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Archive for February, 2010

After a meeting on Tuesday closed at equilibrium, the rings on Wednesday renewed optimism substantial. At closing, the Cac 40 displayed up 0.63% to 3635.61 points. The revival was strongest in mid-session at 1.38%. But inidice flagship Paris has calmed a few minutes from the end of the session.

The atmosphere is the same in Europe, including the London Stock Exchange gaining 0.39% to 5131.99 points, the Frankfurt amount of 0.69% to 5536.37 points.

The prospect of a European plan to help Greece gives investors reason to smile again. Certainly at this stage, "there is no agreement," said a French source on the eve of the Brussels European Council must take a position on the budgetary situation of Athens.

But it is More than a single nation euro zone to avoid giving the green light for the backup plan.Germany, but could make his signature Thursday.

Long live economic news

On the macroeconomic front, industrial production in France fell by 0.1% in January compared to December, while in November it had gained 0.6%, according to figures published by INSEE. For Frédérique Cerisier, economist at BNP Paribas, "the sharp drop in production of transport equipment (-4.7%) reflects not only the decline in automobile production (-2.1%) but also the aviation branch , naval and railway (-7.9%).After the strong rebound in the third quarter, this pause in the recovery of the activity does not mean that recovery is terminated, but it will be gradual and probably struck, she said.

Furthermore, the current account deficit narrowed in France in 2009 to 40.6 billion euros after 44 billion in 2008, thanks to lower energy costs, said Wednesday the Bank of France (BdF) .

Finally, the United States, the trade figures for December are expected on Wednesday afternoon, and the weekly inventory of crude oil and after-hours trade, the figures of budget execution in January. Governor Daniel Tarullo be heard before the Senate Banking Committee on systemic risks.After Hours, president of the Philadelphia Fed will discuss "Lessons from the global financial crisis."

Bad publications are ignored

The publications were many on Tuesday, and just generally reassuring. But the market is not so far achieved.

Arcelor-Mittal (-5.28% to 27.1 euros) recorded a net profit of 118 million dollars for 2009 and 1.07 billion for the fourth quarter guaranteed payday loan . The metallurgist is the red lantern index in Paris.

PSA Peugeot Citroen (-1.97% to 21.87 euros, 2nd largest drop) announced Wednesday a net loss of 1.161 billion euros in 2009 against a net loss of 363 million a year ago, for a turnover 'sales down 10.9% to 48.417 billion euros.Natixis welcomes performance Faurecia and Gefco, but is very Decca automobile.

Sanofi Aventis (1.03% to 53.2 euros) recorded an adjusted net income of 7.8 billion euros in 2009 up 11%.

According to Le Monde, Renault (+0.27% to 33.4 euros) to consider building a plant near Algiers, which produce 50,000 vehicles annually for the local market.

Nexans (-0.86% to 55.32 euros) worldwide leader in the cable industry, has seen its annual profits collapse at 8 million euros, mainly due to restructuring and divestitures of businesses by group, and remains cautious for 2010.

EDF Energies Nouvelles (+4.82% at 35.85 euros) announced Tuesday a net annual increase of 39% and EBITDA up 47%.Gilbert Dupont went to purchase.

Apart from publications, the bank stand on the CAC 40, including Crédit Agricole, headlining, up 4.66%, to 10.85 euros. Axa rises of 4.13% and Societe Generale is 4.41%.

CAC Hors, Havas (6.71% to 3.08 euros, head of the SBF 120) on Tuesday posted a turnover decrease of 4.4% on an organic basis in Q4 2009, to 1441 million 'euros. Unrealized net budgets amounted to 1,270 million euros in 2009. The group has been identified by Goldman Sachs and Nomura.

Medica (+7.92% at 14.03 euros) announces that its IPO was a "success".The French and international institutional, meanwhile, have subscribed for about three times the size of the offer.

Theolia (6.25% to 3.23 euro) has published a turnover increased almost five in 2009 due to the resumption of sales of wind farms by the group.

