International News

The Paris Bourse, which sailed around the equilibrium in the morning suddenly stalled in mid-session, disappointed by U.S. employment figures and worried by the fall of the euro.

At the finish the CAC 40 plunged 2.86% to end the session very much below the threshold of 3,500 points to 3,455.61 points exactly. On the whole week in Paris index shows a decline of 1.7% bringing its losses since the beginning of the year to more than 12%.

Reflecting investor nervousness, activity was sustained, with almost 5 billion euros traded on the great values of the Paris stock exchange. Other stock markets in unison dévissaient London lost 1.63% and 1.91% Frankfurt, Milan and Madrid 3.79% 3.80%.The Euro Stoxx 50 index dropped 3.20%.

Investors skeptical of increasing the strength of economic recovery plans for fear that strict hindering growth, obviously await any excuse to sell. They took advantage Friday of a disappointment on the job market in the United States to pass the act.

The euro under $ 1.20

In the U.S., unemployment fell in May to 9.7%, but the net new jobs (431,000) were significantly worse than expected. The NYSE has also reacted badly to this statistic, always closely watched by the markets. Wall Street was changing rapidly decline with the approach of the close of European stock exchanges. The Dow Jones lost 2.16% and the Nasdaq 1.80%.

In Europe, a new front in the crisis began in Hungary.The local currency, the forint, the Budapest Stock Exchange, and covers the failure of Hungarian debt (CDS, credit default swap) tumbled after the alarmist statements about the economic situation on the part of politicians, from the majority place.

Those fears pushed investors to the traditional safe havens like the dollar or Swiss franc. And for the first time since March 2006, the euro fell below $ 1.20. In Paris, financial stocks were once again the front line. Societe Generale lost 7.5%, BNP Paribas and Crédit Agricole over 5%.

AIG will not access the request of Prudential. While the British insurer claimed a decrease of 10% of the purchase price under pressure from its shareholders, AIG said Tuesday in a statement it will not alter the terms of the proposed sale of its Asian subsidiary AIA UK Prudential, whose price is set at 35.5 billion dollars (nearly 29 billion euros).

Prudential acknowledges and will respond "in due course"

In another statement, Prudential said take note of the decision of AIG and said he will make a statement in "due course". He confirmed that he proposed a reduction in price and said that his new proposal is 30.38 billion dollars (24.7 billion euros).This represents a decrease of 14.4% of the purchase price, not 10% as first announced by the prospective acquirer.

To partially finance this acquisition, Prudential would need a capital increase of 21 billion dollars (about 17 billion dollars). What worried shareholders, who must decide on the draft on June 7

Prudential and AIG have resumed negotiations last week to save this agreement, several shareholders of the British insurer has estimated that the price offered to become the dominant player in Asia's life insurance was too high.

After this new twist, we expect that the shareholders of Prudential eagerly await the response that Prudential will this announcement.Prudential Will he finally pay $ 35.5 billion and will reach there to give AIG? Unless the proposed acquisition would not be abandoned.

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Pressed by the markets which seem to question the reality of the support plan for Greece, the central bankers in the euro zone agreed Sunday on the financial terms of emergency loans to Athens. "An agreement has been reached" at a meeting of experts in Brussels, assured on Friday, several European sources. "A very important decision has been taken," said Sunday Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou on television.It can be triggered at any time if Greece requests.

Any aid to Greece based on bilateral loans of at least 30 billion euros, which would be made at a rate of about 5%.

"For loans up to three years, the rate of special drawing rights (SDR) plus 300 basis points plus 50 basis points of service charge, claimed Friday from European sources.

Under discussion for ten days, the interest rate was a crucial point of the plan, anxiously awaited by investors. Germany insisted that loans be granted to Greece "no subsidy" that is to say, the market price, while France and Italy were ready to make a flower in Greece.

Berlin was right partners, obtaining successful even in the smallest details."A premium of 350 basis points above the SDR rate – the benchmark for the IMF – is the average for the market this week," said Dominique Barbet, head of market research at BNP Paribas. "For a country of the euro area is very expensive," he adds. "But at least Greece is attached to his fate," said the economist.

What interest could she Greece to seek EU aid, if the price of loans is not less than the market? "In the markets, lenders are not obliged to lend, even if the price is attractive: it is all the difference," said Dominique Barbet low rate payday loans.If Greece asks EU aid, she knows she will obtain a price fixed in advance, which will never be below the market price, because the latter will naturally.

Spectrum of banking crisis

For now, Athens has not seen fit to seek the help of the euro area and the IMF, even if the markets will grow, calling for a rate of 7% for loans to ten years, or surcharge of 4% compared to Germany.

