International News

Like the Asian stock market, expected to open the Cac 40 up 1.5% above 3100 points, according to the indices "future" and on Monday in the wake of U.S. indexes rebound on Friday. The main European indices, with the exception of the London Stock Exchange will remain closed on Monday and is expected up 1.1% and 2% on opening. Bank stocks, however, should react to the statements of the owner of the International Monetary Fund.

Friday, after a negative early trading, Wall Street has ended the session on gains of 1.2% for the Dow and the Nasdaq 2.5%, investors focusing on positive ads during the next meeting of the Federal Reserve in September suggested Ben Bernanke at a conference of Jackson Hole.The anticipation of a further intervention by the Fed puts the dollar under pressure against a basket of currencies: the dollar is trading at 1.4537 dollar per euro.

And always in the context of the general economic meeting in Jackson Hole Christine Lagarde urged this weekend to recapitalize banks. She said that the European institutions "need of urgent recapitalization." Former Minister of Finance believes that these measures are the "key to cut the chain of contagion," New blow to the banking sector, weakened already widely during the summer.

Irene reduced cost

Other news of the weekend: the passage of Hurricane Irene passed through New York without drama. He also was demoted to a tropical depression. U.S. markets should open smoothly and Monday.Hurricane Irene would have between 500 million and one billion dollars in damage in the Caribbean and the United States, according to catastrophe modeling firm EQECAT. A figure below the most pessimistic forecasts considered before the hurricane.

Referring to the financial crisis, Laurence Parisot said that "if Europe were attacked, not because it is weak but because it is strong, and if it is envy, because it is enviable, "In an interview with Le Figaro, the boss of bosses denounced a U.S. plot against the euro area.

The price of Brent was down, refineries and oil terminals on the East Coast of the United States seem not to have suffered major damage, easing fears of a supply disruption.In addition, Libya resumes oil exports within a month, according to the spokesman of the Arabian Gulf Oil Company (Agoco), controlled by the rebels. Crude oil production will resume in mid-September on two deposits in the country.

Still on macroeconomic markets will learn on Monday of income and household consumption in the United States in July and promises of home sales.

Banking supervision

As for values, the eyes of investors should focus on bank stocks.

In addition, Ingenico said it had repurchased TNET, an Italian company specializing in payment terminals, for an amount that was not disclosed. According to Ingenico, TNET manages an installed base of 45,000 terminals in Italy.

APRR observe the re-opening until September 9 of the OPR launched by Eiffage and Macquarie.The toll road was also noted Friday that the evolution of traffic early in the second half was mixed for light vehicles, but remained well oriented for heavy vehicles.

In addition, ING has lowered its board to maintain, against buy Arkema on the title and reduced its price target on the value to 55 euros (as against 85 euros).

Canal + could push his plans for the IPO. While the ACC has lost nearly 20% of its value during the summer, analysts are skeptical of an imminent public offerings of media group, reports Les Echos. The listing of the 20% held by Lagardère has already been de-programmed, it could eventually sell its stake in Vivendi, the majority shareholder.

For its part Orange would be in conflict with the American Cogent.The U.S. operator has, according to La Tribune, filed a complaint against his French counterpart to the competition authority for "abuse of dominant position." Orange is accused of preventing users from accessing the site MegaUpload. the conflict began in January when Orange had decided to grant the account drop traffic from Cogent.

ALSO READ:

"Wall Street ends up after the speech by the Fed

"Obama, Lagarde, Bernanke for another stimulus

"Parisot denounced a U.S. plot against Europe

Click the preview to enlarge the graphic.

Is credible but not to frighten. It was a difficult equation that would solve the government well aware that he must adapt its economic forecasts for 2011 and 2012, now too optimistic. The air hole world of activity in the spring, the debt crisis of July Greek and diving markets in August have persuaded it would be impossible to achieve 2% growth this years and 2.25% next year born, as previously envisaged.

"It would be irresponsible to ignore the current situation," hammered François Fillon. The government wanted to be as realistic as possible. He expects GDP growth of 1.75% in 2011, "because it takes even more cautious for next year," 1.75% also in 2012.

