International News

Financial markets remain grounded arms vis-à-vis Italy. The announcement of the imminent resignation of Silvio Berlusconi yesterday was greeted with great relief on all European markets. It allows to hope for the establishment of a government more able to put public finances in Italy.

Analysts saw in recent weeks that the Italian bond market suffered from a premium of distrust Berlusconi estimated at 100 basis points (1 percentage point) on the rates of government bonds to 10 years. Not surprisingly, the announcement of his impending departure should have been welcomed by a substantial amount of rates.

An oil close to $ 100

Oil markets have returned to their highest in the summer of last week. In New York, a barrel of light sweet crude for December delivery ended the week and to 93.32 dollars, pocketing 11.5% in five days, while in London, Brent crude gained 4% over the same period at 110.02 dollars. These levels were no longer observed since last August.

This surge is due to the euphoria that followed the agreement on a plan to end the crisis in Europe. As the equity markets, the announcements of European leaders were welcomed by a jump in current operators rejecting the idea of ​​"economic calamity," said John Kilduff, of Again Capital. In addition, China's second largest consumer of oil in the world, issued a manufacturing PMI at highest level in five months.U.S. GDP also rose by 2.5% yoy in the third quarter and increased consumer spending by American households has accelerated in September to 0.6%. Another factor is bullish: "There are investors who claim that the Americans withdraw from Iraq, it will add to the volatility in the Middle East. It was also the new regime in Libya during a test, "noted Rich Ilczyszyn, MF Global no faxing payday loans.

The higher prices could have been even stronger if there had been publishing a weekly report on bad stocks Wednesday. Surprised, analysts questioned the causes of such weekly increase, especially imports have continued to slow in recent weeks. Phil Flynn, analyst at PFG Best Research, put forward a hypothesis: "the oil accelerated their pace to arrive before the hurricane Rina.The metal was also supported by the ongoing tensions in the global supply. Thus, the American Freeport-McMoRan said Wednesday the "force majeure" for its Grasberg mine in Indonesia (site producing between 3% and 4% of world supply), paralyzed from mid-September by a violent strike.

Aluminium was supported by a decline in world stocks (5% in September, its lowest level since December). The course is finished in 2221 dollars per tonne (3.6% for the week). Tin is always paid by the interruption of exports from Indonesia (30% of world production of tin), decided in early October by domestic producers in order to trace the course. The stocks of this metal on the LME have since decreased by 21%. Classes end at 21,870 dollars (0.55%).

In the third five-day strike of cabin crew of Air France, the company hopes to provide 85% of the flights scheduled that day, she warned this morning, while a strike notice was filed until Wednesday, November 2 included. Sunday night, Air France said it had secured 88% of its flights of the day, and sent 120,000 passengers.

Remember, the movement is to protest against the proposed reduction in the number of cabin crew in some aircraft, as well as against a reform of the evaluation of these same individuals. The conflict has generated over the weekend a battle of numbers between unions and management. According to the latter, there would be 30% of strikers. The UNSA has instead assessed the proportion of strikers to 65% Sunday, after 50% Saturday payday loan.

"Management is currently parades, but it can not hold the road in five days," said Gaëlle Sibril, steward of Southern Air. "That's why we filed a notice of strike for five days because we know they can be organized over two days but no more," she added. Didier Foussat union FO-SNPNC, "the strike will ramp up because all the volunteers PNC reserves are currently using." For him, "we arrive at a peak" from Monday. "From experience, the third day, ie Monday, which will be very complicated," Judge Philippe Sports Meanwhile, the UNSA.

Player Figaro BFM

Many individuals prefer to keep their cash rather than warm place in the markets. The storm was the market could only reinforce this position. However, taking the trouble to dig a little, there are various investment avenues to explore. We offer three, through ETFs and funds.

Corporate bonds, small return for a limited risk

The first idea, for those who are tired of exposure to the debts of states is to turn to big companies a solid, popular with rating agencies. Compensation is greater than 3%. Above all, the defects are rare. These bonds have weathered the crisis well because in 2008, Markit index of large financial obligations out gained 1.85%. Obligations to expose themselves to quality, we recommend going through a tracker.The fund, management fees very low, continuously quoted on the Bourse de Paris, can invest confidently (code: FR0010814236).

The high yield, large compensation for significant risk

The junk bonds, as they are called the Anglo-Saxons have a bad reputation. Yet they can be very profitable in the long run. Indeed, the annual yield is greater than 9%. In addition, the risk is often exaggerated on these bonds. After degradation, Peugeot and Lafarge are after example in the category high efficiency. To invest in these securities, we recommend again to go through a tracker. The Lyxor on 30 bonds seems ideal. It provides immediate liquidity and management fees ridiculous, which is far from the case for other funds. ISIN code FR0010975771 is.

