, the trade balance, weekly jobless claims and oil stocks.The consumer credit will be available after market in Europe.

Two discourses are also highly expected on Thursday, those of Ben Bernanke and Barack Obama. The Fed chief will speak at around 19 am, French time, the Economic Club of Minnesota. Investors await details about how the Fed intends to support the economy. This intervention will follow the publication yesterday of its Beige Book, which again reported a moderate growth. For his part, Bush will speak on Congress to 1 am, French time, on employment and growth. It should detail a plan for employment that would reach $ 300 billion, raised yesterday by the U.S. media.

In France, growth in employment has slowed

In France, INSEE announced that the dealer paid employment decelerated in the second quarter.Principally market sectors have created a total of 33,300 jobs over the period April to June, from 78,300 in the first three months of the year, an increase of 0.2% against 0.5% the previous quarter.

The trade deficit widened further in July, reaching 6.46 billion euros in seasonally adjusted data, weighed down by a rebound in imports, Customs officials said Thursday.

Moreover, according to the OECD, economic growth in developed countries could slow sharply, see stalling in the second half and central banks must be prepared to ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or intervening on markets.The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development predicts that growth in the G7 should not exceed 1.6% annualized in the third quarter and is expected to fall to 0.2% over the last three months of year. In France, activity is expected to increase only 0.9% and 0.4% annualized, against 1.8% and 1.9% previously expected.

On the currency side, the euro fell again in the late morning at 1.4079 dollar.Oil, he, rising as a result of the prolonged interruption of production in the Gulf of Mexico due to tropical storm: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 41 cents to 89 online payday loan lenders.75 dollars a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery takes 18 cents to 115.98 dollars in morning trading.

Values ​​to follow on Thursday

• Banking

Stress tests imposed on European banks have made "transparency and clarity" on the strength of their balance sheets, said Wednesday night a Treasury official in the United States.

Banks react well. Among the largest increases are CAC, Societe Generale (2.01% to 19.77 euros), BNP Paribas (1.94% to 32.25 euros), Credit Agricole (0.97 to 5%, 80 euros), Axa (0.80% to 10.10 euros) and Natixis (0.55% to 2.55 euros).

• Areva (-0.20% to 20.74 euros)

French nuclear group Areva said Thursday was ready to process the spent fuel still present on the site of Fukushima and propose to the Japanese government and the company Tepco lasting solutions to manage the post accident.

• EADS (-0.85% to 21.69 euros)

The group is ready to dip deep into a war chest of $ 16 billion (11.3 billion euros) to finance its expansion in the U.S. and is in preliminary discussions with several potential targets, said Wednesday its chief executive for North America.In addition, the European missile manufacturer MBDA, in part by EADS, would be forced to reduce its workforce by 400 jobs by 2015, according to La Tribune.

Airbus, a subsidiary of EADS, is also considering a third increase its production capacity in one of its scenarios for 2018 to meet demand, the success of the A320 Neo scarce slots delivery before 2020, The Tribune reported Thursday.

• TF1 (0.87% to 10.43 euros) and EuropaCorp (stable at 3.29 euros)

The two groups announced Wednesday the signing of a Framework Agreement for development to produce the series in English for television.

• Ipsos: -1.36% to 27.13 euros

The group has launched a capital increase in cash of approximately 200 million euros to finance the purchase of Synovate.

• GDF Suez: -0.22% to 20.44 euros

The group will transfer to the Italian ENI participation of 10.4% in gas fields in the North Sea to pay off debt, reported Thursday Les Echos.

• Technip: 2.06% to 67.25 euros

In consortium with National Petroleum Construction Company (NPCC), the group won a contract worth about $ 500 million for engineering, procurement and construction of the project Satah Full Field Development, a field located 200 km northwest of Abu Dhabi (UAE).

• Sanofi: 0.54% to 50.19 euros

Genzyme, the biotechnology laboratory of the U.S. bought by the French group, was unable to deliver its drug Fabrazyme in August, although it promised to doctors and patients to meet this deadline. U.S. regulators have made public Wednesday letters from Genzyme dated August 26 and 25 where the laboratory apologizes to its customers and for people with Fabry disease, a rare genetic disease, for "any confusion and disturbance "caused by the delay.

