International News

The ears of Michel Barnier, European Commissioner – French – in charge of Financial Services, had whistled Thursday morning. Jean-Pierre Jouyet, the president of the Financial Markets Authority (AMF), which held its annual interviews, did not mince words in criticizing his proposed reform of the financial markets in Europe. "The responses of this text do not match" issues, said Jean-Pierre Jouyet who fears that "to continue the movement toward more opaque."

The European Union last month presented a draft revision of MiFID came into force in 2007, which led to a proliferation of trading platforms, which make more complex markets work and the work of monitoring their police.Today, "it replays the same scene!" Complained Jean-Pierre Jouyet.

The tackle of the President of the MFA vis-à-vis Brussels has earned strong support from representatives of the Paris present yesterday morning, as Mestrallet (GDF Suez CEO and president of Europlace), Dominique Cerutti ( Nyse Euronext number two) but Ramon Fernandez, director of the Treasury. But on this subject as on others, the good alignment between gendarmes and police positions in finance in France lack relay abroad. But "it is here that we must share our ideas," Ramon Fernandez fell Thursday. "It's the G20 that plays the game."

Credit Risk

Global or European scale, several parties have just recently lost by France. The recapitalization of the banks decided at the Brussels summit of 27 October had not favored by Paris.

Oil flirts with $ 100 a barrel. But it could climb higher, it is in any case the feeling of the experts of Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management which assumes about $ 120 a barrel next year.

The return of the production of Libya on the market faster than expected: it reached about 700,000 barrels per day (against 1.6 million before the crisis in the country), "a figure that was thought best to reach the end of years, "said Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management. The country should, in this study, return to its previous capacity until mid-2012. Meanwhile, production of mature countries such as Norway, Mexico and the United Kingdom declined. And falling stocks including the United States.

"Countries like Saudi Arabia require that the price of oil is at a relatively high (above 90 dollars per barrel) in order to balance their budgets," said the study payday loans.OPEC therefore intervene in the case of lower prices. A scenario that does not, however, resist a global recession.

A further increase of gold expected

Among commodities, gold has also been rising by several asset managers. Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management believes that in a context of very low interest rates, the market should remain strong.

The Swiss Bank Wegelin, too, advises his clients to hold physical gold, not least because it considers the euro, the yen and the dollar overvalued. "When all the current problems are resolved, then it will be time to get out of gold" summarizes Magne Y. Orglandes, managing partner of the Swiss bank.

In the third quarter, gold demand has also increased by 6% according to statistics from World Gold Council, reaching a record $ 57.7 billion (42.7 billion euros).

In June 2001, less than a year before the presidential election of 2002, left and right united voted in favor of a major fiscal reform, that of the organic law on public finance laws (LOLF). This text made more transparent accounts of the state. Driven by Didier Migaud at the time of the general rapporteur Socialist Finance Committee of the Assembly, and Alain Lambert, President of the same centrist Committee in the Senate, the reform has been a consensus.

Such a consensus is lacking today to the golden rule, the constitutional reform that would lead to a zero deficit.Yet it is, as LOLF, only to reform "technical", which does not tend to lead policy (tax increases or spending cuts) to balance the books saving account payday loan.

In addition, France is now bound by a commitment: EU leaders decided to adopt in their country a golden rule by the end of 2012. At a conference held for ten years LOLF Thursday, François Fillon regretted blocking the left. "In the deep crisis in particular the euro area, (the Golden Rule, Ed) is an extremely strong sign of the will of all political forces of our country to achieve the goal of zero deficit" he said.

With LOLF, France produced a decade of budget information better. Previously, Parliament voted the new spending next year. It is no longer the case since the draft budget for 2006.

"It will take place, and this is probably a matter of months, the issue of financing of our welfare. It will probably include the participation of imports. "In two sentences, the head of state made it clear that social VAT probably figure prominently in its program during the next presidential campaign. The mechanism is to fund Social Security by a consumption tax, so among other products imported from countries practicing "social dumping". In exchange, the contributions that affect the cost of labor is lightened, in order to gain competitiveness – a leitmotif of the presidential intervention on Thursday night. Social VAT is not exactly a topic that shares the political class on the line right to left as usual low fee payday loans.Manuel Valls, only the PS, is favorable, as the centrist Jean Arthuis or UMP Jean-Francois Cope and Valérie Pécresse, Xavier Bertrand and others in the majority are reluctant, fearing an inflationary effect, so a loss of purchasing power of households.