Shares with high dividends for the long term

It is hard to miss the action with a strong performance. On average, the CAC 40 shares of 5% relate. It is not uncommon for actions bring more than 6% as Total, Vivendi or property. Choose a fund comprising shares with good dividends ensures more consistent performance. Many funds have forged strong reputations. Indeed, in this case, talent managers can make a difference as it is to ensure that dividends are regular and, as far as possible, guaranteed. Among the funds that have caught our attention, citions Pictet-High Dividend Selection (Code: LU0503634221).

ALSO READ:

"The high yields are sought by individuals

"Corporate bonds in turmoil

Almost non-existent on the high end, Renault plans to return in the race with his partner allemandMercedes, one of the kings of that class. So far, we knew that French was working with his ally on a Nissan platform technique to manufacture both its future high-end, but the Megane compact, and vehicles of similar size in Japanese. But this platform – which targeted 1.5 million cars a year, will be extended to Daimler, the maker of Mercedes. "There will be a common platform between the three: Renault-Nissan and Daimler," said Thursday Carlos Ghosn, the CEO of Renault-Nissan, during a dinner with journalists.

Result, "you move from one platform from 100,000 to 200,000 cars a year" for the high-end Renault, "a platform of 2 million cars.It is no longer the same challenges: cost, quality and performance are not the same, "says the owner of the manufacturer. On this platform, Renault will build the replacement of Space and the Koleos 4 × 4, but also a "range" is replacing both the Laguna and Vel Satis. Laguna does not know the fourth generation: the new vehicle still under wraps, will be greater. These cars are mainly produced in the factory in Douai, France, but also outside Europe, possibly in Korea. They emerge from late 2014 and 2016.

Meanwhile, Renault plans to launch "a vehicle developed with Daimler," on a platform of German, said Carlos Ghosn."I do not think it would be very realistic to say that Renault, which has the ambition to develop a more expanded upper range, will not consider one way or another with some potential collaborations Mercedes for at least one model so ", he had already slipped to Frankfurt Motor Show in September savings account payday advance. Renault-Nissan and Daimler already designing future joint small Twingo and Smart (set in 2014) and a commercial vehicle for Mercedes. The construction of a compact Infiniti, Nissan's premium brand, based on an architecture provided by the group to the star, is also seriously considered.

Amortization of costs

With Mercedes, Renault hopes to succeed where he failed himself. The launch of a vehicle requires high-end development costs very high, particularly disappointing that the volume of Renault failed to dampen.After stopping production in 2009 of the Vel Satis, the diamond was sold last year that 53,000 Laguna, Koleos 39,000 and 17,000 area.

While the three champions of the category-BMW, ​​Audi and Mercedes-emit spectacular margins, the high-end Renault "is the weakest part of our operation, which is not normal," says Carlos Ghosn, who believes that in this area, the French "can hardly do less."

Carlos Ghosn, the partnership between Renault-Nissan and Daimler-each holds 3.1% of the other-is an "opportunity" not to let go upmarket. Daimler, "very smart", is contributing "to the maximum" French in the development of Smart, as the engineers' know we will do better than them. " Conversely, "do not say is that we can do it all on the high end. You must use the skills of Mercedes, "he says.

The Board of Directors of Dexia again go on Wednesday night to approve the one hand, the nationalization of its Belgian subsidiary, and secondly, to approve the terms of the transfer to France of its business loans to local authorities . Other operations will follow shortly, including the sale of Turkish subsidiary Denizbank that interested, too, Qatar, already the official buyer of private banking BIL.

Regarding the French part, the financial terms of the transaction is blocked. The company refinancing of loans to local authorities, Dexia Municipal Agency (Dexma), 65% will be taken by the CDC, 30% by Dexia and 5% by La Banque Postale (LBP).

Six weeks after the start of negotiations, all is not settled. It remains to define a framework for partnership in the business side.Now, the production of loans to communities will take place through a new bank, majority owned by LBP associated with the CDC. At the request of Philippe Wahl, chief executive of the subsidiary of La Poste, Dexia is not associated to thoroughly immunize the future against the troubles of the past. A real humiliation for the group and a cause for concern. "Uncertainties remain about the new role of Dexia Credit Local and a possible transfer of activities from DCL (the new location)," the CFDT warned Tuesday, recalling that the former Crédit local de France employs 1340 employees.The unions have asked to meet Dexia Baroin, the Minister of Finance.

