International News

Since Tuesday, investors are moving away from safe-haven assets following the various signs of recovery in the global economy. The success of Intel promote appetite for risk. What will weigh on the dollar. Just as the maintenance of the speech by the Fed, which promotes interest rates still very low even for long.

EUR / USD – Sessions hectic since early April

After the Easter weekend, there has been a depreciation of the euro against the dollar in a climate of distrust of so-called risky currencies. The operators were cooled in their appetite for risk because of their fear on the issue of Greece. The single currency has lost about 220 pips * from a quotation of dollar 1.3500 1.3282 U.S. dollar on Thursday at 10am (lowest of the week).

Then the tension on the markets have weakened.Speech by Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the ECB (European Central Bank) last Thursday, has eased the financial world. He said he pursued the policy of low interest rates up to 1% in the euro area. And it has said that "Greece was able to reduce its deficit" and had already started to employ strong measures.

Nothing better to give a boost to the euro. The last weekend, offering assistance to 30 billion euros – Athens does "not want to use" – the European Union gave a big blow oxygen, allowing the euro to rise around 1 36 dollar on Monday.After two sessions of stagnation (Monday and Tuesday), the exchange rate has increased again, bolstered by renewed investor optimism about the strength of the global recovery due to favorable economic statistics, while comments Fed chairman on a forecast of "moderate growth" have weighed on the greenback.

On Tuesday, the foreign exchange markets have welcomed the issuance by Athens Treasury bills.And on Wednesday, Ben Bernanke (Beige Book) reiterated Wednesday that the rate of the institution should remain close to zero, at which they are set since December 2008, for an extended period, dismissing speculation of an anticipated tightening of Fed monetary policy, which has given new impetus to the euro.

As expected by analysts Realtime Forex Tuesday, which saw the euro test the 1.3541 support for better back, it is mounted to 1.3667 to 18 hours.

CDN / JPY – Same trend

Nippon side, the euro followed the same "trend" * weekly against the yen. The single currency began a decline of more than 400 pips against the yen. On Monday, the euro / yen was quoted at 127.70 to touch a low of 123.40 yen. But from the response Trichet yesterday, the euro strengthened to 125.60 yen to return.

The yen fell for the sixth straight session against the euro, with one course from Wednesday to 127.07 yen against 126.83 yen the day before.

GBP / USD – Sterling held up better than the euro

Across the Channel, the BoE (Bank of England) has also left interest rates unchanged at 0.5%, indicating that this was not the time to make a recovery rate of payday loan lenders.

Monetary side, the pound sterling, however, fared better than the euro against the dollar. Like British macro-economic figures emerged this week (GDP 0.4% and manufacturing output up 1.3%), the pound has evolved into a "range *" between 1.5130 and 1.5320 dollar.

* The cable is able to break this channel by treating up to 1.5473 dollar.

Against the yen, the pound again the delay and found almost the level of 144.21 yen on Monday.

CHF / EUR – Swiss Franc still going strong

On Wednesday, the Swiss franc 1.4362 per euro symbol. This is a very strong for the Swiss franc, which traded in 2009 almost all the time between 1.50 and 1.54.

Since the beginning of the year, the Swiss Frabce climbed more than 5%. This is not the business of the Swiss Central Bank, whose foreign exchange policy is heckled.

The yuan under the spotlight of the world

On Wednesday, Ben Bernanke, who appeared before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, reiterated that "the United States must continue to press China to bring it to revalue its currency, the yuan."Barack Obama this week's encounter homolgue Chinese President Hu Jintao on China's trade deficit background.

Most economists agree that the currency is undervalued – by 40% according to analysts and has been used to obtain an economy more oriented toward exports to domestic consumption.

On the one hand, in case of revaluation, China would be ready to counter the speculative bubbles that threaten, and inflationary pressures. But then again, remember that a more expensive yuan will be more expensive for the "Western" to fill all Chinese products.And they will have the effect of melt exchange reserves in dollars of the Chinese, which does allow them to buy as many more U.S. Treasury Bonds, and therefore finance the debt of the United States …

* Definitions

• Forex: For Foreign Exchange, or foreign exchange market

• Technical analysis: analyst or chartist. She studied graphic evolution courses. The research in the historical price behavior involved in a situation to predict the evolution of financial securities.