• France Telecom: 0.37% to 12.19 euros, Vivendi: -1.06% to 15.89 euros

The new tax passed by the government as part of the new austerity plan should give priority, penalize these two groups, according to Les Echos. France Telecom should be paid to these measures between 300 and 500 million.Vivendi would see him, his taxes increased from 250 to 400 million.

Next recommendation goes to Credit Suisse under-performance against neutral Ipsen (-0.41% to 22.85 euros). Societe Generale goes with the purchase of Biomerieux (2.09% to 71.40 euros).

Good harvest for Publicis Consultants. After a long consultation process in the first half, a subsidiary of Publicis Groupe, chaired by Fabrice Fries is entrusted with the overall communications budget of Motor Vehicles (Interior Ministry).

The agency was opposed to Euro RSCG C & O, TBWA, Lowe and BDDP Stratéus & Fils, the sign outgoing. This is one of the largest budgets of public communication: the agreement reached nearly 15 million euros (excluding purchase of space) over four years. Publicis Consultants, whose campaigns will begin in November, was selected, according to its president, for "the creativity of the proposed mechanisms, its emphasis on the Web and its ability to mobilize all the expertise – public relations, lobbying, social networks payday loans with no fax… – on a complex subject. "

The signature "Road safety, all responsible" is retained.Author of iconic campaigns such as posters yellow vest with Karl Lagerfeld and the film Unbearable crowned with a gold lion on the top of pub Festival in Cannes, Stratéus Lowe began his collaboration with the Road Safety in 2001 and returned the contract 2004 and 2007. This change of agency comes after the controversy over speed cameras and the appointment of a new Road Safety Officer, Prefect Jean-Luc Nevache.

Remain in control at home. Such is the concern of Mark Pincus, founder of Zynga, the leading provider of video games for social networks, such as Farmville, with 232 million active players per month. To retain full authority in his business, despite its forthcoming IPO, Mark Pincus holds a special law, approved by its board of directors. This decision is consistent with her wishes because administrators have been selected by Mark Pincus himself, as his deputy director general John Shappert.

The founder of the start-up in 2007 in San Francisco, won each of its actions has 70 voting rights, according to a company document obtained by Bloomberg.It's better than what was originally planned or what has been practiced for IPO social network LinkedIn for business: 10 votes per share for the co-founders.

Thus, Mark Pincus, holder of 16% stake in his company, he will maintain his authority over every decision. This must still be approved by two-thirds of the shareholders, before September 2.

Then Zynga will take his first steps on the stock market and rising, as envisaged from the beginning of the summer, about one billion dollars. If all goes as planned, its market capitalization should be between 15 and 20 billion. The group would become the company most expensive in the world in video games at Electronic Arts (7 cash advance america.3 billion) and Activision Blizzard (13200000000), controlled by Vivendi.Earlier this year, the company was "valued at $ 5 billion," says an expert from PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Reversal of value

It is a real reversal of the hierarchy: the publisher of games for social networks could surpass traditional publishers of games for consoles and PC. Zynga is very profitable with its free games, such as Farmville, CityVille or MafiaWars, which cost little money to design and generate significant revenue. Proceeds from the start-up, with over 2000 employees, results mainly from the sale of real shadow, like a farm, factory or virtual fruit trees, which help the player to progress in his adventure. This model is thriving, thanks to Facebook as "friends" involved of challenges through simple little game.Therefore, Zynga should display in 2011 a turnover of around $ 1.5 billion, with, the key to a net income close to $ 500 million. In 2010, after three years of existence, the company became profitable, with $ 90.6 million in net profits for a turnover of 597.5 million and cash of close to one billion.

Traditional competitors, Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts, respectively realized 4.44 billion in revenue and $ 3.58 billion.

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An uncompromising report. For over a year, dozens of officials, led by the Audit Office, analyzed the tax and social niches, as a result of a mission request François Fillon. "The total amount of tax expenditures and social niches weighs heavily on public finances. Their development can also affect the readability of the tax and benefit system, and the fair distribution of public office, "wrote the Prime Minister.

• Krys up big on Sun's

With Ray-Ban sunglasses, Sonia Rykiel or Armani 20% to 25% cheaper than the competition, the optician's Mon has seduced those who care about their spending, not to mention fashion. The group teaches Krys, an industry leader, was mostly created in 2009 to "anticipate the future perspective" with the rise of Internet players, the price will weigh more in the choice of this product . Fifteen stores Mon's, which also offer own branded glasses, are open this year, bringing the total to 30, while Krys already provides 200 points of sale in 2015.