Risk of breakdown of funding

Several hundred people being responsible for monitoring the loans and Dexma residual portfolio management, the debate is about the teams likely to be transferred to the new bank. "La Banque Postale does ensure that some of the activities undertaken by DCL, eg excluding short-term funding, social housing or health," warns one close to Dexia. Already some experts warn against the fact that local authorities will find themselves running out of funds. While production of Dexia – 3 billion euros this year – was already insufficient, the new bank plans to ramp up gradually. "It's open. If it is possible to produce more profitable loans, we will do, "cautions one close to the negotiations.

ALSO READ:

"Belgium and Dexia France share

"The government releases three billion for communities

The contours of the nationalization of Dexia emerge. When Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel discussed the rescue of banks in the euro area in Berlin, Prime Minister François Fillon, his counterpart Yves Leterme and representatives of Luxembourg have them addressed this issue in a summit to looks like a marathon. And this morning, after a council of ministers, Belgium has decided to take control of 100% of Dexia Bank Belgium, the Belgian entity of the institution present in retail banking, with an investment of 4 billion euros. A price at the bottom of the valuation range expected by shareholders, who were betting on an amount of between 3 and 7.5 billion euros. The Belgian Finance Minister Didier Reynders believes that this amount is "reasonable."Belgium intends to remain for several years proprietor of the bank in order to "continuity" before the network to lean a private actor.

The board of directors supports the offer of Dexia in Brussels, saying it is part of the "social interest" group. It also ensures that the 600 employees of the Dexia holding will be reclassified to the various subsidiaries promised a recovery.

Meanwhile, states have agreed on the allocation of guarantees to make to the future "bad bank" that remain after the dismantling or the defeasance structure to isolate the assets at risk. "States have agreed to divide this guarantee in proportions similar to those of 2008 (during the rescue of Dexia), 60.5% for Belgium, 36.5% for France and 3% for Luxembourg," said the Belgian government.

For its part, the French state must create a new bank dedicated to communities, both owned by the Postal Bank and the Deposit CDC. The Board of Directors has appointed Dexia director Pierre Mariani to conduct these negotiations. His copy to a detailed plan of recovery of the industry is expected "in the coming weeks."

ALSO READ:

"Belgium and Dexia France share

"The Belgian branch of Dexia could be nationalized

The entrance to the rugby in the professional world is not always without its pitfalls, far away … Proof of this is the last statement from Steve Tew, the CEO of the Federation of New Zealand rugby. Wednesday, the leader has put his foot in it by suggesting that his selection would be deprived of the next World Cup in 2015 in England. A heresy in the land of rugby!

Bluff or not, this threat reveals the uneasiness of the Federation kiwi affected financially by the organization of the current World Cup. Certainly, the event is almost historic land of the long white cloud. But the financial benefits expected from this great mass of world rugby is limited. In the end, New Zealand will lose even money (about 39 million New Zealand dollars, or 22.33 million euros).The New Zealand government will pay part of the losses, but the federation itself will also put their hands in the pocket to the tune of two thirds of the money lost.

Shortfall of 7.5 million euros

However, these losses are organizing a one-time difficulties. Because the real malaise lies elsewhere. Steve Tew, it's participation in the competition itself that is the problem. Every 4 years, federations qualified in the northern hemisphere and the south need to change their schedule (suppression test matches, shortening the Tri Nations tournament …). What cause a shortfall in terms of result and television advertising revenue and ticket sales. This year's Tri-Nations tournament, in which compete each year in New Zealand, Australia and South Africa, for example, was reduced from nine to six games due to World Cup.In Europe, the fall tours were also canceled.

In a World trade rules of the International Rugby Board (IRB) also prohibit the presence of the sponsors of the national federations. This accentuates the downward pressure on commercial benefits. In the end, the Federation of New Zealand (NZRU) said the shortfall related to participation in a 13 million New Zealand dollars (7.5 million). Great on a budget of around 55 million euros. A price she can afford all four years, according to Steve Tew.

If they win the All-Blacks, the players would receive such a bonus of 55,000 euros, depending on the site sportune.fr. Barely more than the French players to touch the earth just move in New Zealand (45,000 euros).If they win the XV of France, the French would also reward of 180,000 euros extra.

Australia to support

In his threat to boycott, leaders of New Zealand have received support from their neighbor Australia. For its part, the Australian Federation (ARU) said the losses associated with participation in the World Cup to 16 million Australian dollars (about 11.5 million euros). All federations combined, the overall shortfall would reach between 35 and 40 million pounds (40 to 16 million euros). "As noted by Steve Tew, the current economic model is unacceptable and can not be encouraged," said the general manager of the ARU, John O'Neill.We ask the IRB to resolve the problem quickly, because as a national federation, the ARU can not afford to have huge losses every four years. "

For many, the threat of New Zealand is not serious, its national team can not really do without the visibility provided by the participation in the World Cup. But the argument did fly, the IRB had promised the opening of discussions after the World Cup to avoid a radical decision.

