In the wake of the Asian stock markets, down sharply this morning despite a slight improvement at the end, the financial center of Paris has long been reluctant to choose how to behave on Tuesday … In response to fears about economic recovery and the financial situation of countries The Paris index has been a roller coaster since the opening, from an initial technical rebound (2%), a new panic attacks (-3.08%) in the morning and a recovery in midday (0.82% to 3150.70 points). The Paris index is even pressed for less than a minute to below 3000 points, a threshold that had not crossed since July 13, 2009. Finally, the Cac 40 shows a gain of 1.63% to 3176.19 points, ending at eleven consecutive sessions of declines.
Volumes were again extremely high (nearly 7 billion euros), all displaying European stock exchanges by mid-day trading levels higher than their usual daily average.
The recovery technique recorded by Paris is divided into Europe: London won 1.89%, 2.80% Brussels, Amsterdam, 1.30%, Milan (0.52%) 0.60% and Brussels. Conversely, the Dax in Frankfurt (-0.10%) and Madrid (-0.04%) remained in the red
Pic of volatility
This new session, which was a bit of all the dangers Monday after a black market, was held in extreme nervousness. With a drop of 18% of the index in Paris in eleven sessions, the Cac 40 was defeated Monday again his record consecutive bearish sessions.In addition, the volatility (the highest for two and a half years as the VIX (16.7%), shows that investors are not convinced by measures taken in Europe and the United States for fiscal consolidation and boost growth.
Even the 2 billion euros pledged by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday to buy back bonds in Italy and Spain, have yielded only very temporarily a little breath on the markets. According to a consensus of managers interviewed by Reuters, the institution should indeed buy at least 100 billion of sovereign debt in Spain and Italy to strengthen the euro area and reduce the pressure on the markets.However, the relaxation on the 10-year rates of the two countries is continuing this morning, those of Spain from below 5%, while those in Italy were approaching that threshold.
Moreover, the lack of effect on the markets of the intervention of U.S. President Barack Obama shows that political speech has no impact on investors, beyond the break-off. This has not prevented the U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, to find that governments and central banks, have "largely on the margin" to address the crisis.European side, the statements are also increasing, Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, on Tuesday called on governments to "do their job" and put in place as soon as possible bailout of Greece, adopted on 21 July.
Policy responses are not sufficient to calm the
Is it possible? Hard to say, as investor psychology seems to look for a disability policy to find new tools to address the current crisis. For two weeks, no action relieves durablementles markets and break the vicious circle in which is immersed the Paris index.From this point of view, no new ones are expected at the meeting on the macroeconomic front.
The eyes are still turned to the United States, where the Monetary Policy Committee of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold a highly anticipated meeting this afternoon to decide on measures against the risk of a further slowdown in growth. The conclusions of this meeting, however, should not be made public until 20:15, Paris time, and will therefore not affect the European markets.
In this dark period, is good news also came on the morning of the Budget Ministry, which reported just before a stock market stabilization French public deficit at the end of June, to 61.3 billion euros.
Moreover, according to figures released this afternoon by INSEE, the price of oil in dollars recovered in July (+2.3%) after declining by 1% in JuneThe price of imported industrial raw materials has, too, bounced: 1.9% in July, against 0.2% a month earlier. Same trend for raw food (+1.0% after -0.8%).
For its part, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) also lowered its demand forecasts for 2011. In its monthly report published on Tuesday, the organization expects a demand for crude to 88.14 million barrels per day (bpd), against 88.18 million bpd set before.
The barrel still under pressure
The report is closely watched, the price of oil is very strong pressure for 15 days under the effect of the downward revision of demand forecasts. A decline which continued Tuesday, but less than the opening.In electronic trading in Asia, the "light sweet crude" for dropped below 80 dollars (78.92 dollars in mid-day) while the barrel of Brent crude down $ 100 for the floor, then back to 101.04 dollars.
As for the exchange, finally, the single European currency regained color against the greenback until the Fed meeting tonight, the euro climbed to 1.4234 dollars at 8 o'clock, against 1.4179 late Monday. Note that the face of these uncertainties, gold enjoys full status as a safe haven, record after record signing. The ounce finished on a further rise Tuesday in Hong Kong dollars to 1753.50, after hitting a new record for the session at 1772.09 dollars.
Side analysts, speeches remain cautious, noting that "the large volumes show that we are not in a sluggish market, typical of the holiday, but in a situation of significant liquidations of positions, as and when traders' confidence evaporates, "according to Jonathan Sudaria Capital Spreads.
The side of values to follow:
Financials bounce (BNP Paribas takes 0.06% to 39.33 euros, Societe Generale advance of 3.54% to 26.01 euros and Credit Agricole gleans 1.94% to 6.88 euros). Natixis (+2% to 2.95 euros) goes back more vigorously the slope, as Axa (2.23 to 11.23 euros).Faced with the sharp fall in equity markets, the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) did not consider it unnecessary at this stage to ban short selling in these securities, said Monday a spokesman for the regulator stock.
Alcatel-Lucent (9.22% to 2.42) shows the largest increase in the ACC after losing 31.5% over the past two weeks.
GDF Suez (1.01% to 20.02 euros). the group has reached an agreement with the Chinese sovereign wealth fund CIC. Beijing will take a pole in its exploration and production investments and participate in the French group in Asia Pacific, told Reuters on Monday sources familiar with the matter.
Archos (- 5.50% to 6.87 euros). The specialist tablets unveiled Monday a net profit after market semi-annual 1.7 million euros against a loss a year earlier.The group also confirmed its objective of a gross margin above 20% for the full year.
Euro Disney (12.68% to 5.60 euros) reported, shortly before the opening of the Exchange, an increase of 7% of its quarterly revenue (T3), to 344 million euros and announced an increase in spending per visitor.