• Pips: Price Interest Point. Unit rating for foreign currency. It designates the last digit used: in the case of the euro, the fourth decimal place.

• Trend: trend.

• Range: range.

• Support: value as the price has very little chance to pass down.

• Resistant: value as the price has very little chance to overtake on the rise.

• EUR: Euro, USD: U.S. Dollar, or U.S. dollar JPY Japan Yen or Japanese yen, GBP: British Pound, CHF: Swiss franc.

After three days of Easter break and while European markets are closed on Monday, the NYSE should begin the week in green. The recovery of new posts in the United States, announced Friday as the market was closed, has something to restore confidence among investors. In March, the United States have created 162 000 jobs. This is the best performance in nearly three years. It is partly due to the hiring of 48 000 federal agents responsible for conducting the population census planned this year. But overall, the trend shows that employment in the private sector restarts. In industry, in services such as retail and even construction companies have started to recruit. "America still has work to do to restore jobs, but it's the best news in this regard for two years, welcomed the president Barack Obama.In fact, the unemployment rate remains high in the United States to 9.7% in March and February.

Investors scrutinize closely this afternoon two other important indicators: Promises of home sales in February in the U.S. and especially the index (ISM) activity in the service in March faxless cash advances. Experts expect a continued recovery in this sector (which accounts for 80% of jobs-with the exception of agriculture, the country) for the third consecutive month.If these statistics confirm the strength of recovery in the U.S. economy, the Dow Jones, which closed Thursday at 10 927.07 points could cross the threshold of 11 000 points.

Despite the absence of European investors, still Easter weekend, futures on indices of NYSE were well oriented two hours before the opening of U.S. markets. Futures on the Dow Jones traded at 10 890 up 30 points and those on the Nasdaq at 1 960 points (8 points).

Side values, Apple will be closely watched at the market opening. The Americans were indeed rushed during the weekend on the iPad, the new multifunction tablet from Apple. More than 300 000 copies have been sold as of Saturday, the first day of worldwide commercialization of this new high-tech product.

According to the index comprises the 50 largest capitalization in the Asia-Pacific, the S & P Asia, the trend is down slightly, from 0.23% to 3039 points to 7 hours, one day after closing without trend Wall Street.

In Japan, the Nikkei 2005 advance him, of 0.36%, 11,136 points, breaking yet another record 18 months after already rising the previous day. The weak yen Dopen export values.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index plaice 0.13% at 21,346 points while the Shanghai CSI 300 loose 0.29% at 3357 points amid profit taking.

In Sydney, the S & P / ASX similarly lost 0.27% at 4903 points. The values of construction and saddled the financial index.While the flagship index of New Zealand rose 0.4% to 3262 points.

Oil side, in morning trading, a barrel of light sweet crude for May delivery yielded six hundred U.S. dollars to 82.31 while Brent North Sea with identical maturity took a cent to 81.29 dollars low fee payday advance.

Toyota setting sales surge

Sales in the United States of Japanese automaker Toyota, which fell in January and February in the wake of massive recalls, could have rebounded 35% in March on a year through a series of promotions, said Tuesday a spokesman for the group.

In Australia, MacArthur Coal soared (+14.6%) while the group has received an offer of 3.3 billion Australian dollars from an American mining group Peadoby Energy Corp., which he refused.

Also in the continental countries, BHP Billiton down 0.8% after the group was awarded with steel producers to fix prices of short-term contracts for coking coal.

Rio Tinto up 0.6% while four employees have been harshly sentenced to prison two days ago. The Australians have doubts about the conditions of the trial held in China.

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia lost 0.4%.

The wheel turns for Volvo Cars. In the early 1990s, the flagship of the Swedish car industry had snubbed a merger with Renault before finally being bought by the American manufacturer Ford in 1999. Sunday, Volvo has fallen into the hands of rival China Geely.