Although the markets have calmed down a bit Friday, Greece is at the foot of the wall. It may not only failure refinancing at its next bond issue, but also a banking crisis. Fearing bankruptcy, the Greeks have already withdrawn 10 billion euros of deposits and place them in foreign banks.

On Friday, ratings agency Fitch lowered the debt by two notches to BBB-Greece, citing "budgetary challenges" growing."The sharp rise in interest rates will make it harder for the government to achieve its goal of reducing the budget deficit to 8.7% this year," says the rating agency. Fitch is particularly heard it was the first to degrade Greece December 8, 2009, giving the signal for the Greek financial crisis.

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"SPECIAL – Greece, a challenge for Europe

We knew the loopholes in the tax and social in the sights of government. Fran?ois Fillon reiterated Thursday that he did not intend to scale back its ambitions in this area. Before the senators, the Prime Minister has once again stated that the government would propose the "elimination or capping of tax and social niches. Lower taxes for donations to associations, loan interest deductions for a property purchase, VAT at 5.5% for other work and reduced taxation for life insurance contracts now know what to expect !

Bercy's goal to reduce by 2 billion euros per year tax loopholes, and for 3 years. An ambitious goal that requires the Department of Economics at all look under the microscope, one by one. "There are two ways to act: either to consider each of the niches and see the feasibility of its abolition.Or set up a rule on all tax and social niches, "said Thursday the prime minister. In other words, the planing.

In late January, in an interview igaro F, Francois Fillon was e indicated that the government does would create "no more". "Then we must question their effectiveness: some of them are not, or more strategic. We will limit the other in time – to force us to regularly check if they meet their goals – and minimize their ceilings, "he explained.

Decisions mid-May

The government has made a religion on the subject for many months already.For even if the deficit was revised slightly downwards for this year – 8% of GDP instead of the initial estimate of 8.5% – a considerable effort will need to be made to the path of public finances on leave again the right slope, having slipped sharply during the crisis.

Politically, addressing niche has an advantage: it is the best way to increase taxes without seeming to. But the task is not easy technically. Touching the niches that benefit businesses? The government is not keen, not to nibble again their competitiveness, it has worked so hard to restore it elsewhere. Last week, Secretary of State for Employment Laurent Wauquiez, was thus excluded from the touch – even slightly – to employer contributions, because "the relief load is undoubtedly the policy tool of the job more effective. "It finds that, according to the minister, a report issued a few weeks ago by the Inspector of Finance, Jean-Luc Tavernier. According to the report, 21 billion of relief support enjoyed by companies on low wages would save between 600 000 and 800 000 jobs. Unable to touch in times of high unemployment.

Addressing niche enjoyed by individuals? Difficult also, without taking the risk of being accused of sacrificing the wallet of the French. On this issue, the prime minister has also several reports in his drawers for the inspection of Finance. One focuses on tax loopholes related to inactivity. Another niche on the taxation of savings. One thing is certain: the topic will be addressed at the national conference of the deficits projected for mid-May Nicolas Sarkozy has already announced that the decision "important" would be taken.

On only two months of the year, the Greeks withdrew from their bank accounts around 4.5% of the total money in the country's banking system, according to the Central Bank of Greece.

The four largest Greek banks – National Bank of Greece, EFG Eurobank, Alpha Bank and Piraeus Bank – bemoan the evaporation of about 10 billion euros of bank deposits, and implore the government to help, the Financial Times in its Thursday edition.

George Papaconstantinou, the finance minister said Wednesday that all banks had asked for the remaining 28 billion euros of financial support plan provided by the state banks at the height of the crisis in 2008.

Yields never achieved

These calls for help comes as Greek interest rates hitting record highs this week.Wednesday afternoon, the yield (rate) of the Greek requirement to 10 years reached 7.176%. Greek and yields move away from the benchmark, the German Bund, the gap between the two are digging more than 400 basis points (4 points).

Markets reacted to the ruling of Athens, that the measures proposed by the IMF are too severe. "This is one reason, but there are others, as investors are forced to sell because interest rates are now too high," said Jean-Francois Robin, an analyst at Natixis bad credit payday loans .

Some are forced to unwind their positions in part because of the Basel II regulations."The number of potential investors has reduced and the purchase is," said Ciaran O'Hagan, of Societe Generale.

The National Bank of Greece will be "heavily impacted"

As a market leader in deposits, the National Bank of Greece "could be greatly impacted by the movement of outflows affecting Greece since the early beginning of the year," noted analysts at Natixis in a note published Thursday morning, which degrades the value to "ease" cons "before buying" and lowers its price target from 19 to 15 euros.