The president has however ruled out any attempt at protectionism to fight against offshoring. Establish tariffs would "make sense", he decided, in a clear allusion to the "de-globalization" praised by Arnaud Montebourg.

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"The euro is a rock against the crisis. "This declaration of Gylfi Arnbjornsson, President of Iceland's largest union, released in turmoil in the euro area, out of place. "While a small floating national currency increases the flexibility and affects employees," he insists. Bryndis, she does not believe more in the EU and the euro area. "It does not work. The crown, however, allowed us to emerge quickly from the crisis, "said the young woman, who works in a bookstore, very committed to the sovereignty of his country. These two strong views illustrate the gap between pro-and anti-Europe.

Iceland began on June 27 last formal negotiations to enter the European Union. At the end, Icelanders will vote in a referendum.The challenge for the small island in the far north that is just three years of severe recession, is to join the single currency.

The debate in Reykjavik is far from settled, including the center-left coalition government, like the Minister of Economy Social Democratic supporter of the euro and its counterpart of Finance defends the virtues of the crown.

"The devaluation of over 40% has boosted the competitiveness of our exports. The gain exceeds the final cost. Unemployment would have been much worse, "says Green Minister Steingrimur Sigfusson. With two key economic sectors: aluminum and fishing account for 80% of exports. In this land swept by the waters and winds so imposing nature, the farm lobby and fishing make their voices heard. They reject the decisions of Brussels and its quotas.Yet, in fact, Iceland is already integrated into the European Union.

The case "Icesave" three years ago that poisons relations with Great Britain and the Netherlands also maintained Euroscepticism. The State has spent 15% of GDP to save its national banks but refused to compensate the foreign customers of the bank Icesave, bankruptcy. An early decision of the European Court of Justice could force Reykjavik to set the slate of 8 billion euros. "The bank Landsbanki has the means to repay by selling its assets revalued since the crisis," said the minister.

Indebtedness

Three years to regain control of the IMF, the economy drastically, radical restructuring of the banks have put the country on track for growth, helped by a crown devalued no faxing pay day loans.In the field, if the maintenance of a welfare state and the strength of social ties, related to the geography of the place and its small population, have reduced the impact, the crisis is far from over. Reflecting Hildigunnur Sverrisdottir, 35, architect, married with three children. "We are living a nightmare, every month, our debts pile up, we have no visibility and perspective," she confesses.

This family alone synthesizes all the symptoms of the crisis Iceland: Hidlig lost his job after the explosion of the housing bubble, the couple bought a house at full price. They chose a loan in foreign currency – yen, Swiss franc and euro – more attractive as deemed stable and offering lower interest rates. This not to mention local specificity to index mortgages on inflation, which reached its highest, 18%.Result, many Icelanders have seen the value of their loans soar. "In my generation, everyone has lost an average of 10 million crowns," says Hubert Koziet, who suffered a pay cut and an increase of one third of its credit.

Unable to repay their credit, Hidlig and her husband were offered a government program, reserved for owners 13 .500, which is to cap credit 110% of the value of the dwelling and convert crown. "We do not know what to do, we are still negotiating with our bank, we do not rule out leaving the country. Many of our friends, architect, engineer, accountant … went to Denmark and the United States. "

Counter the brain drain and attract new investment, are the future challenges for sustainable growth in Iceland. Because the economy remains crippled by capital controls and political instability.Ironically, today is not money that is lacking in the small island – banks are full of capital that the Icelanders and businesses could exfiltrer abroad – but it suffers from a lack of confidence in the future and the political elites.

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Meanwhile Cannes … The G20 finance ministers, held Friday and Saturday in Paris, was aimed to prove once again to the European partners that it was at the bedside of the crisis currently affecting the area, but also to mark the stage for the G20 heads of state to be held in early November on the Croisette.

This Saturday, the central bankers have therefore agreed to support and rebalance the global economy in a context of heightened tensions, and lead coordinated policies in the short and long term."Advanced countries will adopt, taking into account their respective national circumstances, policies to strengthen the confidence and support growth and implement measures clear, credible and targeted to rebalance public finances," it said in the final communiqué.