The deficit to 4.5% in 2012

These new figures are in line with what experts expect. Few saw growth reach the 2% this year. Even fewer were those who planned the event feasible for 2012. For next year, the forecasts of economists from banks for the time range from 1% to 2%. The Consensus Forecasts, which synthesizes a fortnight believes, anticipates 1.7%.

That market pressure, which monitor the slightest faux pas of public finances, and this downward revision of growth that led the government to provide additional savings efforts, without waiting for the presentation of the bill Finance for 2012 in late September.

The austerity measures – the government refuses to call "rigor" – will lead an effort to one billion euros this year and above 11 billion euros in 2012.This amount will break down next year, 10 billion in additional revenue and $ 1 billion of savings on expenditure. Not to mention spending another billion set aside to "deal with any contingency."

All this should enable France to reduce its public deficit of 5.7% of GDP in 2011 to 4.5% in 2012 – a final goal "a little more ambitious" than was expected previously. Enough to hold the European commitments and keep the famous "AAA" rating that allows the country to finance its debt with low interest rates.

"We are taking steps that do not break the growth (…) and strengthen the tax and social justice," said the Prime Minister.One of the most emblematic devices decided Wednesday by François Fillon and Nicolas Sarkozy is to tax the very high incomes so "exceptional" – to return to 3% deficit, is in principle in 2013.

But it will also count with a new movement of the plane 10% tax loopholes, increasing tobacco prices, higher taxes on savings and real estate gains, lower exemptions from employer contributions on overtime or a plan amendment to postpone the income tax (see below). The French now know what to expect …

Teens and their parents flock there. The phenomenon Abercrombie & Fitch has landed in France on May 19, down the Champs-Elysees, with its formidable marketing clout. Home glamorous youths by the Paris flagship store of American education is the temple of polo shirts, tee-shirts and jeans, amid loud music, light and fragrance ultratamisée excessive."We are very happy with our opening in Paris," said mercredila leadership of the group, still very concerned about its image … Irritated by the bad publicity that makes him free Michael Sorrentino, a member of the cast of reality show "Jersey Shore" on MTV, she just offered to pay the person to change his wardrobe!

Despite the quarterly results better than expected, the action Abercrombie & Fitch has lost 6.5% Wednesday to the New York Stock Exchange, investors who held that the prospects bleak in the face of declining consumption and increase in the prices of raw materials in textiles. Sales in late July, the group, which operates 1073 stores, rose 23% to 916.8 million dollars.In stores constant, the increase was still 9%: 5% for the brand Abercrombie & Fitch, Abercrombie Kids 7% and 12% for Hollister Co, which plans to open four stores in France by the end of year no fax payday loans. Net income totaled $ 32 million, against 19.5 million a year earlier. "The cost pressures will be stronger during the second half of the year and macroeconomic uncertainty is greater," warned Mike Jeffries, president of Abercrombie & Fitch.

From 60 to 65 closures in the U.S.

United States, consumer confidence fell in August to its lowest level for over thirty years. Further price increases may slow their spending even more, while the new school year is crucial for the ready-to-wear.In this difficult context, Abercrombie & Fitch warned that it would close from 60 to 65 stores in the United States, most corresponding to maturities of leases at year end. But the chain has confirmed its willingness to open five flagships during the fiscal year 2011 (including Paris). Madrid, Dusseldorf, Brussels and Singapore are scheduled for the fourth quarter. Hamburg is announced for spring 2012, and Hong Kong in the summer. Hollister provides more than 40 openings abroad, in shopping malls.

ALSO READ:

"Abercrombie & Fitch clothes off the models

"Hollister arrived in France

For several weeks, the office buildings are covered with small colorful characters. Launched in January at the initiative of an employee of Ubisoft, "the battle of the post-it" invades the open spaces for the summer holidays. The principle is simple: employees are a challenge to those of a company in vis-à-vis, drawing on their windows one or more video game characters with post-it. If they fight back with another figure, the war is declared.

Ubisoft and BNP Paribas initiated this spontaneous phenomenon in "confronting" of both sides of the Rue de Valmy, in Montreuil.Word of mouth and the summer did the rest, spreading the game beyond the town of Seine-Saint Denis, first in defense and in Issy-les-Moulineaux, Paris Intramuros, a province … increasing number of employees swelled from the ranks because of this battle informally, in large companies storefront as in smaller SMEs.