According to the broker, bank, however, is "the best equipped to deal with the crisis with a Greek core tier 1 ratio (reserve ratio) by 9.4%, and high exposure to Turkey, whose performance in 2010 should offset the slowdown in Greece.

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According to the index comprises the 50 largest capitalization in the Asia-Pacific, the S & P Asia, the trend is down slightly, from 0.23% to 3039 points to 7 hours, one day after closing without trend Wall Street.

In Japan, the Nikkei 2005 advance him, of 0.36%, 11,136 points, breaking yet another record 18 months after already rising the previous day. The weak yen Dopen export values.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index plaice 0.13% at 21,346 points while the Shanghai CSI 300 loose 0.29% at 3357 points amid profit taking.

In Sydney, the S & P / ASX similarly lost 0.27% at 4903 points. The values of construction and saddled the financial index.While the flagship index of New Zealand rose 0.4% to 3262 points.

Oil side, in morning trading, a barrel of light sweet crude for May delivery yielded six hundred U.S. dollars to 82.31 while Brent North Sea with identical maturity took a cent to 81.29 dollars low fee payday advance.

Toyota setting sales surge

Sales in the United States of Japanese automaker Toyota, which fell in January and February in the wake of massive recalls, could have rebounded 35% in March on a year through a series of promotions, said Tuesday a spokesman for the group.

In Australia, MacArthur Coal soared (+14.6%) while the group has received an offer of 3.3 billion Australian dollars from an American mining group Peadoby Energy Corp., which he refused.

Also in the continental countries, BHP Billiton down 0.8% after the group was awarded with steel producers to fix prices of short-term contracts for coking coal.

Rio Tinto up 0.6% while four employees have been harshly sentenced to prison two days ago. The Australians have doubts about the conditions of the trial held in China.

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia lost 0.4%.

"What's good with tires is that you can not postpone the purchase for more than a year," jokes Frank Schuhardt, CFO Delticom, Europe's number one sales tires on the Internet. If this mode of marketing is still marginal – it represents only 4% of the total market for replacement – it benefits both the general upturn in demand and development of online sales.

Delticom, whose site is 123pneu.fr French, achieved a turnover of 311.3 million euros in 2009, up 20% and net income of 20 million euros (+ 72.4% ). For Delticom will not be "the Ryanair of the tire business. We want to offer a good balance between our selling price, security of payment to our suppliers and good results for our shareholders, "said Frank Schuhardt.A challenge as to the quality of service rendered, Delticom depends largely on its partners.

Midas offensive

Indeed, the site is not directed only to amateur mechanics can change their tires themselves, balancing included. Like most of its competitors, relies on partnerships with independent garages: 28 000 in the world, including 2 800 in France. Specifically, at the command, the user can choose the garage where he will deliver and mount the tires, according to criteria of proximity, price. "The independent garages are doing brisk business. They do not have the same bargaining power with the tire that Delticom. We bring them new customers, "explains Frank Schuhardt, who believes that the tires are 20 to 25% cheaper on average on the site among traditional retailers.Delticom also prides itself in offering one of the largest selections of tires, if not the largest, with no fewer than 25 brands and 000 references in the catalog (virtual). Enough to satisfy the most sophisticated applications.

The arguments for consumers, while networks like Midas, Norauto, Green Light or Speedy regularly offer promotions on the tires. Norauto for its part has announced the launch of its new tire Prevensys 2. As in any distribution, brand equity are also honored in the area of the tire. In turn, Midas – who belongs to the same group that Norauto – announced in early March to want to open 100 additional centers in Europe by 2010, including fifty in France.

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On Wednesday the European Commission has strongly urged the France "to clarify the budgetary strategy which will enable it to correct its excessive deficit and reduce its debt. The latter has in fact intended to increase "substantially because of the likely deficit, but also as a result of the issuance of public debt to finance public investment."In other words, Brussels is concerned about an economic policy which aims to increase the debt …

Ambitions intact

The Government does not intend to revisit all his ambitions downwards coincidence, Fran?ois Fillon returned Wednesday by the Council of Ministers launched the operational program for future investments – 35 billion that will go into teaching Higher education, research, industrial clusters and SMEs, sustainable development and digital.

The Prime Minister announced the holding of an interdepartmental committee before the end of April, "after which will be signed the first agreements between the State and operators responsible for the granting of funds" (OSEO, National Agency for Research Fund deposits …).

These agreements specify the selection process of projects – they will catch up to France, while creating wealth and jobs – and the arrangements for monitoring investments. They make it possible to launch "within weeks" of the first calls for projects for their selection as 2010.

The first would involve investment in high speed, "a subject on which we want to go fast," said a government source.