A good deal for the Chinese, who will spend 1.8 billion dollars (1.34 billion), four times less than the $ 6.4 billion paid by Ford in 1999. This acquisition, the largest made by a Chinese group in the sector, marks a turning point. She spends the rise of China in the global automotive industry.

Virtually unknown in Europe, Geely began decades ago as a supplier of parts for refrigerators, before becoming the first private carmaker in China.His boss, Li Shufu, an engineer who founded the group in 1986, is 123rd Chinese capital, with one billion dollars. Employing 12 000 people of which 1 600 engineers in China, Geely manages six assembly plants, has 500 dealers and 600 service stations across the country. With approximately 300 000 cars sold last year, Geely number ten is the sector in China.

With its success, Geely intends to leave its borders. According to Volvo, the group also covets the black taxis in London.It is in talks to take control of Manganese Bronze, the company that manufactures the famous 'black cabs' London, which already owns 20%.

Continuing plants inEurope

While Volvo employs 19,650 employees worldwide, the jobs are threatened in Europe? Li Shufu has already notified its intention to build a factory in Beijing which will be manufactured 300000Volvo per year for the Chinese market no teletrack payday loan . But the group also said it intends to continue operating plants in Europe, the main ones being located in Torslanda (Sweden) and Ghent (Belgium).

"I see Volvo as a tiger, on Sunday launched Li Shufu at Volvo headquarters in Sweden, where the Chinese flag was hoisted. The tiger belongs to the forest, it can not be put in a zoo in a small enclosure. We must free the tiger.The heart of the tiger is in Sweden and Belgium, but its power must be projected around the world. I see China as a market where Volvo has shown its ability to release the horses. "

A reluctant time, unions have seemed reassured and have supported the acquisition. "I will not go into details but we got an answer to our questions," said Glenn Magnusson, president of the union LEDARNA. In reality, neither Volvo or its owner, Ford, had a genuine choice.Specializes in sedans and station wagons upscale, Volvo, founded in 1927, saw its sales plunge because of the economic crisis that has benefited small affordable models

As for Ford, the second American manufacturer and the only one not to have resorted to using the federal government during the recession, the agreement with Geely will enable it to reduce its balance sheet and focus its marketing efforts on Ford brand.

By selling Volvo, Ford, however, puts an end to its ambitions in the high end, having sold the luxury brands Aston Martin, Jaguar and Land Rover a few years after their acquisition price.

Greece has lived too long beyond its means on falsified data, intentional or negligent. While the previous government announced a deficit of 6% of GDP, George Papandreou, just took office in October 2009, revealed a deficit of 12.9% and public debt to 115% of GDP, while the limit Brussels is fixed by 3%. The euro fell from the clouds. Widespread tax evasion – the shadow economy exceeds 20% of GDP – bloated government spending, burden of staff: emergency measures needed. Athens offers a drastic austerity plan: reducing government spending and health spending, freezing salaries and bonuses of officials, raising the age of retirement guaranteed approval cash loans !!!???! !!???!!!. Greece promises to bring back this way its public deficit to 8.7% of GDP at end 2010, but not convincing.Riddled with debt, it will borrow 53 billion euros this year if she wants to get out. If Europe does not help, bankruptcy is a nightmare scenario that nobody wants because it could snowball. But Greece also must avoid at all costs the social explosion that growls at her.

2) Why so much reluctance in Germany?

The German Chancellor has requested that a country can be excluded from the euro area "last resort" in case of repeated infringements Maastricht rules. Photo credits: AFN

And if EADS came back in the race for tanker aircraft? The Pentagon expressed willingness Thursday to extend the tender for its tanker aircraft, while its recent withdrawal had caused anger in Paris and Berlin against Washington.

"The Defense Department has received notification from EADS North America showing its possible desire to contribute to the replenishment of the Air Force and U.S. we would support," said Geoff Morrell.

He added: "If necessary, we may reasonably consider extending the closing date of tender, currently set for mid-May, which" would not be unusual, "he said.