Ubisoft (-1.72% to 9.66 euros) said Tuesday night "expects to return to profitable growth and a cash from operating activities positive" for the year 2010-11.

Vinci (+1.17% at 38.43 euros) on Tuesday announced acquistion of 89 contracts for parking company Interpark the United States through its U.S. subsidiary LAZ Parking.

Vilmorin (+1.29% at 79.86 euros) issued a turnover up 2.7% in the first half of 2009-2010 and has announced a joint venture in wheat seed in Argentina.

Polls difficult cases and poorly negotiated since the fall does not undermine the morale Elysian. Nicolas Sarkozy sees the ordinary burden of a president in mid-term and continues to relativize the scope, particularly in comparing himself to his predecessors. Since the Christmas holidays, he has also given much time to calibrate the outline of its strategy for the second half of the quinquennium. On the form, we have seen since early January that this strategy was through the reaffirmation of listening skills. On the merits, the head of state will play its trump card after the regional. After undergoing controversy that was not planned, it will take a debate front of which he knows by heart the social and political risks. But he also sees the benefits it will reap vis-à-vis the electorate.It is, of course, the pension reform.

The results of regional elections should have little impact on this strategy. The Elysee to environmental stresses that "the majority can not be further sanctioned in 2004, where she could keep only two regions. With this diagnosis, Nicolas Sarkozy has already said he would take the election results, but should still maintain its current balances in the government team, headed by François Fillon.

However, he can thank Martine Aubry. By declaring in the first instance, supported a postponement of the age of retirement at age 62, the first secretary of the PS opened the debate much earlier than expected, and it gave credibility to the government's position.Polls in support, the Elysee is now convinced that the French are ripe.

The time has come for the act

Nicolas Sarkozy wants to move quickly on this issue. No way to let the unions take to the streets in October to protest against a proposed reform dashed again. Everyone remembers the November 1995 strikes against pension reform remains the worst memory of the line for fifteen years. Sarkozy wants then arbitrate on the reform of pensions as early as June And to pass a law "in the month of July," confirmed by several sources. He then turned to a mixed solution, combining the lengthening of the contribution period and delaying the legal retirement age.Symbolically, the change of the legal age of retirement would impact tenfold, and it seems that even the Elysee Raymond Soubie, the great clockmaker of social relations which advises the president, is convinced that the time has come proceed to act. Elysian source, a special session of Parliament in July appears to have "acquired" given the workload of the two assemblies.

Of course, the government expects a tough clash with the social partners. For now, the waters unions are barely wrinkled a few ripples. But beware of "the calm before the storm," warns a minister concerned about the mobilization of the month of May According to someone close to Nicolas Sarkozy, these events present at least the advantage of reform credibility with voters."Plus there will be parades, plus French will credit him for having the courage to decide on this matter," smiled one of his friends. Another adviser very point that "nobody has noticed the reform of universities because there were no strikes at the time." In addition to the mobilization of spring, the Elysee is also expected to fall very volatile. "There will be upward pressure on wages as the recovery will be felt," admits an advisor, providing an inflow of association necessarily muscular. It's time that Sarkozy chose to discuss other reforms in 2010, including the legal proceedings or fifth risk Social Security.

But he also intends to take this year-end 2010 to return in force on the international stage. "He will chair the G20 in the month of November 2010, and until summer 2011, said his entourage.The president wants to play again when the partition that had been so successful during the presidency of the European Union in late 2008. The regional elections, hopefully it will be so far.

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The latest figures of U.S. employment for the month of January seem paradoxical. The unemployment rate fell to 9.7%, against 10% in December. Better than expected. But most companies have dismissed that hiring, the net destruction of reaching the 20,000 jobs over the month. Analysts had expected between 5,000 and 15,000 new jobs.

These two contradictory figures in fact derived from two studies of the U.S. Department of Labor, based on two different methods.The difference in trend indicates that employees are more numerous in January than in December, but they are less likely to occupy several positions simultaneously.

"If unemployment remains a serious problem, today's figures contain some encouraging signs for a resumption of gradual labor market," said the White House.