Moreover, the list of international juries who must select the campus of excellence is almost ready and their choices, investment monitoring, should be done quickly.In the field of nuclear research, the government also wants early investments occur this year.

Other actions, which do not require the launch of calls for projects, will lead "to finance faster," says Matignon. This applies for example to strengthen the core of OSEO to 1.5 billion euros, the granting of "green loans" subsidized industrial enterprises and aid for thermal renovation of housing for households with low incomes.

The Commissioner General for investment, Rene Ricol, has his eye on a single euro spent … What reassure Brussels?

Antoine Gosset-Grainville, deputy director of Fran?ois Fillon's office for nearly three years, will soon be appointed Director General of the Caisse des Depots et des Consignations (CDC). A decree of the President of the Republic should, except surprise formalize the appointment.

Revealed last week by Le Point, arriving rue de Lille, where they are officially "no comment" – is not expected until May. It would also be included in a broader reorganization of the management team of the Caisse des Depots, whose mission has grown with the crisis of the past two years.

Antoine Gosset-Grainville, 44 years Wednesday, should be specifically in charge of financial matters and strategic subsidiaries and shareholdings.Alain Quinet, currently director of finance, strategy and sustainable development, would be offered another position in the house.

Inspector of Finance, former lawyer for competition at Gide Loyrette Nouel, "the man with suspenders" Matignon is both well-versed in the intricacies of state and business community for having had the upper hand with the Prime Minister on economic issues: strategist, he has "all the qualities for the job," says a former employee.

The idea of the director general of the public, Augustin de Romanet, is among other muscles of the piloting of subsidiaries – NPC, Transdev, ISPs … – and the role of shareholder faxless payday advance .The CDC is indeed present in this capital of many companies, some of which (Post, Dexia) will be on center stage in the months ahead.

By calling to him near the existing power-AGG is not only close to Fran?ois Fillon but also appreciated the team-Elysian former Deputy Secretary General Jacques Chirac is also an asset in his game Admittedly, Augustine Romanet is now guaranteed to go to the end of his term when his post had been many rumors at the beginning of the quinquennium.But the CDC and its branch are under surveillance, to the end of March 2012 will arise when the question of renewing the current mandate.

On Monday, the CGT said that "if confirmed, the arrival (Antoine Gosset-Grainville editor's note) would complete the questioning of the republican principle of autonomy of the CDC, which is threatened to" UMPisation " . Outside of any political stripe, the CDC has seen in recent years, several deputy directors of the Matignon office. Dominique Marcel (with Lionel Jospin), Augustin de Romanet (with Jean-Pierre Raffarin) and Alain Quinet (with Dominique de Villepin) especially had before him, opted for the venerable institution.

The time of easy financing of the debt it is soon gone to the United States and the United Kingdom? Large investment funds such as Pimco and BlackRock, fear that record levels of debt can cause a rise in interest rate markets. For states, this means a debt more expensive to finance. For investment funds, this translates into a loss of value of their bond portfolio. These have accordingly reduced their exposure to U.S. debt and the UK, according to them particularly vulnerable.

The California Pimco, the largest bond investor in the world which manages 199.5 billion dollars on this market, has reduced its shares of American and British debts to a level not seen since the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, reports agency Bloomberg.The European BlackRock has in turn reduced its exposure to these securities at its lowest level in two years, the Financial Times.

Investment funds fear two things: that the interest rate, the lower back quickly and that the market can absorb the debt securities issued as required by the states … fueling the rise in yields . A concern that is primarily about the United States and the United Kingdom.

Decline in value of portfolio

"The question posed to the fund now is: when and how fast interest rates will they go?" Analysis Bruno Cavalier, chief economist at Oddo. A rise in interest rates next, helped by economic recovery, would mechanically increase the yields of bonds issued in the coming months.As a result, the securities purchased in the past by the fund with a lower yield, would see their market prices fall. This would melt the value of fund portfolios.

In this perspective, bond yields have rebounded. "Today, the yield on the U.S. ten years is around 3.8% against 3.2% last month and a half … and cons 2% a year ago," notes Bruno Cavalier. Same trend for UK Treasury bills. A consensus of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, the ten-year yields should rise by 4.01% today to 4.31% by end 2010.

Still, the natural demand for sovereign debt should continue, slowing the rise in rates. The new regulations are put in place will indeed require banks to offset the risk by increasing their liquidity cushion.They then turn to bonds. Therefore, "even if emissions of sovereign debt increased sharply, demand should rise dramatically," said Laurence Boone, chief economist at Barclays, before agreeing, referring to ads Pimco: "We are never at 'immune from turmoil in a market if investors decide to all move together … "