Louis Welsh, head of EADS, stated, however, at a press conference in New York, that such an initiative would require the postponement of the deadline for response to the call for tenders for the currently scheduled for May 12But he says it is "impossible" for his group to submit to the Air Force bid for U.S. tanker aircraft in 60 days, however, leaving the door open to any proposal.

He said EADS had not taken any decision on a possible new bid for the contract, while Boeing is currently the only candidate. He also said that EADS had not sought another partner or been contacted by other groups to raise its offer.

A tender twice canceled

EADS and its U.S. partner Northrop Grumman withdrew from the bidding of the Pentagon, arguing that the terms of that favored Boeing.

The tender to supply 179 tanker aircraft to the U.S. Army, valued at 35 billion dollars, was awarded a first for Boeing in 2003, then again at Airbus (EADS) and its American ally Northrop Grumman in 2008, and each time canceled.

Investors began to doubt when the morale of U.S. households showed slightly degraded. Americans are less optimistic about employment prospects. The index of consumer sentiment fell to 72.5 in March against 73.6 in February.

The effect on U.S. markets was immediate. While in the early exchanges, they open up, already after three consecutive sessions in green, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and S & P 500 are passed into the red.

Around 16:30, they retreat respectively of 0.06%, 0.34% and 0.19%.

This Friday at 14:30, retail sales in the United States have resisted to the bad weather in February.Against all odds, they rose by 0.3% compared to January (in data seasonally adjusted) while analysts felt they had declined by 0.2%.

This supports other new ad, released Thursday, which was rather reassuring, even if they still underscore the difficulties overseas cheapest one. Like the U.S. trade deficit fell to 37.29 billion dollars from 39.9 billion in January. For specialists Barclays Exchange, "it is a pleasant surprise to the extent that economists were expecting a deficit of 41 billion dollars."Other good news side of the labor market "listings weekly unemployment fell to 462,000 from 469,000 the previous week.

Oil prices rose Friday in the opening exchanges in New York on a more optimistic market demand after the new forecast of the International Atomic Energy. The barrel of light sweet crude for April delivery was trading at the opening at 82.97 dollars, up 86 cents from the previous day.

On Wall Street will be sitting under the sign consumer with the publication of sales information for the month of February and the preliminary estimate of consumer confidence.Business inventories for the month of January will be published in late afternoon.

Citigroup rose 20% in 4 sessions

On the side of values, the CEO of Citigroup has pledged a return to profitability of the bank. The state could get rid of all of its shares within twelve months. The title of Citigroup rose 30% since the beginning of the month and by 20% since the stock market Monday. Friday, the shares resumed their breath, down from 0.7% to $ 4.15.

For several sessions throughout the banking sector enjoys a renewed interest from investors. On Thursday, he was also concerned by the failure of talks in the U.S. Senate to reform the financial system.After several months of effort, Senator Dodd, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, failed to reach an agreement between Republicans and Democrats on this bill to reform the banking system.

In the energy sector, Devon Energy (0.51%, to 72.41 dollars), the specialist production of oil will sell at BP Plc for seven billion dollars of assets located in Brazil, Azerbaijan and Gulf of Mexico.

Note also the manufacturer of semiconductor National Semiconductor announced after the close of the NYSE, a profit of 53.2 million, or 22 cents a share against 18 cents expected by analysts' consensus. Turnover was 361.9 million against 348.6 million expected by analysts. Titles rise of 0.63%, to 14.44 dollars.

The U.S. computer group Hewlett-Packard announced Friday that it was revising downward its first quarter results because of the legal costs of its subsidiary Electronic Data Systems (EDS).

The judicial authorities have in fact ordered DHS to pay 300 million euros – in all – group British Sky Broadcasting and British Sky suscribers Services (BSkyB), which had continued since 2000 to a dispute concerning a development project to system update management (CRM customer relationship) second by the first …went wrong.

After delays and budget overruns (48 million pounds sterling at the base), BSkyB had then resolved to complete the project alone.

On 1 March, in addition to a sentence of 230 million euros imposed in January, HP has been added to interim payment of 77 million euros.