The U.S. administration has estimated that the employment situation has therefore remained "almost unchanged". In detail, the building was destroyed 75 payday loans for bad credit .000 Jobs, while industry and services have created respectively 11,000 and 48,000 positions.

Economists agree, though, that unemployment has peaked."The pace of job losses still slows significantly and the return of job creation in services and industry is good news," said John Thomas, for example, economist at Natixis.

The strong upward revisions in the number of job destruction in 2009, however, may worry. The December figure was revised sharply upward from 75% to 150,000 against 85,000 initially. At 12 months, are shedding 600,000 jobs that were added following the revisions of the statistics. This is does not affect the positive trend, according to Inna Mufteeva, economist at Natixis' share is only a point of reversal highest previously believed.

Good news: 3,600 farmers have chosen to convert their farms to organic in 2009, is 20% more than last year. "This is a historic increase in the last ten said Elisabeth Mercier, director of the Bio Agency, the body responsible for promoting bio in France. The increase in 2009, is the total of seven years earlier. "

Better yet is no room for complacency: the organic still represents only 2.4 to 2.5% of the agricultural area in France. To meet the objectives of the Grenelle of the environment, it should reach 6% in 2012 and 20% in 2020 …

A French two consumes Bio

The barometer 2009 Agency bio makes it clear that organic products are completely integrated into the everyday consumer. "A French consumes two organic at least once a month, says Elisabeth Mercier.It is a structural trend, we can not really speak of fashion. "Despite the crisis, all indicators are green: 84% of French believe that organic agriculture should continue to grow and 25% of consumers of organic intend to grow in the next six months their consumption (against 22% in 2008) while they are 71% want to keep it low fee payday loans . New organic buyers also progressing with 20% of consumers who are being less than two years. They are also often to feed a newborn in the family.

Price of success, imports of organic products should rise further in 2010. The Agency considers the bio to 30% on average with significant differences depending on the product.If the local supply of meat, eggs or wine can meet the demand, much less the case for milk, cereals and products of high culture. As for fruits and vegetables and groceries dry areas on which the demand is strong, imports represent up to 50% or 60%. Since it takes three years for a farmer to convert to organic, the offer is not about to join the request.

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The agency bio

There are just a year he had won the grand prize of BFM manager and made the headlines in the magazines, which presented him as a guru technologist and strategist warned telecom. With only two known passion, except tech gadgets. His wife, Gilberte, banker at HSBC, and the trees of his house in Sologne. Alas, this image has eroded since the summer, while a series of suicides has plunged the group.

Hue on some sites, a company that has yet veneration of the leader, Didier Lombard, in his wheedling air and round cheerful, is affected. The mathematicians more comfortable in the labs among engineers that under the camera, commits some awkwardness of language that mark the spirit but do not reflect his thinking. Like when he talks of "fashion" about suicide.

The runaway media, which has a genius visionary, is suddenly switch to a boss with autism.A shift that shows how it is excessive as it is radical.

For Didier Lombard is fully committed to "home" and its employees, where he began his career as a young Polytechnique, before joining the Directorate General of Industry at Bercy. There he will manage all major industrial issues, Bull Thomson. It will keep the obsession with the voice of France and Europe in the "global digital village," between the American omnipotence and new ambitions Chinese Business Card Holders .

Capacity in countries emerging

When it comes to the head of France Telecom in 2005, replacing Thierry Breton became Minister of Economy, the company is just the head. Crushed by debt, it almost went bankrupt.Didier Lombard accelerates plan "TOP" drastic cost reductions initiated by Thierry Breton, and continues the transformation of enterprise fixed mobile integrated operator with its plan Next. A transformation vital to the survival of the group plunged into the competition, but that is no longer welcome by some of the employees in historical France. At the international France Telecom is strengthening in the emerging countries, but also in Switzerland and Great Britain, even if the marriage with the Nordic TeliaSonera fails.

In taking over, Stéphane Richard will give a flat part of this strategy.Starting probably content, even if their weight in the group activity is inversely proportional to the media buzz they generate.

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Didier Lombard, head of Orange multimédaillé