While in the coming days, the United States should "clarify" their budgetary consolidation measures and China commit to "rebalance" its growth engines, the Europeans themselves have promised to respond "comprehensive and sustainable "to the debt crisis that mine. In this context, the results of the European Summit of 23 October will be "decisive," assured on Saturday the Minister of Economy, Baroin, who chaired the summit.The G20 ministers expect indeed a "comprehensive plan" that will "provide an aggressive response to current challenges."

All topics to be discussed in Brussels at the EU summit and then to Cannes and is listed in the press release.If the finance ministers and central bank governors of the G20 welcomed the decisions taken in late July to strengthen the powers and capacity of intervention of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), they said to wait for new work to maximize the impact of the fund, and that to "avoid any risk of contagion" from the Greek crisis to other economies.

The warning from Christine Lagarde

On the issue of banks, ministers say they will ensure "that banks have an adequate level of capital and have adequate access to funding to address current risks," while the new haircut on debt of the Greek state held by private creditors will be known on October 23.

Long relegated to playing second fiddle, women are playing an increasingly active in economic life. They upend the established positions and make their voices heard, as evidenced by the seventh edition of the Women's Forum which runs through Saturday in Deauville. Notably, they enter the highest levels, for example by investing the boards of large listed companies with the Zimmermann-Cope Law, which requires 20% of administrators by January 2014 in the groups listed on Paris and unlisted companies employing over 500 people. Anticipating that date, the giants of the CAC 40 they received from this year 20.99% of their directorships, according to Ethics & Boards, the first international observatory board and monitoring of listed companies, chaired by Alexandra La Martiniere.But women are only 15.21% to hold this type of responsibility in smaller listed companies belonging to the SBF 80.

Even the state is beginning to apply the principles it imposes on the private sector. Saffron, which is a shareholder, allowed him finally to have the first three women's representative in a large group when he joined the CAC 40 index in September.

Support networks

The verb "undertake" is combined also becoming more feminine. Women represent an entrepreneur in three. Some embark necessity. "After working twenty years as product manager and then as marketing director, I was forced to give up my profession for family reasons. When my husband died, I had 50 or more years of employment.The idea to set up my own business has become a highlight and a necessity, "said Agnes Terrillon who created Voskel, an art gallery for young talents. Others launched by personal desire. "I always knew that I would one day own guaranteed fast personal loans. The trigger came from a personal need for which I could not find a solution. I could not rent equipment for childcare for the birth of my children. Separated with two children, I also wanted to take a new turn in career almost 50 years, "says Florence Pouzergue, who created Louli & Go Kids, a site that offers baby equipment. Younger do not hesitate to give up the comfort of well-known companies.

"I created the Factory Design to 24 years at HEC," explains Emily Gobin.Women can especially make the attempt and assert their professional ambitions that support networks are increasing. InterElles, Women's Network, O'Pluriel, Action'elles help them win in businesses. Force Femmes, EPWN, the first European network of women executives and entrepreneurs, and encourage others to take responsibility and develop their society. Martine Liautaud, founder CEO of investment banking Liautaud & Co., launched in September 2010 a mentoring program called Free WBMI, including BNP Paribas is a partner. "I met by chance WBMI at a time when I was at a standstill. With my mentor, I found the keys to move, "said Martine de Richeville, head Svelt'Coaching, now in Paris, Brussels and Milan. The financiers also are mobilizing.Women Equity, founded by Dunya Bouhacene, loop a fund raising 100 million euros for investment in growth SMEs run by women and made his first investment. With an aim to discover the female champions of tomorrow.

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Febrile atmosphere around Dexia announced the dismantling of which is to organize. On Thursday afternoon, the rating on the stock exchange was suspended at the request of the Belgian regulator: the action was losing more than 17% amid rumors that many French-Belgian bank was forced each time to confirm or to reverse. It will again be listed on Monday.

Dexia has confirmed to be entered into exclusive negotiations "with a group of international investors that the government of Luxembourg will attend" to sell its subsidiary private bank, the BIL (Banque Internationale à Luxembourg). This discussion has actually been mainly engaged with the sovereign fund of Qatar, several sources indicate.The Luxembourg Finance Minister, Luc Frieden, for his part justified the participation of the Grand Duchy as a "minority shareholder" in the name of "systemic" to his country of BIL's 12 billion euros of deposits and forty traditional bank branches.