96 to 93 cents per share

Thus, net income amounted to 2.25 billion dollars instead of 2.32 billion announced in February. The world of computers was then revised upwards its estimates of revenues and earnings for fiscal 2010 lagged cash advance .Net earnings per share is reduced to 93 cents, against 96 cents previously.

Last November, Hewlett-Packard unveiled a decline in net income of 8% annually to 7.7 billion, although the last quarter it was up 14% yoy to 2.4 billion dollars. At this time, Dell has introduced quarterly profit falls by 54% and a revenue and earnings per share below expectations.

In May 2008, HP had offered the number two global services company EDS for $ 13.9 billion.

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End of story. For several weeks, negotiations between the seven countries A400M customers and executives of EADS, parent company of Airbus, have punctuated the news. At yet another meeting, in Berlin, a "tentative agreement" was reached, provided the giant European aerospace in a statement.

Customers (Belgium, Britain, France, Germany, Luxembourg, Spain and Turkey) will pay 3.5 billion euros extra. What survival program, which accumulates nearly four years late and reaped 5.2 billion euros of additional costs.

Specifically, they shall have two billion more on the initial price of the contract and provide $ 1.5 billion in exchange for a share of future exports, according to EADS.The original contract must be amended in the "coming weeks".

In addition, it was agreed to accelerate payment of PDP between 2010 and 2014, but no timetable has yet been arrested.

The time for congratulations

EADS considers that this agreement provides a basis "healthy" for a successful evolution of the A400 program M.

The French Minister of Defense Herv? Morin was commended for his share "of the finalization of the negotiations. "This agreement completes the implementation of decisions taken by ministers at the meeting organized at the initiative of France in Le Castellet July 24, 2009, during which the nations have decided to continue this program emblematic of Europe defense, "he said.

In January, EADS said it planned to simply abandon the program, saying while threatening the sustainability of the group.

The Minister then assured that France would "do anything to save" the project. A few days before, the multipurpose aircraft designed to replace the Transall C-160, for example, 45.1 meters long and 14.7 meters high, can Tranporter troops and equipment, had made its third flight.

Profit warning

This agreement is obviously good news. But EADS will pay the piper in recent months. The group was informed on Friday that it will record an operating profit (EBIT) and net earnings were negative in 2009.In case the provision of 1.8 billion euros for the additional costs of A400 million, he announced today in a statement.

"The final figures will be disclosed during the announcement of full results of fiscal 2009 EADS March 9, 2010.

CM-CIC, which was released yesterday, Thursday, a "preview" (a score prediction results), banking on a net income of 60 million euros, while the Bloomberg consensus provided 21 million euros. But these figures do not include the provision because it was not known.

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The latest figures of U.S. employment for the month of January seem paradoxical. The unemployment rate fell to 9.7%, against 10% in December. Better than expected. But most companies have dismissed that hiring, the net destruction of reaching the 20,000 jobs over the month. Analysts had expected between 5,000 and 15,000 new jobs.

These two contradictory figures in fact derived from two studies of the U.S. Department of Labor, based on two different methods.The difference in trend indicates that employees are more numerous in January than in December, but they are less likely to occupy several positions simultaneously.

"If unemployment remains a serious problem, today's figures contain some encouraging signs for a resumption of gradual labor market," said the White House.

The U.S. administration has estimated that the employment situation has therefore remained "almost unchanged". In detail, the building was destroyed 75 payday loans for bad credit .000 Jobs, while industry and services have created respectively 11,000 and 48,000 positions.

Economists agree, though, that unemployment has peaked."The pace of job losses still slows significantly and the return of job creation in services and industry is good news," said John Thomas, for example, economist at Natixis.

The strong upward revisions in the number of job destruction in 2009, however, may worry. The December figure was revised sharply upward from 75% to 150,000 against 85,000 initially. At 12 months, are shedding 600,000 jobs that were added following the revisions of the statistics. This is does not affect the positive trend, according to Inna Mufteeva, economist at Natixis' share is only a point of reversal highest previously believed.