ALSO READ:

"INTERVIEW – Marc Lievremont:" The All Blacks have punished "

"" The All Blacks? Gods of the Living "

"Rugby: New Zealand will not beat the 2007 record

The diagnosis of "Dr. Disaster" is clear: "Most advanced economies are on their way to a new recession." Nouriel Roubini said at a conference organized by Bloomberg, the latest economic statistics published overseas suggest that the United States, Britain and the major countries in the euro area have even one foot into it.

U.S. consumer confidence is indeed stable in September at a level close to its lowest point reached two years ago at the height of the crisis. American households are also more likely to say that it is difficult to find a job. At the same time, European governments are struggling to resolve the debt crisis.

Thus the eyes of the president and co-founder of the fund Roubini Global Economics, "the question is not whether or not there will an economic contraction, but rather what will be the extent of recession and if we know a new international financial crisis. " The influential Economist states that "the answer to these questions depends on what happens in the euro area and whether European leaders will be able to act together." At the same time, the preacher of the crisis of 2008 states that "politicians have no more cartridges."

And pessimism legendary Nouriel Roubini told him that the consequences of the debt crisis in Europe could be "worse" than the bankruptcy of investment bank Lehman Brothers in 2008.

Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of finance

Gloomy predictions that echo the advice provided by Nouriel Roubini to its own customers. In a letter theoretically confidential, the owner of consulting firm Roubini Global Economic Financial has in fact recently recommended its clients to sell their assets to European sovereign debt. According to him, and they realize their "hit of the year." Nouriel Roubini has hammered "take the money and run away easy payday loans."

And if the man turns and respected professor of economics at the head trader of an investment fund, was able to foresee the crisis "subprime" as 2006, it has not always been right. When the stock market index S & P 500 fell to its lowest level in twelve years in March 2009, Nouriel Roubini believed then that he would continue to fall.But the American flag then flew by 65% ​​in the year 2009! Thus remains to be hoped that this time the predictions of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of finance will not be realized.

Economists forecast break their

One by one, the big banks revise downward their growth forecasts. These days, economists Exane BNP Paribas announced that they did not exclude a more "negative growth" at the end of the year in France. Societe Generale CIB provides a near-zero growth in activity in the third (+0.1%) and fourth quarter (+0.2%). For its part Bank of America Merrill Lynch table does more for France than on a 1.5% growth in 2011.

Involved, the crisis in the eurozone, according to economists Groupama: "Since the beginning of the summer, the expectations of businesses and consumers are deteriorating sharply, especially in Germany, most likely because of the crisis of governance European ". Clearly, the panic in financial markets and the ongoing crisis on the front of the public debt plunge consumers and businesses in the wait.

But at present, "it is very difficult to judge the extent and duration of the downturn," said Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist of Exane BNP Paribas.

ALSO READ:

"Crisis: the fear of debt

"The Prophet predicted the 2008 crash of a Great Depression

"The explosion of the Eurozone considered within five years

This is a severe blow to Samsung and a victory for Apple. This may well be a mere confirmation of a judicial decision made in August, the pill is no less bitter for the Korean manufacturer who is outright ban the marketing of its top shelf, the Galaxy Tab 10.1. It "presents an overall appearance similar" to that of the iPad, according to the German judge seized of the matter.

Such a decision is worrying Samsung that focused on this tablet to boost this market. It means that beyond the patents on technical issues, courts are increasingly sensitive to another argument, visible to the naked eye: the appearance of the product design.The German decision comes two weeks after a Dutch court has taken a similar decision, and while litigation between Samsung and Apple are in the United States, Korea and Australia, where the Apple brand has already achieved a first favorable ruling.

For now, Samsung is still able to sell the Galaxy Tab in other European countries, and do not hesitate to do much advertising best payday advance. The Court of Düsseldorf has finally found not competent to prohibit the marketing of the Galaxy Tab across Europe. Nothing prevents Apple to take legal or other countries. The U.S. has also filed a complaint against Samsung for the same reasons, September 8 in Japan.

This offensive against Samsung, which is otherwise also one of its major suppliers, enabling Apple to establish its supremacy on the market shelves, which he holds from 70 to 80% with both iPad.The Galaxy Tab 10.1 was seen as the most serious rival. By preventing the market, Apple terminated the debate … that takes a different turn on the Internet, with netizens concerned about the relentlessness of Apple, who made his reputation by being the anti hegemony of Microsoft, which builds on present its own hegemony with a lot of trial and eco closed system.