The first assignment could be raised on Saturday by the Board of Directors of Dexia, intended, according to a close case, to "calibrate the overall strategy of the division of Dexia."

This strategy is already known in outline. This is to sell every major business or large branch. Dexia will gradually emptied of its substance and its assets down to the most difficult to sell, mainly the bond portfolio of 95 billion euros and a life of thirteen years.The State guarantee French and Belgian finance Dexia and ultimately apply to "cantonment" business card templates.

On this basis, negotiations, under pressure from the markets and financial authorities who fear a confusion between the case of Dexia and the rest of the European banking sector are extremely complex: in addition to buyers interested in a particular asset, discussion involving the management of Dexia, its shareholders and the Belgian side the French side, and the states.

Mutual distrust

However, the pattern holds only insofar as the current shareholders of Dexia are collectively responsible. The centrifugal forces exerted, especially in Belgium, must be curbed. Thursday, pushing the Belgian regions, according to local press, a scheme of demerger of the retail DBB (Dexia Bank Belgium).

Seen from France, the idea goes wrong, since the ultimate goal of the operation is that the sale of assets – DBB is a price – reported enough money to build the hive and absorb as much as possible losses that would otherwise eventually be collected by the states.

The mistrust is mutual. On the Belgian side, Prime Minister Yves Leterme has hammered yesterday that his country did not intend to be alone with Dexia on the arms. "We must continue to fund all the past, and we will not do it alone," said the Finance Minister Didier Reynders. On this side of the border, negotiations continue on the transfer of the portfolio and lending activities to local authorities in the Deposit and La Banque Postale.

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The entrance to the rugby in the professional world is not always without its pitfalls, far away … Proof of this is the last statement from Steve Tew, the CEO of the Federation of New Zealand rugby. Wednesday, the leader has put his foot in it by suggesting that his selection would be deprived of the next World Cup in 2015 in England. A heresy in the land of rugby!

Bluff or not, this threat reveals the uneasiness of the Federation kiwi affected financially by the organization of the current World Cup. Certainly, the event is almost historic land of the long white cloud. But the financial benefits expected from this great mass of world rugby is limited. In the end, New Zealand will lose even money (about 39 million New Zealand dollars, or 22.33 million euros).The New Zealand government will pay part of the losses, but the federation itself will also put their hands in the pocket to the tune of two thirds of the money lost.

Shortfall of 7.5 million euros

However, these losses are organizing a one-time difficulties. Because the real malaise lies elsewhere. Steve Tew, it's participation in the competition itself that is the problem. Every 4 years, federations qualified in the northern hemisphere and the south need to change their schedule (suppression test matches, shortening the Tri Nations tournament …). What cause a shortfall in terms of result and television advertising revenue and ticket sales. This year's Tri-Nations tournament, in which compete each year in New Zealand, Australia and South Africa, for example, was reduced from nine to six games due to World Cup.In Europe, the fall tours were also canceled.

In a World trade rules of the International Rugby Board (IRB) also prohibit the presence of the sponsors of the national federations. This accentuates the downward pressure on commercial benefits. In the end, the Federation of New Zealand (NZRU) said the shortfall related to participation in a 13 million New Zealand dollars (7.5 million). Great on a budget of around 55 million euros. A price she can afford all four years, according to Steve Tew.

If they win the All-Blacks, the players would receive such a bonus of 55,000 euros, depending on the site sportune.fr. Barely more than the French players to touch the earth just move in New Zealand (45,000 euros).If they win the XV of France, the French would also reward of 180,000 euros extra.

Australia to support

In his threat to boycott, leaders of New Zealand have received support from their neighbor Australia. For its part, the Australian Federation (ARU) said the losses associated with participation in the World Cup to 16 million Australian dollars (about 11.5 million euros). All federations combined, the overall shortfall would reach between 35 and 40 million pounds (40 to 16 million euros). "As noted by Steve Tew, the current economic model is unacceptable and can not be encouraged," said the general manager of the ARU, John O'Neill.We ask the IRB to resolve the problem quickly, because as a national federation, the ARU can not afford to have huge losses every four years. "

For many, the threat of New Zealand is not serious, its national team can not really do without the visibility provided by the participation in the World Cup. But the argument did fly, the IRB had promised the opening of discussions after the World Cup to avoid a radical decision.