"Good child"

But despite the time spent on this activity unprofitable, the phenomenon raises the overall membership of business leaders. "My boss is OK to be launched into the post-it war," said an employee of Twitter. "It's friendly, pleasant, and it strengthens the team spirit," one responds well to Société Générale, challengée recent weeks by employees of Merck and GDF Suez of Defense.

In the middle of summer, human resources are rather favorably employees gather around a fun activity, like a sports tournament. "Our managers like to see that they pose challenges challengent and other businesses payday loans no teletrack. Especially since all this takes place in a friendly atmosphere. Our employees have recently met the other side at a picnic, "says one at Merck, where a dozen people involved in the movement of 350, mostly among biomedical research teams.

"Phenomenon minority"

An observation shared by a fortiori Ubisoft. The video game maker has indeed little to lose in seeing a phenomenon that is spreading the culture of gaming to the front of the stage. "Internally, I see most of the teams that are boosted, a theme which is our corporate culture.We have not even thought of regulation, "said Caline Christophorov, management of human resources. One hundred employees of Ubisoft are currently involved in open warfare against the computer at BNP Paribas. Ironically, the conflict extends from the last week in the other building Ubisoft Montreuil, opposite … from BNP Paribas.

This vector cohesion is all the more welcome by the human resources are concerned ultimately little to the productivity of their employees. In addition to these "post-it war" are growing at a time when the activity is less intense, companies stress that participants are often few, and responsible. "We trust our employees to not intrude too much on work," said Caline Christophorov. "This remains a minority phenomenon among us," does one judge also Renault, known somewhat lax.And the builder continued: "People still have the right to breathe for a second, right?"

After the storm that plunged all the stock exchanges, the European shares rebound on Thursday. In Paris the CAC 40 index opened up 2.96% to 3092.16 points. Same trend in Frankfurt the Dax rose 2.81% to 5771.21 points and in London the FTSE 100 opened up over 2% to 5118.29 points. Appeasement was already felt in the Asian stock markets that are returned to the green or showed moderate declines.

This is for now a simple technical rebound following the sharp fall of the Paris market by nearly 5.5% yesterday, the most since December 2008.The collapse in global equity markets was too large, "note the analysts of Axa IM, hoping more rational for this session.

But concerns are far from being dissipated, particularly those relating to the slowdown in the global economy and the issue of sovereign debt on both sides of the Atlantic. The overwhelming investor nervousness could therefore persist while no major indicator is the program on Thursday.

Wednesday, the markets were shaken by rumors of a deterioration in the rating of France, immediately denied by the rating agencies and the French government, and concerns about the health of the bank Societe Generale. And the CAC 40 plunged 5.45%, narrowly escaping the psychological threshold of 3000 points to 3002.99 points. Other European markets have suffered the same drop Frankfurt dropped 5.13%, 3.05% London.Madrid and Milan 5.49% 6.65%. In New York, the Dow fell 4.62% and 4.09% for the Nasdaq.

Bank stocks monitored

Gold continues, meanwhile, fly from record to record. The precious metal has crossed the threshold of 1800 dollars. It is this Thursday morning in 1790 dollars, after hitting a new record of 1815.50 dollars. However, oil resumed its decline in Asia. Yet he had resisted the panic the day before with the announcement of a dramatic and unexpected decline in crude inventories in the United States. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" lost 79 cents to 82.10 dollars and that of Brent North Sea fell by 1.10 dollars to 105.58 dollars.

Among the values ​​to be followed, the bank that have been heavily tested yesterday. The Financial Markets Authority (AMF), the stock market regulator, announced that it will monitor developments in the securities sector payday loans with no fax.Trading in Societe Generale jumped nearly 9% to 24.16 euros after being suspended briefly at the opening. The title was unscrewed from 14.74% on Wednesday. The bank asked the AMF to investigate the origin of the rumors that have depressed its course. The CEO of the bank, Frédéric Oudéa, denounced, in an interview with Le Figaro, "the series of attacks" against the French banking sector "sounds completely fantastic, I struggle with the utmost force, it is taken at Societe Generale, "he lamented. "We have no fear on our lending: we achieved 93% of our long-term funding program year, he added.Short-term side, we have 105 billion euros of underlying assets with central banks and keep full access to the interbank market. "

BNP Paribas (2.98% to 36.67 euros) and Credit Agricole (5.68% to 6.418 euros) rebounded Wednesday after falling by 9.5% and 11.8%.