• Total station experiences cheap

For over a year, the oil company is testing stations at low prices: 35 sites at baseline and 45 today – a fleet of approximately 2,000 outlets in total teaching, both in that city rural areas.Prices are likely to compete with supermarkets. For now, the group has not yet decided whether to extend the scheme. It will decide by the end of the year. The stations are scratched Total test, but it is not excluded that the group, he continues the adventure, is launching a new brand.

• Banks and insurers are betting on the Internet

They reject the term "low cost", but apply much revenue. In recent years, banks and insurance companies through subsidiaries disclaim Internet offerings of financial services at bargain prices and a la carte. ING Direct, the subsidiary of Dutch bank insurer, launched in 1997 this model of online banking. In France, Societe Generale offers a comprehensive range of services via Boursorama. Crédit Agricole target customers for its part with its private banking heritage online BforBank.As for the insurers, Groupama reserves its offer car insurance "Pay as you drive" customers of its subsidiary Amaguiz.

• Renault continues to expand the range of the Logan

Since its launch in 2004, the success of low-cost car for Renault, the only Western manufacturer to attempt the challenge, continues to grow. The group passed last year 685,000 low-cost vehicles, or 26% of its sales. Best of all, they bring him an operating margin above 6%. Logan began with the rustic to 7600 euros, the range now includes six models, the Sandero and the small 4 × 4 Duster. Originally designed for emerging countries, it paradoxically creates a strong demand in Europe, where it is marketed under the Dacia brand, produced in Romania. Tanger Factory (opening in 2012) will manufacture two new variations.Internationally, the range, made locally, is sold under the Renault brand. It is the spearhead of the group's expansion in Russia and Latin America.

• With Transavia, Air France attempting a takeoff in the low-cost

No way to leave Ryanair and easyJet monopoly on flights at bargain prices. Air France launched in spring 2007 its own low-cost airline, called Transavia, which carried 1.3 million passengers last year. From Orly-Sud, Lyon, Nantes and Marseille, eight Boeing 737-800 provide scheduled and unscheduled, mainly to the Mediterranean countries. These destinations are not served by Air France. The group does not wish to organize their own competition in order to avoid any risk of cannibalization. A draft Domestic Transavia has been abandoned.

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While markets plunged Monday on fears of contagion from the debt crisis in Europe, central bankers in the euro area have tried to reassure. "This is to resist the risk of contagion" in Italy, which seems to be the new target markets, or to Spain, and "maintain financial stability in the euro area," said the head of the Eurogroup Jean-Claude Junker.

Thus, the finance ministers of the euro area, following a meeting that lasted nine hours Monday, were willing to increase the size of the Financial Assistance Fund, which has now a lending capacity 440 billion euros. They are also considering a "lengthening of maturities of loans" made to give more time to countries in difficulty to repay their debt and reduce interest rate loans to Greece.Other measures are also being considered to "improve the sustainability of government debt." No specific plan of support for the country, however, has been announced. What angered the Prime Minister George Papandreou who believes that "there is no room for indecision and errors", and regrets that European leaders are indulging in "cacophony".

For its part, the executive director of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, said she, that the effort of Greece to reduce its budget deficit is still "not enough". The patron of the institution has also sought to reassure over Italy. While the surge in borrowing rates to 10 years in Italy has shown concern on the situation of the country, Christine Lagarde said that "some of the Italian figures are excellent easy pay day loans."She added that "it is clear that Italy is currently facing problems which are essentially driven by the markets." Former Economy Minister further stated that the rating agencies' role "without elaborate. These are singled out: besides the Brussels wants to silence forbade them to assess a country subject to an assistance plan.

The international community "can not save Spain"

But nothing works. Markets are not satisfied and the stock markets tumbling again Tuesday morning. Bank stocks have been particularly affected. In Madrid, the Ibex index lost more than 2%. The Spanish Minister of Economic Affairs, Elena Salgado, said Tuesday he was "not logical" that Spain and Italy are "affected by market volatility," because their economies are "strong and diversified. ""If we are able to transmit the determination that we all, markets should reasonably calm down," she said.

But markets, they do not see things this way: "While the international community can save Greece, Ireland and Portugal, it will not save Spain, too important contributor to the euro area" , said Monday Laurent Geronimi, director of rate management at Swiss Life Private Banking.

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