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The U.S. stock markets opened sharply higher Tuesday. The Dow Jones climbed 1.61% to 11,231 points and the Nasdaq by 1.54% to 2254 points in early trade.

Monday, Wall Street had already finished in the green.

Since the beginning of the week, investors in Europe and the United States, is won over by a wave of optimism about the outcome of the crisis of sovereign debt. "The beginning of the week is placed under the sign of hope. Investors have decided to give credit to European policy makers and international willingness to find ways to resolve the sovereign debt crisis, "economists observe in Paris broker Aurel BGC. There are "high hopes that one is engaged in the right direction towards resolving the debt crisis in Europe," say experts on their side LBBW. Other analysts, however, want to caution.The strategists of the Crédit Mutuel-CIC believe that "the improvement should not last as rumors seem exaggerated. The expansion of EFSF does not solve the structural problems in Europe, while the challenge is there. "

The spokesperson of European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Olli Rehn, Europe is considering strengthening the capacity of the European support fund for countries in trouble (EFSF). Rumors press also reported a proposed quadrupling of the Fund's lending capacity to 2000 billion euros. In turn, an official of the ECB, the Austrian Ewald Nowotny, did not rule out declines in interest rates in the euro area.But soon, the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble assured that Europeans had "no intention of bailing out" the EFSF.

Political leaders are still clearly divided on the responses to the debt crisis, while discussions on the payment of a new international loan to Greece, vital to enable it to avoid bankruptcy dragged on. At the same time discontent rises and Athens was again paralyzed Tuesday by a wave of strikes in public transport.

Oil opened up in New York

The euro was weakening on Tuesday to below $ 1.35. Mileu in the day, the euro stood at 1.3496 dollars, against 1.3523 dollars late Monday.He had fallen in session Monday to 1.3363 dollars, its lowest level since mid-January, prior to recover.

As for commodities, gold has recovered slightly this morning at 1640 dollars an ounce after declining over the last three sessions. Oil falls sharply higher this morning in Asian trade after having dropped more than eight dollars last week. Oil prices were moving up sharply at the opening Tuesday in New York, driven by renewed optimism for the determination of the Europeans to resolve the debt crisis in the eurozone business cards design.On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery traded at 82.64 dollars, up by $ 2.40 at the close on Monday night.

On the macroeconomic front, house prices in the United States remained stable in July compared with June, according to Case-Shiller survey released Tuesday by Standard and Poor's. The study, however, that over-year, declining home prices for sale widened in July to 4.1%, down less pronounced than the analysts thought.

As for values ​​to be followed on Tuesday:

As for values, Goldman Sachs will intensify its restructuring efforts, after a disastrous third quarter, which could be one of the worst ever recorded by the U.S. investment bank since it went public 12 years ago, says the New York Times.Goldman Sachs will be 1.2 billion to $ 1.45 billion savings goal of operation by mid-2012, the paper said on its website, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter.

The mysterious tablet that the online retailer Amazon.com Wednesday could present promises to be a star among the products' high-tech "of the season, even though the Seattle group has not yet revealed existence.Amazon Wednesday invited reporters to an event which he kept secret the subject, organized in a video production and music in Hell's Kitchen neighborhood of Manhattan.

Motorola Solutions is within the scope of an investigation by U.S. authorities, according to the Wall Street Journal, concerning a possible corruption in the course of its business in Europe.

The Anglo-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto, listed on Wall Street, announced Tuesday it had increased to 49% its stake in Canada's Ivanhoe Mines, the upper limit is included in an agreement between the two groups that intend to operate an entire mine copper and gold in Mongolia.

ONEOK announced expect to achieve a net profit of between 355 and 400 million in 2012, against 325 to 345,000,000 dollars in 2011.For its part, ONEOK Partners expects a net 740 to $ 800 million for the year 2012 against 630 to 660,000,000 for the year 2011, while natural gas volumes processed are expected to increase more than expected.

Also note, Standard & Poor's is within the scope of an investigation by the SEC, the U.S. stock market regulator, who questioned its rating of an issue of structured securities in 2007 just before the market collapse real estate, announced its parent company McGraw-Hill.