Veolia Environnement (4.61% to 10.55 euros) and STMicroelectronics (3.39% to 4.488 euros), especially titles attacked in recent days, return to the field.

In addition, EADS (1.66% to 20.24 euros), the parent company of Airbus, said Wednesday it will not achieve its objectives in the United States in 2020 without new acquisitions.

Title Alcatel-Lucent (2.11% to 2.324 euros) is expected to rise following the release of quarterly results from Cisco Systems, above the consensus of Wall Street.

L'Oreal (2.29% to 1.73 euros) should benefit from the decision by Goldman Sachs, which added its list of preferred European stocks to buy ("pan-Europe conviction buy list").

Saint-Gobain (1.11% to 31.775 euros) has announced the acquisition of Solar Gard, a subsidiary of Belgian group dedicated to Bekaert Specialty Films, as part of its strategy to accelerate its growth through acquisitions.

Maurel & Prom rose 4.22% to 12.35 euros after opening up over 8%. The oil company reported a surge of 123% of its revenue thanks to increased revenues in Gabon and Nigeria.

ALSO READ:

"Falling stock market: the CEO of Societe Generale reacts

"French banks in the spiral of fear

"Paris Bourse: 70 billion evaporated in five sessions

After rebounding to 1.66% at the beginning and spent all morning in the green, the Cac 40 was pressed into the red in mid-session, before sinking further into negative territory at the opening of Wall Street. Shortly after the speech by Jean-Claude Trichet, as markets accentuated their losses, the distribution of all European indices, including the benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange, operated by NYSE Euronext, has been unavailable for almost a hours on Thursday due to a technical problem. The CAC 40 was finally ended on a plummeting 3.90% to 3320.35 points, its lowest level since July 28, 2009. After losing 134.59 points on the session, he signed the ninth session of consecutive decline, a new series in September 2002 and the end of the internet bubble burst. Since July 1, the benchmark index in Paris dropped nearly 17%.

The panic was the same on all stock exchanges in Europe: the FTSE-100 from the London Stock Exchange closed on a fall of 3.43% to 5393.14 points, its worst since the two September. The Dax in Frankfurt Stock Exchange ended down 3.40% to 6414.76 points. The Madrid Stock Exchange drops 3.89%, below 9000 points.

The diffusion index star of the Milan Stock Exchange, the FTSE Eb, it is suspended since 3:05 p.m. GMT when he fell more than 3%, announced the financial manager without explanation.

In the process, the Dow Jones on Wall Street was down 2.96% at 11,545 points.

Lower cost of debt Italian and Spanish

Financial markets were not convinced by the meeting of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank. This has not surprisingly left its rate unchanged at 1.50%.Above all, the ECB president, Jean-Claude Trichet said the share repurchase program of continued monetary institution, but would concern "that the Irish and Portuguese bonds" and not "those of other nationalities" .

After the award in Madrid some 3.3 billion of bonds with three and four years, the yield of the loan in ten years Spanish retreated 6.09% to around 11 hours (Paris time) against 6.35 % late Wednesday. The Spanish Treasury also announced it was canceling its bond issue, scheduled for Aug. 18. The rate of return of Italian ten-year paper fell, meanwhile, up 5.97% before stabilizing at around 6% against 6.10% the previous day.

On the currency markets, the euro falling 1.26% against the dollar at 1.4167 dollar. Oil is also displayed down 1.47% in New York at 90.58 dollars.For its part, the ounce of gold hit a new addition Thursday historical 1677.90 dollars on fears the global economy and becoming bogged down again in the wake of the conference of ECB President Jean -Claude Trichet.

On the corporate side, both companies have published this morning, Veolia Environnement and Axa.

Veolia Environnement: -9.44% to 12.95 euros – the largest drop Cac

Veolia Environnement, which warned last Friday that it would not achieve its goals for this year, released on Thursday a net loss of 67.2 million euros in the first half, weighed down by exceptional asset write-downs 800 million euros.The world leader in environmental services will focus its activities "in less than 40 countries in 2013 against 77 today."

Axa: + 3.08% to 12.40 euros – the largest increase Cac 40

However, Axa reported first half net profit more than quadrupled to 3.99 billion euros (324%), driven by gains on sale and very little affected by provisions related to the support plan to Greece.

Bonduelle: -2.06% to 64.15 euros

Bonduelle has increased from 10.7% in sales from 2010 to 2011. Sales of specialist canned vegetables and frozen emerge to 1726 million.The group confirmed its annual targets.

Vinci: -1.60% to 36.92 euros

Vinci said Wednesday QDVC, its joint venture with Qatari fund, won a contract for 374 million euros for a metro project for a new town being built in Qatar.

Vilmorin: + 5.11% to 76.99 euros

Vilmorin has confirmed its margin target of 2010-2011 by announcing an increase of 12.1% of its turnover for the year, thanks to the vegetable business, along with the acquisition of assets and maize seed and sorghum Brasmilho of Brazilian society.

Hermes: -0.57% to 234 euros

Hermès responded Wednesday to the Association of Defence of Minority Shareholders (Adam), who asked why the luxury group spent so much money to buy back its own shares."Share repurchases are intended to cover the programs free shares to employees," said a spokeswoman for Hermes.

Cegedim: -2.59% to 32 euros

Cegedim dropped its goal of increasing revenue for 2011 but remains confident in its ability to generate an EBIT close in absolute value, that of 2010. The group also announced Wednesday for the second quarter of 2011, a consolidated turnover of 247.1 million euros (+1.6% as reported and 0.1% organic).

Natixis (-0.10% to 2.923 euros) and Dexia will publish its second quarter results after market close.

The day promises to be very difficult for Societe Generale. The bank released Wednesday morning of the second quarter results affected by Greece, which do not allow it to maintain its forecast for 2011 as a whole.

Indeed, the net profit of Société Générale for the period April to June won by 31% over the same period last year to 747 million euros, due to increased depreciation on Greek government securities of 395 million euros. For his patron, Frederick Oudéa, depreciation Greek "a limited impact, as expected." Note that its rivals Credit Agricole and BNP Paribas have seen the note Greek respectively amount to 850 million and 650 millions of euros. Besides this exceptional item, net income of the bank was in line with analysts' expectations.If the net banking income (equivalent to sales) reached 6.5 billion euros (-2.6%), the net cost of risk has, himself, enjoyed 17.3% year on year.

"While the moderate recovery in developed economies has been confirmed in the second quarter, growing concerns about the European sovereign debt have caused risk aversion and erratic market movements, at the discretion of the political" summarizes the bank in a statement check cash advance.

Still, Societe Generale now seems to give up its goal of net profit of 6 billion euros in 2012, as the group had announced last June as part of its strategic plan called "Ambition 2015" according to CEO the objective "now seems difficult to achieve on time."

In terms of capital ratios, Societe Generale will toe the line: as required by the new regulatory framework for banks known as Basel III, which will be phased in from 2013 and requires banks a capital ratio of hard 7%, the bank expects to achieve an equity ratio of "hard" at least 9% in late 2013.Thus, if the extra layer of 1 to 2.5 percentage points, asked for schools called systemic, that is, those whose failure would threaten to destabilize the entire financial system-was claimed to Societe Generale, the obligations could be met.

ALSO READ:

"Baudoin Prot:" Stop the constant stress on the euro area "

"BNP Paribas has suffered from its exposure to Greece

"Greece will cost 850 million to Credit Agricole

How to make the Greek economy to become as competitive as the German? Nothing simpler. "I guess the teachers of vocational schools and skilled craftsmen to retire would be willing to be sent (in Greece) fixed-term" is to suggest the European Commissioner for Energy, German Günther Oettinger in an interview with the Hamburger Abendblatt. "We hope that the German economic culture will allow transfer to Greece," said simultaneously the Minister of Economy, Philipp Rösler, also Vice Chancellor Merkel's government as head of the Liberal party.

The Minister of barely 38 years of Vietnamese origin, embodies the virtues of miscegenation and he is proud payday loans for bad credit. Philipp Rösler considers that there is no reason why the methods used to shore up the former communist East Germany do not work in favor of Greece.His words, the hints of cultural imperialism, appear a bit naive. But they clearly reflect a large part of public opinion in Germany. And after all not ready do we not have to Jean Monnet, one of the founding fathers of Europe, this formula, "If it again, I would start with culture"? It's now or never to try.

It was twenty years commissions on credit card transactions had not fallen and that the regulator two years campaigning for change that. Following a lengthy litigation, the Competition Authority announced Thursday that French banks got a discount on fees so that they in turn require merchants and consumers for a withdrawal to the distributor or a card payment. This payment remains the most widely used in France and has grown steadily since its introduction, mainly to the detriment of the check.

According to the Competition Authority, which accused the banks to agree to the detriment of consumers, the main interchange fees should drop by 20% to 50%. The agreement will take effect from 1 October and will be valid for four years, with an estimated loss of revenue for banks to 600 million euros a year.

Effect on customers' bills

In detail, the interchange fees for payment, paid by the merchant's bank to the consumer, are expected to decline by 36%. These costs were strongly disputed by the traders, who thought a large majority "penalizing" according to a survey by the Professional Union scale (UPA). The Federation of Enterprises in trade and distribution was also the source of the complaint filed with the Competition Authority no fax cash advance.

More sensitive to the consumer, the fees charged for each withdrawal by the bank's ATM to that of the cardholder to fall by more than 20%. Currently, most institutions charge a euro each withdrawal at another bank in more than a few transactions. Only the Postal Bank currently fails to puncture such fees."The decline of this commission, now passed to the holders of a majority of banks will most likely be a direct down" on consumers' bills, welcomed the Competition Authority in a statement.

Commissions on levies on the Seletti

In this case, the fear of financial penalty penalizing banks convinced the 130 stakeholders to negotiate with the Competition Authority. In September 2010, the institution has indeed sanctioned eleven banks to the tune of 384.9 million euros for imposing fees on abusive transactions by check.

But the sector is regularly singled out by consumer associations to impose unfair tariffs, has not finished accountable.The Competition Authority also announced Thursday that it will address in the coming months to commissions established by other types of credit cards such as Visa or Mastercard, and those imposed for withdrawals.

Executives more optimistic about the market environment of the job, but more demanding in their career development and wages. These are the two main lessons of the seventh wave of the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi on the frames and the labor market, to be published tomorrow. For the first time since June 2008, executives are optimistic about the economic developments in employment (56% against 49% last December). Nearly three-quarters also have a positive opinion about their own jobs (72%).

This generally favorable decision must be relativized by two elements identified by the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi: a sense of degradation of working conditions and wage increases perceived as inadequate.And 54% of executives believe the work environment deteriorated and are as likely to be called "strained" relations with their superiors (43% against 29% who disagree). More importantly, 72% of executives still observe an increase in their workload and 69% said the emphasis on productivity increases.

Salaries disappointing

Hand wages, although the proportion of executives who received an increase earlier this year was up 5 points from December 2010 (39% against 34%), they are well below what they expected. 69% of managers have been increased, have been less than 4%. "There is a correlation between the increase seen in 2011 and the level of executive compensation," said the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi. Executives receiving more than 50 000 euros have seen their exceed 4% increase quick guaranteed personal loans.Moreover, nearly one in five executives saw their work is valued through missions or additional responsibilities or most interesting (17%) or by the granting of benefits in kind (16%) or by further consideration (15%) to compensate for the absence or the low pay increase.

Not surprising in these conditions that improved wages still awaiting the first frames: they are now 62% want to earn more, or three points since December 2010. This is the highest level since the first wave of the barometer in June 2008.

Cap on executive pay

To win better wages the French no longer hesitate to look elsewhere and to change employers. "Almost four in ten business (39%) are willing to change companies, an increase of 7 points in one year," said Cadremploi.Also 31% of respondents said "consider a change of occupation and / or business." What do they expect wage increases of mobility? "18% on average" …

Executives, who feel that their leaders do not quickly enough to loosen the purse strings, will also show severe levels of remuneration of top managers. They are in favor of a limitation of the latter, "more than one part in two (52%) say that leaders should receive an amount less than 250,000 euros" is the barometer Ifop / Cadremploi. Compensation deemed "acceptable" is averaging 386,641 euros.

ALSO READ:

"The executive pay rebound in 2011